Elmira
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 985 (#265) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 956 (#298) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -14.4 (#313) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.349 (#521) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.663 (#176) | NetEff +4.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.069 (#570) | AdjNet -22.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.064 (#569) | AdjNet -22.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.204 (#577) | AdjO 52.1 | AdjD 67.1 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | vs | Hilbert | W | 65 - 45 |
| 2024-11-13 | vs | Penn College | W | 55 - 47 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Buffalo St. | L | 57 - 66 |
| 2024-11-20 | @ | Alfred St. | W | 66 - 57 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | Misericordia | W | 61 - 51 |
| 2024-12-04 | vs | Marywood | W | 59 - 51 |
| 2024-12-14 | vs | SUNY Morrisville | L | 51 - 58 |
| 2024-12-29 | @ | WestConn | W | 52 - 45 |
| 2024-12-30 | @ | Hunter | L | 58 - 63 |
| 2025-01-07 | vs | Hartwick | W | 52 - 51 |
| 2025-01-10 | @ | Alfred | L | 48 - 67 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Houghton | L | 47 - 62 |
| 2025-01-14 | @ | Russell Sage | L | 55 - 59 |
| 2025-01-17 | vs | SUNY Brockport | L | 53 - 74 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | SUNY Geneseo | L | 57 - 64 |
| 2025-01-24 | @ | Nazareth | L | 46 - 68 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | St. John Fisher | L | 63 - 79 |
| 2025-01-31 | @ | SUNY Geneseo | L | 37 - 67 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | SUNY Brockport | L | 58 - 71 |
| 2025-02-04 | vs | Keuka | W | 58 - 46 |
| 2025-02-07 | vs | Houghton | L | 51 - 62 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Alfred | W | 71 - 65 |
| 2025-02-14 | vs | Utica | W | 61 - 50 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | SUNY Poly | W | 56 - 33 |
| 2025-02-18 | @ | Keuka | W | 75 - 47 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | SUNY Brockport | L | 62 - 101 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Bogota | - | 25 | 25.3 | 10.2 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 11.4 | 2.9 | 18 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 33.5 | 34.2 | 92.6 | 0.22 | 42.9 | 40.3 |
| Taylor Jung | - | 26 | 32.2 | 8.2 | 7.3 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 8.1 | 8.3 | 20 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 35.7 | 23.7 | 68.3 | 0.47 | 45.3 | 41.2 |
| Nevaeh Winston | - | 26 | 24.5 | 7.7 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 7.7 | 8.2 | -16 | -0.6 | -0.8 | 39.7 | 0 | 57.3 | -0.0 | 43.3 | 39.7 |
| Amarionah Dixon | - | 25 | 17.0 | 7.1 | 6.6 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 2.4 | 7.2 | 7.8 | 45 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 39.2 | 18.2 | 65.4 | 0.61 | 43.7 | 39.8 |
| Mallory Welty | - | 26 | 18.7 | 5.1 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 5.6 | 2.7 | -35 | -1.1 | -1.9 | 30.3 | 29.7 | 70.8 | -0.18 | 42.4 | 39.7 |
| Emma Ryan | - | 25 | 11.2 | 4.3 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 4.0 | 2.6 | -10 | -0.3 | -0.6 | 45.5 | 0.0 | 68.2 | -0.07 | 48.3 | 45.5 |
| D'asia Jones | - | 4 | 18.2 | 4.0 | 5.2 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 7.8 | 1.0 | -35 | -1.3 | -1.9 | 19.4 | 30.0 | 50.0 | -0.35 | 25.1 | 24.2 |
| Mia Welty | - | 25 | 8.8 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 42 | 1.4 | 4.1 | 30.6 | 21.4 | 64.7 | 0.38 | 41.6 | 36.7 |
| Sophia Ward | - | 26 | 9.7 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 34.0 | 0.0 | 73.3 | -0.23 | 39.8 | 34.0 |
| Aynsley Belcher | - | 19 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 9 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 46.7 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | 46.7 | 46.7 |
| Kelsey Stewart | - | 26 | 17.8 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.3 | -55 | -1.7 | -3.1 | 26.9 | 18.2 | 50.0 | -0.62 | 32.0 | 30.8 |
| Victoria Rought | - | 23 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 9 | 0.8 | 3.7 | 30.8 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.05 | 33.2 | 30.8 |
| Lauralie Grainer | - | 23 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | -9 | -1.8 | -4.8 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -0.14 | 57.9 | 50.0 |
| Anna Ward | - | 23 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.8 | -0.0 | 12 | 1.7 | 4.5 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.19 | 21.2 | 16.7 |
| Natalie Musolino | - | 23 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Abby Belcher | - | 24 | 2.5 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | -0.2 | -3 | -0.1 | -0.6 | 18.2 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.17 | 16.8 | 18.2 |
| Kylie Hook | - | 23 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.13 | 21.0 | 0.0 |
| Olivia Nittinger | - | 17 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Mallory Schultz | - | 20 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 50 | 2.2 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Hannah Nichols | - | 22 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -2 | -0.3 | -0.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.13 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Erin Bracken | - | 23 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG