Edward Waters
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1152 (#28) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1202 (#21) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +2.7 (#180) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.524 (#350) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.752 (#147) | NetEff +7.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.428 (#435) | AdjNet -2.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.430 (#436) | AdjNet -2.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.452 (#443) | AdjO 60.3 | AdjD 62.4 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-06 | @ | Jacksonville | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Johnson C. Smith | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-10 | @ | Elizabeth City St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-13 | @ | Stetson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-20 | vs | Johnson C. Smith | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | USC Beaufort | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-30 | @ | Central St. (OH) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-02 | @ | Kentucky St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-14 | vs | Lane | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-16 | vs | LeMoyne-Owen | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-19 | @ | Miles | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-21 | @ | Spring Hill | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-06 | vs | Tuskegee | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-07 | vs | Erskine | W | 61 - 46 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Fort Valley St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-13 | @ | Albany St. (GA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-20 | vs | Clark Atlanta | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Benedict | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-27 | @ | Allen | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Savannah St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Allen | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-10 | vs | Benedict | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Clark Atlanta | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Savannah St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-24 | vs | Albany St. (GA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-26 | vs | Fort Valley St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-03-01 | vs | Spring Hill | - | Incomplete score |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marley Bell | - | 1 | 30.0 | 21.0 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 13.0 | 23.0 | -41 | -1.3 | -1.9 | 46.2 | 0 | 90.0 | -0.42 | 60.3 | 46.2 |
| Aaniyah Allen | - | 1 | 30.0 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 82 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 41.7 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.07 | 46.6 | 41.7 |
| Mia Morel | - | 23 | 26.1 | 10.9 | 4.2 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 9.3 | 7.3 | - | - | - | 37.6 | 33.6 | 88.7 | -0.09 | 52.9 | 47.7 |
| Makayla Arnold | - | 1 | 15.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 69 | 2.9 | 6.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 33.3 | -0.23 | 48.3 | 50.0 |
| Nekaya Williams | - | 24 | 24.2 | 8.1 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 6.6 | 5.3 | 42 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 41.8 | 30.5 | 67.2 | 0.86 | 52.0 | 47.5 |
| Simona Henshaw | - | 23 | 25.5 | 7.7 | 4.4 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 7.2 | 6.0 | -31 | -1.3 | -1.5 | 40.4 | 33.3 | 54.9 | -0.18 | 44.9 | 41.6 |
| Imani Harris | - | 24 | 20.2 | 7.5 | 4.9 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 6.0 | 6.6 | 62 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 44.1 | 0.0 | 64.3 | 0.58 | 50.0 | 44.1 |
| Taniah Bowers | - | 24 | 24.0 | 6.7 | 4.8 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 3.7 | 9.9 | 22 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 47.7 | 38.5 | 68.9 | 0.03 | 60.0 | 50.6 |
| E'laijah Brown | - | 20 | 23.9 | 6.4 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 2.5 | 5.3 | 5.2 | -20 | -1.1 | -1.1 | 38.7 | 14.3 | 61.1 | -0.27 | 46.5 | 39.6 |
| Kimora Wade | - | 1 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 30 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 20.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.09 | 44.4 | 20.0 |
| Arieonna Booker | - | 1 | 34.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 7.0 | -5 | -0.2 | -0.3 | 18.2 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.14 | 25.3 | 18.2 |
| Tatum Hayes | - | 24 | 16.8 | 5.1 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 5.4 | 1.6 | -27 | -1.1 | -1.8 | 35.4 | 27.7 | 100.0 | -0.43 | 46.6 | 46.2 |
| Taylor Addison | - | 1 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | -2.0 | 7 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 16.7 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0.07 | 36.3 | 25.0 |
| Blesseth Dillingham | - | 21 | 13.6 | 4.5 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 3.7 | 3.3 | 19 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 35.1 | 28.6 | 68.5 | 0.21 | 47.1 | 37.7 |
| Leah Perry | - | 24 | 12.1 | 3.8 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 14 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 44.2 | 50.0 | 61.1 | 0.12 | 49.0 | 44.8 |
| Ja'Nya Ferguson | - | 1 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 54 | 2.1 | 3.1 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.91 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Shuntorri Rodgers | - | 11 | 11.9 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 1.0 | -7 | -0.6 | -1.4 | 26.1 | 15.4 | 75.0 | -0.12 | 34.3 | 30.4 |
| Jayda Scorza | - | 23 | 4.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 4 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 30.3 | 7.7 | 53.8 | 0.02 | 36.2 | 31.8 |
| Nyekuar Quik | - | 23 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 1.1 | -24 | -1.1 | -5.8 | 44.4 | 0 | 12.5 | -0.52 | 41.0 | 44.4 |
| Daiysha Brown | - | 10 | 4.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 1.5 | -0.6 | -4 | -0.3 | -0.9 | 26.7 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.16 | 26.7 | 26.7 |
| Tashun Bryson | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.15 | 0 | 0 |
| Zahra Daniel | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 |
| Kyana Johnson | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.24 | 0 | 0 |
| S Anderson | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Shutorri Rodgers | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -7 | -0.6 | -1.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.12 | 0 | 0 |
| Jamera Bean | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 14 | 1.0 | 4.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.27 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jalexicia Hargrove | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Julia Baker | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 35 | 5.8 | 11.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.26 | 0 | 0 |
| Ace Stevenson | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -8 | -0.5 | -1.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.02 | 0 | 0 |
| Akirya Robinson | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 30 | 3.8 | 11.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 |
| Camryn Oneill | - | 1 | 38.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | -3.0 | -24 | -0.9 | -1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Delissa Kier | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -19 | -1.5 | -5.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.22 | 0 | 0 |
| Shakara Anderson | - | 4 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | -0.2 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Shuntori Rodgers | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -2.0 | -7 | -0.6 | -1.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.12 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG