Edward Waters
Model Outputs
2023-2024
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1152 (#28) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1202 (#21) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -2.2 (#228) | HCA +2.7 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-13 | vs | Fort Lauderdale | W | 78 - 38 |
| 2023-11-17 | @ | LeMoyne-Owen | L | 24 - 34 |
| 2023-11-18 | @ | Miles | L | 64 - 75 |
| 2023-11-25 | vs | Central St. (OH) | W | 69 - 68 |
| 2023-11-27 | vs | Kentucky St. | L | 70 - 79 |
| 2023-11-30 | vs | USC Beaufort | W | 66 - 56 |
| 2023-12-02 | @ | Miles | L | 49 - 58 |
| 2023-12-04 | @ | Jacksonville | L | 70 - 87 |
| 2023-12-15 | @ | Embry-Riddle (FL) | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2023-12-16 | vs | Spring Hill | W | 73 - 65 |
| 2023-12-18 | vs | Tuskegee | L | 62 - 64 |
| 2023-12-30 | vs | Elizabeth City St. | L | 61 - 67 |
| 2024-01-04 | @ | Lane | L | 47 - 62 |
| 2024-01-06 | @ | LeMoyne-Owen | L | 56 - 70 |
| 2024-01-13 | @ | Albany St. (GA) | L | 56 - 67 |
| 2024-01-15 | @ | Fort Valley St. | L | 62 - 65 |
| 2024-01-17 | @ | Elizabeth City St. | L | 65 - 79 |
| 2024-01-20 | vs | Clark Atlanta | L | 73 - 91 |
| 2024-01-27 | vs | Savannah St. | W | 70 - 69 |
| 2024-01-29 | @ | Benedict | W | 65 - 52 |
| 2024-01-31 | @ | Allen | L | 59 - 77 |
| 2024-02-03 | vs | Allen | W | 67 - 57 |
| 2024-02-05 | vs | Benedict | W | 71 - 60 |
| 2024-02-12 | @ | Clark Atlanta | L | 58 - 73 |
| 2024-02-17 | @ | Savannah St. | L | 59 - 66 |
| 2024-02-24 | vs | Fort Valley St. | L | 57 - 64 |
| 2024-02-26 | vs | Albany St. (GA) | W | 65 - 62 |
| 2024-03-05 | vs | Central St. (OH) | L | 71 - 78 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sierra Lynch | - | 1 | 32.0 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 80.0 | 0 | -0.19 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| SHA'KAWANZA BROWN | - | 3 | 30.0 | 13.3 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 13.7 | 5.3 | - | - | - | 34.1 | 33.3 | 62.5 | -0.36 | 44.9 | 42.7 |
| Madison Riley | - | 1 | 30.0 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 67 | 4.2 | 7.5 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 85.7 | -0.06 | 71.6 | 58.3 |
| KAYLA HORTON | - | 1 | 32.0 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 57.1 | 0 | -0.08 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| JOURDAN AVERY | - | 2 | 25.5 | 12.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 6 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 44.4 | 50.0 | 60.0 | 0.2 | 53.6 | 50.0 |
| KHADIJA SMITH | - | 4 | 25.5 | 10.5 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 9.0 | 8.0 | 22 | 4.4 | 44.3 | 30.6 | 20.0 | 75.0 | -0.42 | 45.1 | 33.3 |
| Kamryn Knight | - | 1 | 32.0 | 10.0 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 69 | 3.6 | 4.4 | 50.0 | 0 | 66.7 | 0.75 | 53.6 | 50.0 |
| IMANI HARRIS | - | 5 | 27.2 | 9.8 | 7.2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 2.6 | 7.6 | 9.8 | -6 | -0.4 | -0.5 | 44.7 | 0 | 60.0 | -0.03 | 50.0 | 44.7 |
| Jade Salters | - | 1 | 34.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.03 | 48.3 | 37.5 |
| KAYLA HORTON | - | 4 | 24.2 | 8.0 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 2.8 | 8.8 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 31.4 | 26.3 | 55.6 | -0.4 | 41.1 | 38.6 |
| LEE'SHA HENRY | - | 5 | 22.6 | 6.8 | 5.2 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 5.6 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 85.7 | 0.01 | 54.7 | 50.0 |
| ALEXANDRIA JAMES-FEARON | - | 3 | 21.7 | 6.0 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.7 | 5.7 | 4.3 | 13 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 41.2 | 40.0 | 33.3 | 0.09 | 45.8 | 47.1 |
| KYANA JOHNSON | - | 4 | 14.0 | 5.5 | 5.8 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 5.2 | 6.0 | 20 | 4.0 | 18.1 | 47.6 | 0 | 40.0 | 0.24 | 47.4 | 47.6 |
| Jaya Hedgepeth | - | 1 | 34.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 83.3 | -0.05 | 23.5 | 0.0 |
| Nairobi Lewis | - | 1 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.1 | 51.2 | 50.0 |
| ISIS SMITH | - | 5 | 24.0 | 3.6 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 4.2 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 10.0 | 83.3 | -0.16 | 38.1 | 31.0 |
| TATUM HAYES | - | 5 | 11.2 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 4.8 | -0.2 | -41 | -6.8 | -9.7 | 20.8 | 15.8 | 100.0 | -0.41 | 30.1 | 27.1 |
| PAIGE SANDERS | - | 4 | 8.8 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 25.0 | 37.5 | -0.19 | 39.9 | 38.9 |
| KHADIJA K. SMITH | - | 1 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 22 | 4.4 | 44.3 | 25.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.37 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| MyKaylah Grey | - | 1 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Staisha Hamilton | - | 1 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.06 | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| KRISTIAN JEWSOME | - | 3 | 6.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 | -0.3 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| LANIYAH GENNIE | - | 3 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | -0.3 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| DESTINY BYRD | - | 2 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | -0.5 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.19 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Tyrielle Cox | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Chrishawndria Faust | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Anissa Tuitt | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.01 | 0 | 0 |
| Carla Jean | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| AâNiya Boone | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Afrika Lewis | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -5 | -0.4 | -0.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.13 | 0 | 0 |
| Diamond Howell-Geredine | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Charlize Williams | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -14 | -0.9 | -2.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 |
| Robbie Johnson | - | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 16 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.17 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| ALEX JAMES-FEARON | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 13 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.09 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG