Edward Waters
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 918 (#364) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 863 (#381) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -1.7 (#251) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.337 (#421) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.441 (#244) | NetEff -2.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.358 (#481) | AdjNet -5.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.356 (#482) | AdjNet -5.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.420 (#478) | AdjO 73.7 | AdjD 77.2 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | @ | Florida Tech | W | 73 - 65 |
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Rollins | W | 80 - 75 |
| 2024-11-13 | vs | Voorhees | W | 78 - 74 |
| 2024-11-15 | @ | Clayton St. | L | 79 - 82 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Columbus St. | L | 71 - 74 |
| 2024-11-21 | @ | North Florida | L | 59 - 108 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | USC Beaufort | L | 72 - 89 |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | Flagler | W | 83 - 69 |
| 2024-11-30 | @ | Central St. (OH) | W | 78 - 71 |
| 2024-12-02 | @ | Kentucky St. | L | 72 - 83 |
| 2024-12-14 | vs | Lane | W | 84 - 72 |
| 2024-12-16 | vs | LeMoyne-Owen | W | 79 - 62 |
| 2024-12-19 | @ | Miles | L | 57 - 72 |
| 2024-12-21 | @ | Spring Hill | W | 96 - 92 |
| 2025-01-06 | vs | Tuskegee | W | 72 - 67 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Fort Valley St. | W | 87 - 83 |
| 2025-01-13 | @ | Albany St. (GA) | W | 74 - 64 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Morehouse | W | 70 - 66 |
| 2025-01-20 | vs | Clark Atlanta | L | 61 - 63 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Benedict | W | 73 - 71 |
| 2025-01-27 | @ | Allen | W | 61 - 56 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Savannah St. | L | 63 - 67 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Allen | W | 84 - 57 |
| 2025-02-10 | vs | Benedict | W | 75 - 73 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Clark Atlanta | L | 75 - 83 |
| 2025-02-18 | @ | Morehouse | L | 82 - 88 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Savannah St. | L | 44 - 66 |
| 2025-02-24 | vs | Albany St. (GA) | L | 89 - 96 |
| 2025-02-26 | vs | Fort Valley St. | L | 75 - 78 |
| 2025-03-01 | @ | Kentucky St. | L | 87 - 108 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G'Shan Aldridge | - | 1 | 28.0 | 17.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 11.0 | 12 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 70.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.47 | 75.1 | 70.0 |
| Blaise Wallace | - | 1 | 38.0 | 14.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 17 | 0.5 | 2.4 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 80.0 | 1.25 | 57.4 | 50.0 |
| Prince Davies III | - | 29 | 18.9 | 11.9 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 8.8 | 6.5 | 44 | 2.4 | 6.4 | 45.7 | 37.8 | 77.7 | -0.8 | 57.2 | 51.8 |
| Ja'Kobe Williams | - | 29 | 26.4 | 11.0 | 4.4 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 2.7 | 9.0 | 8.2 | 34 | 1.6 | 4.7 | 43.9 | 29.8 | 71.4 | 1.0 | 51.8 | 46.6 |
| Amari Floyd | - | 29 | 27.3 | 8.8 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 6.9 | 8.0 | 25 | 1.0 | 2.6 | 54.5 | 26.2 | 71.4 | 0.8 | 59.8 | 58.5 |
| Myles Hosten | - | 29 | 18.5 | 7.2 | 3.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 6.1 | 5.6 | 56 | 2.1 | 7.7 | 46.1 | 27.1 | 73.3 | 1.04 | 53.1 | 49.7 |
| Cameron Evans | - | 1 | 25.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | -2.0 | 72 | 2.5 | 14.9 | 25.0 | 20.0 | 0 | 1.04 | 29.2 | 29.2 |
| Jeremiah Kwarteng | - | 25 | 16.5 | 6.8 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 5.5 | 3.3 | 25 | 1.6 | 5.4 | 38.0 | 25.6 | 77.8 | 0.49 | 50.4 | 41.6 |
| Joseph Womack, Jr. | - | 15 | 14.3 | 5.2 | 3.9 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 3.4 | 5.6 | -22 | -5.5 | -210.4 | 58.8 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.41 | 58.3 | 58.8 |
| RJ Noord | - | 29 | 14.6 | 4.8 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 4.3 | 4.3 | -56 | -3.3 | -9.2 | 40.0 | 12.0 | 71.2 | -0.32 | 47.3 | 41.2 |
| Trevino Glover | - | 29 | 15.0 | 4.7 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 4.6 | 2.6 | 12 | 0.7 | 2.4 | 31.6 | 29.6 | 91.3 | 0.33 | 47.9 | 43.6 |
| Kristian Ford | - | 25 | 12.0 | 4.6 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 4.0 | 3.2 | -24 | -2.4 | -10.4 | 37.0 | 28.6 | 69.4 | 0.01 | 49.6 | 45.0 |
| Jaelen Nelson | - | 27 | 12.7 | 4.2 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 3.9 | 2.6 | -43 | -1.8 | -8.2 | 36.8 | 36.1 | 68.4 | 0.13 | 49.4 | 47.2 |
| Christian Gary | - | 1 | 22.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Jabari Williams | - | 1 | 20.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 41 | 1.7 | 8.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.7 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Cyrus Huggard-Noel | - | 27 | 14.7 | 3.7 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 3.5 | 4.3 | -52 | -2.4 | -10.8 | 45.3 | 0.0 | 42.4 | 0.64 | 45.7 | 45.3 |
| Malique Johnson | - | 1 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 14 | 0.6 | 8.1 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.02 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| D'Shun Edwards | - | 29 | 8.7 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 7 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 43.7 | 23.8 | 51.5 | -0.07 | 49.1 | 47.2 |
| Adonnis Tolbert | - | 26 | 8.8 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 2.7 | -3 | -0.2 | -0.9 | 48.2 | 0 | 79.2 | 0.61 | 54.8 | 48.2 |
| Isiah Cameron | - | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -10 | -1.0 | -24.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.63 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Joshua Goode | - | 27 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | -34 | -2.1 | -46.1 | 25.0 | 40.0 | 36.4 | -0.45 | 38.9 | 37.5 |
| Gabe Guilford | - | 27 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 27.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.71 | 33.7 | 27.3 |
| Amari Davis | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Thomas Faucett | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Khalid Pouge | - | 27 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | -0.1 | 12 | 2.4 | 63.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.94 | 7.3 | 0.0 |
| Larry iIssac Scott III | - | 10 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -20 | -0.7 | -3.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 |
| Samuel Vessat | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Carter Von Hankerson | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Kyle White | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Bailo Diallo | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -6 | -2.0 | -16.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG