Eckerd
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1191 (#35) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1177 (#51) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1231 (#6) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +12.9 (#60) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +22.9 (#71) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.852 (#212) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.933 (#121) | NetEff +21.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.947 (#156) | AdjNet +24.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.951 (#156) | AdjNet +25.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.820 (#151) | AdjO 71.5 | AdjD 54.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.852 (#11) | AdjO 71.3 | AdjD 52.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.903 (#28) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.907 (#25) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1338 (#10) | RD 100 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Valdosta St. | L | 58 - 66 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | West Florida | L | 60 - 72 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Columbus St. | W | 62 - 59 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Barry | W | 81 - 54 |
| 2025-11-28 | vs | Cedarville | W | 64 - 53 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | USC Beaufort | W | 67 - 60 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Tampa | W | 69 - 56 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Lynn | W | 65 - 54 |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | Florida Tech | W | 75 - 42 |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | Erskine | W | 102 - 46 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Southern Wesleyan | W | 95 - 58 |
| 2025-12-31 | vs | Nova Southeastern | L | 61 - 62 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Embry-Riddle (FL) | L | 65 - 70 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Saint Leo | W | 88 - 51 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Fla. Southern | W | 58 - 54 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Palm Beach Atl. | W | 54 - 52 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Embry-Riddle (FL) | W | 73 - 55 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Nova Southeastern | W | 79 - 65 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Rollins | W | 71 - 43 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Tampa | W | 73 - 63 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Florida Tech | W | 84 - 42 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ieva Korzane | - | 21 | 35.5 | 14.7 | 4.1 | 2.8 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 10.5 | 8.8 | 164 | 7.5 | 35.2 | 52.3 | 35.6 | 81.2 | 0.94 | 62.1 | 58.2 |
| Emma Egan | - | 21 | 30.9 | 14.0 | 9.8 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 3.0 | 11.4 | 14.3 | 158 | 7.2 | 42.8 | 50.8 | 28.2 | 54.2 | 1.65 | 54.1 | 53.1 |
| Jaylen Ostenson | - | 21 | 31.4 | 11.1 | 6.6 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 10.0 | 9.4 | 178 | 8.1 | 42.0 | 37.9 | 27.6 | 65.5 | 4.72 | 49.5 | 46.7 |
| Lisa Michaelsen | - | 19 | 29.2 | 8.1 | 5.1 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 7.0 | 8.9 | 107 | 5.3 | 39.6 | 39.8 | 31.9 | 77.4 | 1.07 | 52.2 | 48.5 |
| Kailyn Terrell | - | 21 | 21.7 | 6.7 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 5.8 | 4.7 | 141 | 6.4 | 55.7 | 37.2 | 34.5 | 75.0 | 2.15 | 52.5 | 49.2 |
| Hekla Nökkvadóttir | - | 12 | 13.9 | 6.6 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 4.2 | 5.5 | 38 | 2.9 | 55.3 | 56.9 | 55.0 | 58.8 | -2.42 | 67.5 | 67.6 |
| Greta Carollo | - | 17 | 18.2 | 5.8 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 4.4 | 5.1 | 72 | 4.2 | 24.8 | 45.9 | 38.6 | 100.0 | 0.55 | 63.2 | 60.8 |
| Sarah Racaud | - | 21 | 12.5 | 4.7 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 4.2 | 4.4 | 109 | 5.2 | 41.8 | 40.9 | 28.9 | 64.0 | -0.34 | 50.0 | 47.2 |
| Savannah Borowicz | - | 19 | 18.4 | 4.6 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 4.9 | 4.4 | 145 | 7.6 | 53.4 | 33.3 | 30.6 | 50.0 | 1.13 | 44.3 | 43.5 |
| Victoria Bross | - | 7 | 7.0 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 15 | 1.9 | 40.8 | 26.3 | 9.1 | 66.7 | -1.39 | 32.0 | 28.9 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG