Eckerd
Model Outputs
2016-2017
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1138 (#69) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1167 (#54) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1064 (#81) | HCA +68 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +14.0 (#49) | HCA +2.5 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +11.5 (#55) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.744 (#51) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.878 (#34) | AdjNet +17.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.880 (#34) | AdjNet +17.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.737 (#51) | AdjO 79.9 | AdjD 68.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.640 (#58) | AdjO 78.0 | AdjD 71.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.761 (#51) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.745 (#50) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1135 (#70) | RD 107 | GP 29 |
2017 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-11-11 | vs | West Ala. | W | 70 - 54 |
| 2016-11-12 | vs | Delta St. | L | 72 - 75 |
| 2016-11-16 | vs | Florida Tech | L | 84 - 86 |
| 2016-11-19 | @ | Embry-Riddle (FL) | W | 70 - 68 |
| 2016-11-25 | vs | P.R.-Bayamon | W | 98 - 60 |
| 2016-11-26 | vs | Colo. Christian | W | 83 - 82 |
| 2016-11-30 | vs | Lynn | W | 73 - 56 |
| 2016-12-03 | @ | Rollins | W | 82 - 73 |
| 2016-12-10 | vs | Saint Leo | W | 83 - 67 |
| 2016-12-18 | vs | Miles | W | 95 - 86 |
| 2016-12-19 | @ | Lane | W | 84 - 63 |
| 2017-01-04 | @ | Palm Beach Atl. | W | 83 - 74 |
| 2017-01-07 | vs | Barry | L | 95 - 97 |
| 2017-01-11 | vs | Tampa | W | 81 - 71 |
| 2017-01-14 | @ | Fla. Southern | L | 79 - 87 |
| 2017-01-18 | vs | Nova Southeastern | W | 68 - 66 |
| 2017-01-21 | @ | Lynn | W | 70 - 54 |
| 2017-01-25 | vs | Embry-Riddle (FL) | L | 80 - 93 |
| 2017-01-28 | @ | Barry | L | 72 - 84 |
| 2017-02-01 | vs | Florida Tech | W | 92 - 87 |
| 2017-02-04 | vs | Rollins | W | 93 - 71 |
| 2017-02-08 | @ | Tampa | W | 59 - 46 |
| 2017-02-11 | @ | Nova Southeastern | W | 72 - 52 |
| 2017-02-18 | vs | Palm Beach Atl. | L | 71 - 73 |
| 2017-02-22 | @ | Saint Leo | W | 88 - 82 |
| 2017-02-25 | vs | Fla. Southern | W | 98 - 82 |
| 2017-03-01 | vs | Fla. Southern | W | 88 - 72 |
| 2017-03-04 | vs | Rollins | L | 70 - 81 |
| 2017-03-11 | @ | Barry | L | 87 - 91 |
2017 Roster
No roster data available for this season.