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Ecclesia

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: Ecclesia
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 945 (#326) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 878 (#375) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → -32.6 (#318) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.002 (#721) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -39.6 More → 0.010 (#740) AdjNet -39.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -39.3 More → 0.009 (#740) AdjNet -39.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.6 | AdjD 92.6 More → 0.062 (#738) AdjO 62.6 | AdjD 92.6

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-15 @ Southern Ark. L 57 - 120
2024-11-23 @ Ark.-Monticello L 30 - 94
2024-11-25 @ Northeastern St. L 60 - 91
2024-11-26 @ Ouachita Baptist L 65 - 137
2024-12-13 @ Ark.-Fort Smith L 52 - 112

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Trey Phipps - 1 26.0 25.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 23.0 8.0 -53 -2.0 -5.6 43.5 31.2 0 0.16 54.3 54.3
Hobert Grayson - 1 20.0 21.0 9.0 5.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 28.0 6 0.2 0.5 80.0 100.0 100.0 1.17 89.3 85.0
Shaun Williams - 1 16.0 20.0 1.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 18.0 -19 -0.8 -1.9 80.0 66.7 0 1.07 100.0 100.0
Reggie Martin - 1 15.0 19.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 15.0 26 1.2 2.5 100.0 100.0 0 1.27 118.8 118.8
Gavin Snyder - 1 22.0 18.0 12.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 27.0 4 0.2 1.0 66.7 75.0 0 0.22 100.0 100.0
Devyn Franklin - 1 19.0 16.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 7.0 16.0 85 3.4 15.2 100.0 100.0 50.0 0.28 101.5 107.1
Keon Edwards - 1 27.0 14.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 10.0 7.0 -33 -1.2 -4.0 60.0 50.0 0.0 0.78 64.3 70.0
MJ Leslie - 1 10.0 12.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 9.0 -90 -4.1 -24.8 80.0 80.0 0 0.28 120.0 120.0
Taven Washington - 1 20.0 11.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 13.0 -96 -3.1 -18.2 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.23 112.7 112.5
Rollin Belton - 1 18.0 10.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 11.0 41 2.0 7.4 100.0 0 0 1.01 100.0 100.0
Ethan Blackmon - 1 15.0 9.0 9.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 16.0 -51 -1.5 -6.2 60.0 0 75.0 0.46 66.6 60.0
Koen Derry - 1 18.0 9.0 9.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 18.0 -53 -2.4 -57.5 75.0 0 50.0 -0.28 67.8 75.0
Bryson Smith - 1 27.0 7.0 3.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 12.0 -13 -0.3 -1.3 50.0 33.3 0 -1.14 58.3 58.3
Dalen Fuller - 1 11.0 6.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 7.0 -31 -2.8 -402.2 50.0 0.0 50.0 -1.35 52.1 50.0
Kieler Young - 1 12.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 3.0 - - - 50.0 50.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Crew Flowers - 1 24.0 6.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 8.0 6.0 -67 -2.9 -51.3 37.5 0.0 0 -0.14 37.5 37.5
Kaden Geddes - 1 6.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 - - - 100.0 0 75.0 - 90.6 100.0
Jaxon Jones - 1 31.0 4.0 10.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 17.0 -120 -4.4 -12.0 50.0 0.0 0 0.27 50.0 50.0
PJ Neal - 1 17.0 4.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 5.0 -39 -1.1 -4.2 50.0 0.0 0 0.57 50.0 50.0
Kade Caldwell - 1 13.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 2.0 - - - 25.0 33.3 0 - 37.5 37.5
Ryan Harris - 1 14.0 3.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 7.0 8 2.0 59.6 25.0 25.0 0 -1.1 37.5 37.5
Eli Eaves - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Parker Hardage - 1 8.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 -5.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Caison Hartloff - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jayden Parker - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Seth Pratt - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jaxson Vandegarde - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Aidan Lambert - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG