🐻⬇️🏀

Eastern N.M.

Also known as: Eastern N.M.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1198 (#29) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1109 (#84) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 987 (#465) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +17.1 (#34) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +16.6 (#124) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.666 (#299) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +16.6 More → 0.906 (#134) NetEff +16.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +16.3 More → 0.867 (#237) AdjNet +16.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +17.0 More → 0.881 (#224) AdjNet +17.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.0 | AdjD 57.8 More → 0.735 (#222) AdjO 69.0 | AdjD 57.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.0 | AdjD 58.0 More → 0.712 (#77) AdjO 68.0 | AdjD 58.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.774 (#121) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.760 (#128) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 99 | GP 22 More → 1100 (#110) RD 99 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 @ Regis (CO) W 80 - 52
2025-11-15 @ Adams St. L 63 - 66
2025-11-18 @ Okla. Baptist L 85 - 93
2025-11-21 @ Fort Hays St. L 66 - 74
2025-11-22 @ Newman W 89 - 54
2025-12-01 vs Southwestern Okla. W 68 - 64
2025-12-04 vs Cameron W 76 - 36
2025-12-06 vs Okla. Christian W 63 - 50
2025-12-11 @ Texas-Dallas W 68 - 47
2025-12-19 @ Western Wash. L 40 - 44
2025-12-20 vs Simon Fraser W 74 - 71
2025-12-29 @ New Mexico St. L 48 - 52
2026-01-02 @ Sul Ross St. W 101 - 58
2026-01-10 vs St. Edward's W 88 - 60
2026-01-15 @ Midwestern St. W 66 - 54
2026-01-17 @ Lubbock Christian L 63 - 77
2026-01-22 vs West Tex. A&M L 83 - 84
2026-01-29 vs Texas Woman's L 63 - 66
2026-01-31 vs UT Tyler L 47 - 61
2026-02-05 @ Okla. Christian L 55 - 66
2026-02-07 @ Cameron W 76 - 47

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Chloe Dallas - 13 20.5 13.9 7.7 0.6 1.6 0.8 2.9 9.5 12.2 25 1.8 4.4 57.3 0.0 58.2 4.51 59.0 57.3
Aaliyah Smith - 20 18.6 10.3 2.0 2.5 1.6 0.0 2.2 9.8 4.5 32 1.5 9.8 37.2 27.0 57.1 -3.43 46.0 43.4
Julieta Ceja - 21 27.1 10.0 6.5 1.4 1.0 0.4 2.1 8.0 9.2 56 2.3 9.3 48.5 40.9 65.9 -1.22 56.1 53.9
Ashala Moseberry - 20 22.2 8.4 3.4 1.1 1.9 0.5 1.5 7.1 6.5 73 3.5 19.7 37.3 38.6 88.5 0.76 54.7 51.1
Nataya Lockett - 20 18.9 7.7 2.8 1.4 1.5 0.1 1.7 7.5 4.3 64 2.7 19.9 35.8 21.7 73.2 -2.26 43.8 37.4
Tatiana Platonova - 16 21.0 6.3 3.6 2.3 0.5 0.1 1.4 6.1 5.3 128 7.1 113.4 36.7 26.5 57.1 2.03 44.5 41.3
Mekhila Brown - 12 12.5 4.8 2.4 0.3 0.8 0.0 1.6 4.5 2.2 3 0.2 3.2 37.0 0.0 63.0 1.12 43.3 37.0
Toyah Montgomery - 12 16.3 4.3 4.2 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.5 4.4 4.4 51 4.2 27.0 37.7 26.9 45.5 -0.19 45.0 44.3
Martrice Brooks - 18 18.4 4.3 2.7 1.3 1.4 0.3 1.2 3.9 5.0 5 0.3 0.9 36.6 25.0 63.6 0.7 45.0 39.4
Jaz Salon - 19 16.6 3.7 1.4 2.0 0.9 0.0 1.5 3.6 2.9 39 1.9 11.2 39.1 28.6 46.2 2.91 46.8 46.4
Hannah Jensen - 19 11.3 2.9 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.9 2.7 1.5 38 2.0 18.9 32.7 37.9 62.5 2.34 46.6 43.3
Daci Smith - 19 7.3 2.5 0.9 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 2.6 0.8 20 0.9 14.8 32.7 35.0 100.0 1.56 48.1 46.9
Victoria Barrera - 17 18.5 2.3 2.4 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.6 3.3 2.4 126 6.3 43.7 26.8 20.0 25.0 -0.53 32.8 33.0
Tonka Jaksic - 18 7.0 2.1 0.9 0.4 0.7 0.0 0.6 1.8 1.8 85 4.2 117.7 42.4 21.4 77.8 3.16 51.4 47.0
Niyah Johnson - 8 12.4 0.9 3.8 0.8 0.4 0.2 1.1 0.6 4.2 32 4.0 22.1 0.0 0 50.0 -1.23 31.4 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG