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Eastern Michigan

Season:
Also known as: Eastern Michigan Eagles, Eastern Michigan
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026 latest available
Catalog

No materialized model snapshot for 1986 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 824 (#316) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 829 (#302) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 888 (#680) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → -4.8 (#234) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +6.3 (#285) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.339 (#265) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -6.9 More → 0.298 (#233) NetEff -6.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -5.9 More → 0.336 (#231) AdjNet -5.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -6.0 More → 0.333 (#231) AdjNet -6.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 73.5 More → 0.390 (#233) AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 73.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 71.0 More → 0.449 (#494) AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 71.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.595 (#286) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.542 (#296) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 155 | GP 29 More → 881 (#545) RD 155 | GP 29

1986 Schedule & Results

No games found for this season.

1986 Roster

No roster data available for this season.