Eastern Kentucky
2026-2027: 4-1 · UAC
2026-2027 Team Stats (5 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1043 (#137) | Preseason prior 1053 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1062, returning +40, transfers -49, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1054 (#115) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1054 (#114) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +1.9 (#145) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +1.9 (#145) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.666 (#118) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.510 (#156) | AdjNet -0.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.546 (#146) | AdjNet +1.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.528 (#151) | AdjO 61.6 | AdjD 61.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.528 (#151) | AdjO 61.5 | AdjD 61.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.562 (#141) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.562 (#141) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1061 (#119) | RD 167 | GP 4 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.578 (#130) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | @ | UT Martin Skyhawks | L | 89 - 90 |
| 2026-11-05 | @ | Morehead State Eagles | W | 63 - 58 |
| 2026-11-07 | vs | Radford Highlanders | W | 65 - 56 |
| 2026-11-10 | vs | Midway Eagles | W | 94 - 48 |
| 2026-11-12 | vs | Southern Illinois Salukis | W | 71 - 57 |
| 2026-11-17 | vs | Northern Kentucky Norse | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-20 | vs | Simmons (KY) Falcons | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions and box-score rates; an unlisted position is inferred from those rates, and missing rates are treated as zero. Legend numbers are each player's share of recorded roster minutes, scaled to five players' regulation minutes; they can differ from minutes per game in the roster below, especially when players miss games or coverage is incomplete. Each position column totals one regulation game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kirsten Lewis-Williams
|
G | 5 | 30.8 | 14.8 | 6.2 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 12.4 | 9.2 | 16 | 4 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 43.5 | 16.7 | 81.8 | -0.97 | 51.6 | 45.2 |
Kenleigh Woods
|
G | 5 | 31.2 | 12.8 | 4.2 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 9.2 | 10.6 | 6 | 4 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 45.7 | 33.3 | 66.7 | -2.35 | 55.3 | 50.0 |
Liz Freihofer
|
G | 5 | 34.4 | 11.6 | 8.0 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 10.4 | 12.0 | 25 | 4 | 6.2 | 7.0 | 40.4 | 34.5 | 75.0 | 0.3 | 52.2 | 50.0 |
Luna Ueda
|
G | 4 | 34.2 | 10.8 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 3.2 | 9.8 | 5.2 | 37 | 4 | 9.2 | 11.2 | 38.5 | 22.2 | 47.4 | 2.07 | 45.4 | 43.6 |
Kailani Lindsey
|
F | 5 | 20.0 | 8.8 | 7.4 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 6.8 | 13.0 | 24 | 4 | 6.0 | 11.8 | 58.8 | 33.3 | 30.0 | -1.91 | 57.3 | 60.3 |
Michelle Ugwah
|
F | 5 | 18.2 | 8.8 | 5.8 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 6.4 | 10.0 | 9 | 4 | 2.2 | 5.2 | 59.4 | - | 46.2 | 0.02 | 58.3 | 59.4 |
Brooke Nichelson
|
G | 5 | 16.4 | 5.2 | 4.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 4.4 | 21 | 4 | 5.2 | 14.6 | 36.0 | 14.3 | 63.6 | 1.3 | 43.6 | 38.0 |
Rylee Kalocay
|
G | 4 | 8.5 | 4.5 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 9 | 3 | 3.0 | 27.3 | 43.8 | 20.0 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 52.0 | 46.9 |
Kiera Healy
|
G | 4 | 10.2 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 0.2 | 9 | 3 | 3.0 | 15.7 | 30.0 | 16.7 | 50.0 | -0.04 | 38.3 | 35.0 |
Nicole Fritea
|
F | 2 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.5 | -3 | 1 | -3.0 | -240.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | - | -1.86 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Elyse Autrey
|
G | 3 | 6.3 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | -8 | 2 | -4.0 | -142.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | -2.06 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
324 located field-goal attempts in 5 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Kirsten Lewis-WilliamsLiz FreihoferKenleigh WoodsKailani LindseyLuna UedaBrooke NichelsonKiera Healy
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 57-98 | 58.2 | 114 | Kailani Lindsey 19% (22 pts) | Kirsten Lewis-Williams 19% (22 pts) | Kenleigh Woods 20% (8 misses) | Kirsten Lewis-Williams 20% (8 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 54-106 | 50.9 | 108 | Kirsten Lewis-Williams 20% (22 pts) | Michelle Ugwah 19% (20 pts) | Kenleigh Woods 17% (9 misses) | Kirsten Lewis-Williams 17% (9 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 1-5 | 20.0 | 2 | Kirsten Lewis-Williams 100% (2 pts) | - | Kirsten Lewis-Williams 50% (2 misses) | Elyse Autrey 25% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 2-4 | 50.0 | 4 | Kenleigh Woods 50% (2 pts) | Kirsten Lewis-Williams 50% (2 pts) | Kailani Lindsey 50% (1 misses) | Kirsten Lewis-Williams 50% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 5-15 | 33.3 | 10 | Kailani Lindsey 20% (2 pts) | Kenleigh Woods 20% (2 pts) | Kirsten Lewis-Williams 50% (5 misses) | Liz Freihofer 20% (2 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 2-9 | 22.2 | 6 | Kenleigh Woods 50% (3 pts) | Liz Freihofer 50% (3 pts) | Kiera Healy 43% (3 misses) | Kirsten Lewis-Williams 29% (2 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 0-8 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Kirsten Lewis-Williams 25% (2 misses) | Brooke Nichelson 12% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 7-27 | 25.9 | 21 | Luna Ueda 29% (6 pts) | Kenleigh Woods 14% (3 pts) | Liz Freihofer 35% (7 misses) | Luna Ueda 20% (4 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 4-17 | 23.5 | 12 | Brooke Nichelson 25% (3 pts) | Kenleigh Woods 25% (3 pts) | Luna Ueda 54% (7 misses) | Brooke Nichelson 15% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 11-35 | 31.4 | 33 | Liz Freihofer 64% (21 pts) | Kailani Lindsey 9% (3 pts) | Liz Freihofer 33% (8 misses) | Kenleigh Woods 21% (5 misses) |