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Eastern Kentucky

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Eastern Kentucky Colonels, Eastern Kentucky
Program History
Coach: Dan McHale

2017 Team Stats (5 games)

60.8
PPG
70.2
Opp
-9.4
Margin
37.1%
FG%
21.5%
3P%
68.8%
FT%
35.8
RPG
12.2
APG
14.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
67.4
Adj PPG
74.1
Adj Opp PPG
#271
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 830 (#271) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 880 (#257) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More → 947 (#249) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More → -7.1 (#269) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More → -6.3 (#268) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.274 (#287) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -10.9 More → 0.222 (#279) AdjNet -10.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -11.0 More → 0.219 (#279) AdjNet -11.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.4 | AdjD 74.1 More → 0.351 (#271) AdjO 67.4 | AdjD 74.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.4 | AdjD 71.7 More → 0.403 (#266) AdjO 67.4 | AdjD 71.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.320 (#267) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.330 (#269) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 173 | GP 29 More → 867 (#261) RD 173 | GP 29

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-11 vs IU Indianapolis Jaguars W 97 - 87
2016-11-14 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks L 69 - 78
2016-11-17 @ Auburn Tigers L 64 - 85
2016-11-19 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders L 71 - 90
2016-11-22 vs Idaho State Bengals W 91 - 82
2016-11-23 @ Georgia State Panthers L 65 - 82
2016-11-26 vs Berea Mountaineers W 92 - 64
2016-11-30 vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers W 78 - 59
2016-12-03 vs Marshall Thundering Herd W 89 - 80
2016-12-07 @ Jacksonville Dolphins W 80 - 76
2016-12-10 @ Ball State Cardinals L 86 - 91
2016-12-17 @ Louisville Cardinals L 56 - 87
2016-12-19 @ Norfolk State Spartans L 80 - 87
2016-12-22 @ Manhattan Jaspers L 54 - 81
2016-12-28 vs UVA Wise Cavaliers W 70 - 51
2016-12-31 @ Southeast Missouri State Redhawks L 48 - 81
2017-01-05 vs SIU Edwardsville Cougars W 78 - 61
2017-01-07 vs Eastern Illinois Panthers L 60 - 74
2017-01-12 vs Tennessee State Tigers L 49 - 63
2017-01-14 vs Belmont Bruins L 59 - 72
2017-01-19 @ Murray State Racers L 79 - 86
2017-01-21 @ Morehead State Eagles L 54 - 80
2017-01-26 @ Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 57 - 52
2017-01-28 @ Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles W 79 - 66
2017-02-01 vs Austin Peay Governors L 81 - 83
2017-02-04 @ UT Martin Skyhawks L 68 - 85
2017-02-11 vs Morehead State Eagles L 62 - 67
2017-02-16 @ Belmont Bruins L 72 - 76
2017-02-18 @ Tennessee State Tigers L 66 - 68
2017-02-23 vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 68 - 65
2017-02-25 vs Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles W 75 - 71

2017 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Nick Mayo Nick Mayo F 16 35.7 18.2 6.2 2.9 0.5 1.2 3.1 7.1 18.8 - - - - 48.7 44.0 79.2 - 108.5 53.5
Asante Gist Asante Gist G 16 33.2 16.4 2.8 3.7 0.9 0.1 3.8 7.2 12.9 - - - - 30.4 28.6 80.9 - 96.6 36.5
Jaylen Babb-Harrison Jaylen Babb-Harrison G 6 31.2 11.8 5.0 1.3 1.3 0.2 1.5 7.3 10.8 - - - - 31.8 25.0 100.0 - 74.7 38.6
Isaac McGlone Isaac McGlone G 15 33.8 9.0 2.5 2.9 1.2 0.1 2.2 3.7 9.8 - - - - 39.3 38.1 69.2 - 109.4 53.6
DeAndre Dishman DeAndre Dishman F 5 21.2 7.2 4.6 1.0 0.6 0.6 1.0 4.2 8.8 - - - - 66.7 0 66.7 - 68.5 66.7
Zach Charles Zach Charles F 16 23.8 6.5 6.6 0.3 0.8 0.9 0.9 2.4 11.7 - - - - 56.4 0.0 62.5 - 104.9 56.4
Dillon Avare Dillon Avare G 16 24.8 5.1 1.0 0.9 0.6 0.0 0.5 2.6 4.4 - - - - 33.3 30.8 100.0 - 94.4 47.6
Marlon Adams Marlon Adams F 16 16.6 4.2 3.9 0.6 0.4 0.4 1.0 1.8 6.7 - - - - 60.7 50.0 40.0 - 98.3 62.5
Lachlan Anderson Lachlan Anderson F 5 4.0 1.2 1.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.4 1.2 1.8 - - - - 33.3 0.0 0.0 - 43.6 33.3
Parker Chitty Parker Chitty G 16 10.8 1.1 1.1 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.9 1.1 1.3 - - - - 16.7 6.7 75.0 - 43.0 19.4
Daniel Parke Daniel Parke G 3 2.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kirkland Humphrey Kirkland Humphrey G 4 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 -1.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG