Eastern Conn. St.
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1040 (#147) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1006 (#229) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -3.2 (#213) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.266 (#552) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.356 (#280) | NetEff -4.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.272 (#461) | AdjNet -8.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.219 (#476) | AdjNet -10.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.356 (#472) | AdjO 57.9 | AdjD 64.5 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-13 | @ | Lasell | L | 78 - 83 |
| 2024-11-15 | @ | Trinity (CT) | L | 59 - 76 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Springfield | L | 46 - 69 |
| 2024-11-19 | vs | Western New Eng. | L | 54 - 63 |
| 2024-11-22 | @ | Bridgewater St. | L | 74 - 79 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | U New England | W | 61 - 50 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Connecticut Col. | L | 65 - 68 |
| 2024-11-30 | vs | Salve Regina | L | 49 - 75 |
| 2024-12-04 | vs | Southern Me. | W | 50 - 40 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | UMass Boston | W | 64 - 53 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | UMass Dartmouth | L | 42 - 84 |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | WestConn | W | 67 - 56 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Wheaton (MA) | L | 58 - 62 |
| 2025-01-14 | vs | Keene St. | W | 62 - 54 |
| 2025-01-16 | @ | VTSU Castleton | W | 78 - 66 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Plymouth St. | W | 53 - 47 |
| 2025-01-22 | @ | Rhode Island Col. | L | 50 - 61 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | UMass Boston | L | 51 - 69 |
| 2025-01-29 | vs | UMass Dartmouth | L | 54 - 75 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Southern Me. | L | 49 - 69 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | WestConn | W | 72 - 61 |
| 2025-02-12 | @ | Keene St. | W | 65 - 61 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | VTSU Castleton | W | 62 - 58 |
| 2025-02-19 | vs | Rhode Island Col. | L | 58 - 64 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Plymouth St. | W | 64 - 49 |
| 2025-02-25 | vs | Keene St. | W | 56 - 0 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Salato | - | 25 | 32.3 | 19.0 | 9.5 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 15.6 | 14.1 | 8 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 44.1 | 25.0 | 80.1 | 0.16 | 51.4 | 44.2 |
| Ruby Dasaro | - | 1 | 37.0 | 17.0 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 15.0 | 16.0 | 8 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 40.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | -0.65 | 50.7 | 43.3 |
| Valerie Luizzi | - | 1 | 38.0 | 16.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 17.0 | 11.0 | 32 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 35.3 | 36.4 | 0 | -0.08 | 47.1 | 47.1 |
| Marissa Nudd | - | 25 | 33.2 | 14.2 | 4.8 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 12.3 | 5.8 | -41 | -1.3 | -1.3 | 44.3 | 20.5 | 72.5 | -0.4 | 50.4 | 45.8 |
| Liv Cassesse | - | 25 | 34.0 | 8.9 | 6.6 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 3.1 | 9.3 | 7.8 | 13 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 30.9 | 35.7 | 77.9 | 0.27 | 42.2 | 36.3 |
| Kya Mayo | - | 25 | 35.1 | 8.3 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 9.6 | 4.7 | -44 | -2.0 | -2.0 | 30.0 | 28.1 | 75.0 | -0.3 | 40.4 | 37.1 |
| Samantha Lee | - | 1 | 32.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 51 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 0.38 | 45.1 | 33.3 |
| Brynn Rautiola | - | 1 | 35.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | -1.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | 16.7 | 0 | -0.22 | 29.2 | 29.2 |
| Avery Stewart | - | 1 | 40.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 9.0 | 61 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 30.0 | 25.0 | 0.0 | -0.2 | 32.2 | 35.0 |
| Nevaeh Clark | - | 25 | 16.8 | 2.9 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 3.5 | 2.1 | -16 | -0.5 | -1.1 | 30.7 | 27.3 | 64.3 | 0.1 | 38.2 | 35.8 |
| Julia Knowles | - | 25 | 23.4 | 2.4 | 3.4 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 3.9 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 30.7 | 17.6 | 55.6 | 0.29 | 35.6 | 32.7 |
| Aryanna Murray | - | 1 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 35 | 3.5 | 6.8 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.18 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Alyssa Paquette | - | 22 | 10.0 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 | -30 | -1.1 | -2.0 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 83.3 | -0.26 | 39.1 | 28.6 |
| Isabella Romero | - | 24 | 7.2 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 | -52 | -2.0 | -5.3 | 34.6 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.47 | 35.3 | 34.6 |
| Gabriella Kufuor | - | 22 | 4.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | -0.2 | -18 | -0.9 | -4.4 | 27.8 | 25.0 | 50.0 | 0.02 | 37.1 | 36.1 |
| Anaka Eaton | - | 18 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.4 | 40.5 | 33.3 |
| Morgan Yonush | - | 15 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | -27 | -2.5 | -33.5 | 33.3 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.02 | 51.5 | 33.3 |
| Nevaeh King | - | 18 | 4.4 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | -29 | -1.6 | -5.7 | 25.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.49 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Grace Smith | - | 15 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Morginn Kotchian | - | 11 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | -0.1 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Audrey Tice | - | 11 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Angel Pillsbury | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -11 | -0.4 | -1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Kate Canavan | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.12 | 0 | 0 |
| Lilly Krysinski | - | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 43 | 1.6 | 3.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.26 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Anna Brown | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21 | 1.5 | 5.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.22 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG