East Central
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 966 (#250) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 898 (#297) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +8.8 (#106) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.401 (#401) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.437 (#238) | NetEff -1.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.780 (#281) | AdjNet +11.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.802 (#279) | AdjNet +11.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.664 (#281) | AdjO 62.6 | AdjD 55.0 |
2025 Schedule & Results
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Edelen | - | 27 | 33.2 | 13.8 | 4.7 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 13.3 | 5.5 | 71 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 39.0 | 34.0 | 80.6 | 0.51 | 47.6 | 43.7 |
| Eva Fernandez | - | 27 | 28.9 | 10.0 | 3.8 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 3.1 | 8.3 | 7.4 | 52 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 48.9 | 15.4 | 60.5 | 0.19 | 52.4 | 49.8 |
| Claira Dannefer | - | 27 | 22.7 | 8.7 | 4.9 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 7.1 | 6.6 | 68 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 45.3 | 0.0 | 63.8 | 0.23 | 50.1 | 45.3 |
| Chloe Malone | - | 27 | 22.8 | 5.9 | 5.1 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 6.1 | 6.3 | 91 | 3.4 | 4.7 | 38.2 | 50.0 | 51.7 | 0.39 | 41.3 | 38.5 |
| Peyton Mosley | - | 27 | 18.8 | 5.0 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 4.9 | 4.1 | 86 | 2.7 | 3.8 | 35.9 | 31.1 | 50.9 | 0.72 | 43.7 | 41.2 |
| Makenzy Herman | - | 27 | 26.9 | 4.6 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 3.7 | 4.2 | 59 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 40.6 | 42.2 | 78.9 | 0.45 | 56.7 | 54.0 |
| Tatum Havens | - | 27 | 17.4 | 3.6 | 3.7 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 4.0 | 3.6 | 61 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 28.0 | 24.1 | 80.0 | 0.14 | 40.8 | 34.6 |
| Kayley Alt | - | 25 | 12.2 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 4.0 | 0.2 | 37 | 1.4 | 3.0 | 29.7 | 33.9 | 50.0 | 0.41 | 40.2 | 40.1 |
| Jayden Weiberg | - | 19 | 13.7 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 58 | 3.1 | 5.3 | 31.3 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0.09 | 45.5 | 43.3 |
| Lucia Hervia | - | 23 | 5.8 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 5 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 29.4 | 28.6 | 60.0 | -0.15 | 37.3 | 35.3 |
| Alexus Belcher | - | 24 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Sydney Wade | - | 17 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Natalie Payne | - | 11 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -30 | -3.3 | -10.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.4 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG