East Central
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1052 (#131) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1029 (#232) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1056 (#127) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +10.1 (#83) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +14.3 (#155) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.401 (#401) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.540 (#267) | NetEff +1.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.780 (#281) | AdjNet +11.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.802 (#279) | AdjNet +11.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.664 (#281) | AdjO 62.6 | AdjD 55.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.630 (#138) | AdjO 62.4 | AdjD 56.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.742 (#144) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.730 (#149) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1131 (#88) | RD 101 | GP 19 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Rogers St. | W | 52 - 40 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Cameron | W | 70 - 63 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Okla. Christian | W | 79 - 56 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Midwestern St. | W | 59 - 38 |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Ouachita Baptist | L | 52 - 76 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Henderson St. | L | 66 - 73 |
| 2025-12-11 | vs | Southern Nazarene | W | 55 - 49 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Northwestern Okla. | L | 56 - 74 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Southwestern Okla. | L | 60 - 61 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Southern Ark. | W | 61 - 56 |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | Arkansas Tech | L | 69 - 71 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Harding | L | 52 - 59 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Southeastern Okla. | L | 62 - 64 |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Henderson St. | W | 73 - 65 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Ouachita Baptist | W | 70 - 64 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Southern Ark. | W | 60 - 57 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Ark.-Monticello | W | 65 - 48 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Edelen | - | 17 | 29.9 | 13.9 | 8.0 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 2.6 | 11.8 | 10.9 | 24 | 1.3 | 5.3 | 40.8 | 16.7 | 81.0 | 0.65 | 49.8 | 42.0 |
| Rylie Burnett | - | 17 | 33.5 | 11.1 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 9.1 | 7.2 | 11 | 0.6 | 2.3 | 39.0 | 40.4 | 73.1 | -0.41 | 51.2 | 45.1 |
| Eva Fernandez | - | 16 | 25.7 | 8.8 | 3.4 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 2.7 | 7.1 | 6.9 | -49 | -2.9 | -13.7 | 41.6 | 0 | 79.3 | -1.57 | 50.5 | 41.6 |
| Claira Dannefer | - | 17 | 16.9 | 6.2 | 4.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 4.9 | 4.8 | 12 | 0.6 | 3.7 | 53.0 | 0 | 52.9 | 1.02 | 54.1 | 53.0 |
| Ella Lavigne | - | 14 | 12.6 | 5.4 | 2.6 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 5.5 | 2.4 | -13 | -0.9 | -12.1 | 36.4 | 20.8 | 58.3 | -0.81 | 42.8 | 39.6 |
| Jayden Weiberg | - | 17 | 18.8 | 5.1 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 3.9 | 2.9 | 25 | 1.3 | 7.8 | 43.3 | 43.3 | 66.7 | 1.24 | 62.9 | 62.7 |
| Natalie Milwood | - | 17 | 12.5 | 4.8 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 4.0 | 3.5 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.6 | 48.5 | 55.6 | 62.5 | -0.84 | 54.0 | 52.2 |
| Peyton Mosley | - | 10 | 19.6 | 4.5 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 5.1 | 3.2 | 48 | 4.0 | 119.0 | 31.4 | 26.3 | 66.7 | 0.85 | 40.0 | 36.3 |
| Makenzy Herman | - | 17 | 24.6 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 2.9 | 3.9 | 5 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 26.5 | 22.5 | 66.7 | 1.07 | 39.6 | 35.7 |
| Natalie Payne | - | 16 | 10.5 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 1.1 | -15 | -0.8 | -19.4 | 40.6 | 0 | 30.0 | 0.78 | 39.8 | 40.6 |
| Kylie Ross | - | 7 | 4.1 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 0.1 | -8 | -1.1 | -184.6 | 33.3 | 42.9 | 0 | -0.25 | 45.8 | 45.8 |
| Tatum Havens | - | 13 | 9.9 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 2.8 | -37 | -2.6 | -23.5 | 30.8 | 11.1 | 75.0 | 0.97 | 36.0 | 32.7 |
| Haley Robertson | - | 1 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.29 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG