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East Central

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1076 (#53) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +102 elo More โ†’ 1063 (#57) HCA +102 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More โ†’ 1027 (#58) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ +13.0 (#25) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ +11.8 (#24) HCA +3.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.814 (#20) -
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 82.8 | AdjD 70.4 More โ†’ 0.692 (#28) AdjO 82.8 | AdjD 70.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 82.8 | AdjD 70.4 More โ†’ 0.631 (#28) AdjO 82.8 | AdjD 70.4
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 218 | GP 1 More โ†’ 1065 (#58) RD 218 | GP 1

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-09 vs Sterling (KS) W 107 - 63

2026-2027 Roster

No roster data available for this season.