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East Central

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: East Central
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 993 (#191) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 973 (#280) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1018 (#209) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +10.1 (#101) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +12.2 (#133) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.469 (#357) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +39.9 More → 0.987 (#103) NetEff +39.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +6.3 More → 0.673 (#316) AdjNet +6.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +6.4 More → 0.679 (#317) AdjNet +6.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.2 | AdjD 70.9 More → 0.617 (#307) AdjO 76.2 | AdjD 70.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.0 | AdjD 67.5 More → 0.662 (#95) AdjO 75.0 | AdjD 67.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.692 (#145) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.683 (#145) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 98 | GP 22 More → 1041 (#181) RD 98 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-13 vs Elizabeth City St. W 71 - 70
2025-11-14 @ Minn. Duluth L 66 - 71
2025-11-15 @ Minot St. W 78 - 67
2025-11-21 vs Arlington Baptist W 106 - 70
2025-11-22 vs Randall W 100 - 51
2025-11-26 @ Texas-Dallas W 67 - 57
2025-12-04 @ Ouachita Baptist L 63 - 69
2025-12-06 @ Henderson St. L 51 - 75
2025-12-11 vs Southern Nazarene L 80 - 88
2025-12-13 @ Northwestern Okla. L 76 - 78
2025-12-18 vs Okla. Baptist W 91 - 76
2025-12-21 vs Newman W 91 - 77
2026-01-03 @ Southwestern Okla. W 77 - 72
2026-01-08 vs Ark.-Monticello L 58 - 61
2026-01-10 vs Southern Ark. L 74 - 78
2026-01-15 @ Arkansas Tech L 61 - 62
2026-01-17 @ Harding L 62 - 96
2026-01-22 vs Southeastern Okla. W 84 - 64
2026-01-29 vs Henderson St. W 82 - 59
2026-01-31 vs Ouachita Baptist L 55 - 67
2026-02-05 @ Southern Ark. W 59 - 58
2026-02-07 @ Ark.-Monticello W 75 - 56

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Giovanni Emejuru - 1 30.7 23.0 10.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 11.0 24.0 - - - 72.7 0 77.8 - 76.9 72.7
Tybo Bailey - 1 31.8 19.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 12.0 - - - 40.0 25.0 90.0 - 66.0 50.0
Rustin Coffey - 21 31.5 12.4 4.1 1.2 0.5 0.7 1.0 8.8 9.3 89 4.5 21.6 47.8 36.1 83.3 2.66 62.0 57.3
Brandon Mann - 21 25.0 11.9 3.9 1.3 1.3 0.1 2.2 8.1 8.0 71 3.4 19.9 61.4 20.8 54.8 1.24 62.8 62.9
Jaden Miller - 21 31.9 10.5 2.6 8.4 1.0 0.1 2.8 5.9 14.0 78 3.1 17.9 55.3 40.9 77.6 4.42 66.5 58.9
Corey Caulker - 1 26.9 8.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 11.0 -1.0 - - - 36.4 0.0 0 - 36.4 36.4
Javaun Henderson - 21 19.4 7.6 3.1 0.5 0.7 0.1 1.0 5.2 5.9 42 2.0 15.7 50.5 44.4 77.3 -0.29 62.3 57.8
Hudson Linsenmeyer - 18 22.6 7.3 2.2 1.5 1.2 0.2 1.3 5.4 5.7 56 3.1 31.9 40.8 40.5 77.3 0.31 55.8 49.5
Kameron Newsome - 19 16.8 7.1 2.8 0.5 1.1 0.3 0.4 5.1 6.3 36 1.9 17.1 49.0 35.4 80.0 3.46 61.8 57.8
Jordan England - 14 20.4 6.8 2.1 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.6 5.2 4.1 -2 -0.2 -1.9 37.0 35.7 78.8 -3.43 54.3 47.3
Kyler Mann - 5 20.9 6.8 6.4 1.8 2.4 0.4 1.0 5.8 11.0 -33 -6.6 -68.9 48.3 37.5 42.9 0.93 53.0 53.4
Vito Perkovic - 1 8.1 6.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 5.0 - - - 75.0 0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Race Herr - 21 13.5 5.2 2.3 0.3 0.0 1.1 0.6 4.3 4.2 37 1.9 19.4 42.2 32.2 78.9 -0.62 55.9 52.8
Isaiah Mbeng - 1 29.3 5.0 6.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 6.0 5.0 - - - 33.3 20.0 0 - 41.7 41.7
Johnathan Price - 3 6.4 4.7 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 3.3 2.3 - - - 50.0 33.3 100.0 - 61.8 55.0
Mark Rucha - 15 15.8 4.5 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.3 0.8 5.0 2.9 43 2.9 19.3 37.3 21.6 50.0 -1.37 43.3 42.7
Reid Cason - 1 12.2 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 100.0 - 69.4 50.0
Jayshayne Woodard - 1 10.5 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 3.0 -1.0 - - - 66.7 0 0.0 - 58.1 66.7
Braden Baum - 19 9.7 2.7 1.7 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.6 2.1 2.2 7 0.4 17.9 46.2 30.8 75.0 -0.29 56.5 51.3
Ari Tumma - 3 6.0 2.3 2.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.7 3.3 1.0 - - - 30.0 25.0 0 - 35.0 35.0
Patrick D'Arcy - 1 18.2 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 100.0 - 20.5 0.0
Caleb Evans - 9 8.1 1.7 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.3 2.1 1.1 7 0.9 12.1 31.6 22.2 50.0 -0.22 37.7 36.8
Riki Adams - 5 5.5 0.4 0.8 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 1.2 0.2 18 3.6 131.7 16.7 0.0 0 0.72 16.7 16.7
Eli DeLaurier - 1 27.2 0.0 11.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 8.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Ladontae Felton - 1 5.2 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG