Earlham
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 792 (#473) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 729 (#473) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -11.9 (#297) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.077 (#646) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.102 (#356) | NetEff -16.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.060 (#586) | AdjNet -23.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.054 (#585) | AdjNet -24.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.181 (#606) | AdjO 57.1 | AdjD 73.7 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Kenyon | W | 55 - 48 |
| 2024-11-14 | @ | Wilmington (OH) | L | 45 - 83 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Kuyper | W | 64 - 34 |
| 2024-11-20 | vs | Heidelberg | W | 82 - 77 |
| 2024-11-22 | vs | Aurora | L | 70 - 74 |
| 2024-11-24 | vs | Wis.-Stevens Point | L | 56 - 79 |
| 2024-12-04 | vs | Transylvania | L | 53 - 75 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Manchester | L | 60 - 67 |
| 2024-12-14 | vs | Mt. St. Joseph | L | 57 - 63 |
| 2024-12-18 | @ | Rose-Hulman | L | 59 - 74 |
| 2024-12-30 | @ | Wooster | W | 71 - 63 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Franklin | L | 60 - 76 |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | Berea | L | 64 - 72 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Hanover | L | 58 - 75 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | Bluffton | L | 59 - 73 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Anderson (IN) | L | 65 - 69 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Hanover | L | 66 - 88 |
| 2025-01-29 | @ | Anderson (IN) | L | 73 - 87 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Franklin | L | 49 - 75 |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | Bluffton | W | 70 - 66 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Mt. St. Joseph | L | 63 - 87 |
| 2025-02-12 | @ | Berea | L | 46 - 81 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Manchester | W | 71 - 64 |
| 2025-02-19 | vs | Rose-Hulman | L | 54 - 69 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jay Bright | - | 24 | 31.5 | 14.4 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 3.0 | 11.1 | 9.7 | -66 | -2.8 | -3.0 | 44.2 | 30.1 | 75.7 | -0.18 | 54.3 | 48.3 |
| Berkley Shelton | - | 23 | 21.9 | 9.6 | 8.2 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 10.1 | 8.1 | -165 | -4.9 | -5.9 | 43.8 | 0 | 56.7 | -0.72 | 44.9 | 43.8 |
| Amari Wright | - | 24 | 23.6 | 8.8 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 9.4 | 3.3 | -138 | -3.9 | -4.4 | 36.4 | 26.6 | 69.8 | -0.71 | 43.3 | 40.2 |
| Josie Trabel | - | 5 | 19.8 | 7.0 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.4 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 20.0 | 80.0 | - | 39.6 | 36.9 |
| Abby Parsons | - | 21 | 17.0 | 6.1 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 5.1 | 4.3 | 23 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 43.5 | 35.7 | 83.3 | 0.39 | 54.4 | 50.5 |
| Amari Bradford | - | 23 | 23.7 | 6.0 | 4.6 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 7.3 | 3.6 | -47 | -2.1 | -2.9 | 29.9 | 9.1 | 67.9 | -0.15 | 36.0 | 30.2 |
| Willow Runyon | - | 23 | 25.0 | 5.4 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 5.5 | 1.8 | -70 | -3.0 | -3.8 | 32.5 | 33.3 | 65.5 | -0.27 | 45.0 | 42.1 |
| Bailey Gibson | - | 22 | 27.5 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 4.0 | 5.5 | -42 | -1.9 | -2.2 | 37.9 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.05 | 41.4 | 37.9 |
| Lovie Malone | - | 23 | 11.4 | 3.5 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 4.4 | 0.8 | 6 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 60.0 | 0.22 | 36.1 | 33.3 |
| Kaibre Stephan | - | 12 | 4.6 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 0.8 | - | - | - | 36.0 | 31.6 | 0 | -0.11 | 48.0 | 48.0 |
| Jaylee Hubble | - | 13 | 4.5 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 1.2 | - | - | - | 31.8 | 33.3 | 100.0 | -0.04 | 50.3 | 47.7 |
| Madison Short | - | 20 | 7.3 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 34.5 | 38.9 | 100.0 | 0.01 | 50.4 | 46.6 |
| Tatum McFarland | - | 11 | 4.8 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 0.6 | - | - | - | 31.6 | 25.0 | 0 | 0.2 | 39.5 | 39.5 |
| Madison Ruwersma | - | 23 | 4.4 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | -4 | -0.3 | -1.3 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.0 | 51.0 | 40.0 |
| Alexei Van Schaik | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Alexis Lynch | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -129 | -10.8 | -14.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.22 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG