Earlham
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 653 (#599) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 644 (#589) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 731 (#718) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -16.3 (#368) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -20.0 (#607) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.077 (#646) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.035 (#533) | NetEff -24.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.060 (#586) | AdjNet -23.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.054 (#585) | AdjNet -24.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.181 (#606) | AdjO 57.1 | AdjD 73.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.167 (#676) | AdjO 54.2 | AdjD 71.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.091 (#667) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.095 (#669) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 612 (#568) | RD 110 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Wilmington (OH) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Principia | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Albion | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-30 | @ | Heidelberg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Transylvania | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Mt. St. Joseph | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Rose-Hulman | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | St. Mary's (IN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Hanover | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Bluffton | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Anderson (IN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Transylvania | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Franklin | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Anderson (IN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Hanover | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Bluffton | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Mt. St. Joseph | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amari Wright | - | 17 | 33.1 | 12.8 | 4.6 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 3.5 | 12.1 | 7.4 | -263 | -12.5 | -67.0 | 37.1 | 28.6 | 72.9 | 0.06 | 46.0 | 40.5 |
| Berkley Shelton | - | 17 | 32.8 | 10.5 | 11.3 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3.2 | 12.6 | 10.7 | -257 | -12.2 | -68.4 | 37.2 | 0.0 | 46.3 | -1.44 | 38.4 | 37.2 |
| Sarah Riley | - | 14 | 24.6 | 9.3 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 7.4 | 4.5 | -159 | -9.4 | -60.1 | 40.4 | 38.1 | 95.7 | -1.78 | 57.0 | 51.9 |
| Alexis Lynch | - | 17 | 23.6 | 5.6 | 4.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 5.2 | 4.6 | -235 | -11.2 | -99.7 | 38.6 | 21.1 | 64.9 | -3.78 | 46.0 | 40.9 |
| Gabrielle Watkins | - | 17 | 27.3 | 4.7 | 4.8 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 5.4 | 5.1 | -190 | -9.0 | -58.3 | 26.1 | 23.8 | 59.5 | -0.51 | 36.9 | 31.5 |
| Leinani Garcia | - | 17 | 18.0 | 4.4 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 5.3 | 0.8 | -179 | -8.5 | -70.6 | 28.9 | 17.2 | 60.0 | -3.07 | 37.4 | 34.4 |
| Liz Godfrey | - | 17 | 19.4 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 4.9 | 0.9 | -138 | -6.6 | -68.6 | 28.9 | 28.9 | 25.0 | -0.76 | 41.9 | 42.2 |
| Bella Aguero | - | 17 | 11.9 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 3.2 | 0.2 | -88 | -4.2 | -98.4 | 27.8 | 32.4 | 68.8 | -0.11 | 42.6 | 38.0 |
| Ashanti Bradley | - | 16 | 11.4 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 4.3 | -1.5 | -67 | -3.4 | -68.2 | 14.5 | 21.4 | 75.0 | -0.14 | 25.6 | 21.0 |
| Kamryn Jarvis | - | 1 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Rylie Kellams | - | 8 | 3.9 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.5 | -16 | -2.0 | -47.7 | 33.3 | 0 | 25.0 | - | 31.5 | 33.3 |
| Stella Shannon | - | 5 | 2.9 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | -0.2 | -5 | -1.2 | -32.8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG