Duke
Model Outputs
2003-2004
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1898 (#8) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1765 (#1) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +44.7 (#5) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.847 (#4) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.945 (#2) | AdjNet +24.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.946 (#2) | AdjNet +24.8 |
2004 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003-11-22 | vs | Duke | W | 67 - 56 |
| 2003-11-27 | @ | - | W | 82 - 69 |
| 2003-11-28 | vs | Liberty | W | 76 - 47 |
| 2003-11-29 | @ | - | L | 68 - 78 |
| 2003-12-06 | vs | St. John's (NY) | L | 58 - 79 |
| 2003-12-14 | vs | Portland | L | 43 - 84 |
| 2003-12-17 | vs | Princeton | L | 51 - 69 |
| 2003-12-20 | @ | - | W | 89 - 61 |
| 2003-12-29 | vs | Duke | W | 88 - 54 |
| 2004-01-03 | @ | - | L | 54 - 73 |
| 2004-01-06 | vs | Fairfield | W | 99 - 58 |
| 2004-01-15 | vs | NC State | L | 57 - 76 |
| 2004-01-17 | vs | Wake Forest | L | 72 - 84 |
| 2004-01-29 | vs | Florida State | L | 49 - 56 |
| 2004-02-08 | vs | Duke | W | 81 - 55 |
| 2004-02-11 | vs | Virginia | L | 75 - 93 |
| 2004-02-22 | vs | Maryland | L | 63 - 86 |
| 2004-02-26 | vs | Valparaiso | W | 97 - 63 |
| 2004-03-03 | vs | Georgia Tech | W | 76 - 68 |
| 2004-03-06 | vs | North Carolina | L | 65 - 70 |
| 2004-03-12 | @ | - | W | 84 - 74 |
| 2004-03-13 | @ | - | W | 85 - 71 |
| 2004-03-14 | @ | - | L | 87 - 95 |
| 2004-03-18 | @ | - | W | 96 - 61 |
| 2004-03-20 | @ | - | W | 90 - 62 |
| 2004-03-26 | @ | - | W | 72 - 62 |
| 2004-03-28 | @ | - | W | 66 - 63 |
| 2004-04-03 | vs | Connecticut | L | 78 - 79 |
2004 Roster
Minutes by Position
Not enough player minute data to plot.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. Redick | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Luol Deng | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Daniel Ewing | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Shelden Williams | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Chris Duhon | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Shavlik Randolph | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Sean Dockery | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Nick Horvath | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Lee Melchionni | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Patrick Johnson | C | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Andy Borman | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Michael Thompson | C | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Patrick Davidson | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Joe Pagliuca | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG