Duke
Model Outputs
1993-1994
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1522 (#2) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1382 (#4) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1220 (#2) | HCA +119 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +18.8 (#8) | HCA +3.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +20.9 (#5) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.837 (#19) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.949 (#9) | AdjNet +25.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.950 (#9) | AdjNet +25.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.825 (#10) | AdjO 80.9 | AdjD 63.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.790 (#5) | AdjO 78.2 | AdjD 63.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.894 (#5) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.890 (#3) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1392 (#4) | RD 86 | GP 34 |
1994 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1993-11-27 | vs | Northeastern | W | 86 - 72 |
| 1993-12-01 | vs | The Citadel | W | 78 - 63 |
| 1993-12-04 | vs | Xavier | W | 82 - 60 |
| 1993-12-06 | vs | South Carolina State | W | 97 - 61 |
| 1993-12-11 | @ | Michigan | W | 73 - 63 |
| 1993-12-22 | @ | Iowa | W | 79 - 76 |
| 1993-12-30 | vs | Western Carolina | W | 87 - 67 |
| 1994-01-05 | @ | Clemson | W | 71 - 65 |
| 1994-01-08 | vs | Georgia Tech | W | 88 - 71 |
| 1994-01-10 | vs | Brown | W | 89 - 71 |
| 1994-01-13 | vs | Wake Forest | L | 68 - 69 |
| 1994-01-15 | @ | Virginia | W | 66 - 58 |
| 1994-01-20 | @ | NC State | W | 92 - 65 |
| 1994-01-22 | vs | Florida State | W | 106 - 79 |
| 1994-01-26 | vs | Notre Dame | W | 74 - 72 |
| 1994-01-29 | vs | Maryland | W | 75 - 62 |
| 1994-02-03 | @ | North Carolina | L | 78 - 89 |
| 1994-02-05 | vs | Clemson | W | 78 - 74 |
| 1994-02-08 | @ | Georgia Tech | W | 66 - 63 |
| 1994-02-13 | @ | Wake Forest | L | 69 - 78 |
| 1994-02-16 | vs | Virginia | W | 84 - 54 |
| 1994-02-20 | vs | NC State | W | 85 - 58 |
| 1994-02-23 | @ | Florida State | W | 84 - 72 |
| 1994-02-27 | vs | Temple | W | 59 - 47 |
| 1994-03-02 | @ | Maryland | W | 73 - 69 |
| 1994-03-05 | vs | North Carolina | L | 77 - 87 |
| 1994-03-11 | N | Clemson | W | 77 - 64 |
| 1994-03-12 | N | Virginia | L | 61 - 66 |
| 1994-03-18 | N | Texas Southern | W | 82 - 70 |
| 1994-03-20 | N | Michigan State | W | 85 - 74 |
| 1994-03-24 | N | Marquette | W | 59 - 49 |
| 1994-03-26 | N | Purdue | W | 69 - 60 |
| 1994-04-02 | N | Florida | W | 70 - 65 |
| 1994-04-04 | N | Arkansas | L | 72 - 76 |
1994 Roster
No roster data available for this season.