Drury
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1079 (#109) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1047 (#177) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1012 (#224) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +7.1 (#170) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +6.5 (#218) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.612 (#276) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.856 (#210) | NetEff +16.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.807 (#228) | AdjNet +12.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.813 (#227) | AdjNet +12.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.709 (#225) | AdjO 83.2 | AdjD 73.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.602 (#146) | AdjO 82.0 | AdjD 77.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.655 (#186) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.641 (#191) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1038 (#184) | RD 93 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Ohio Dominican | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Thomas More | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Ecclesia | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Ozark Christian | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Concordia-St. Paul | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-26 | vs | Central Mo. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-01 | @ | Southwest Baptist | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Truman St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Quincy | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Cent. Christian Bib. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-21 | vs | Ark.-Fort Smith | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-02 | vs | Rockhurst | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-04 | vs | William Jewell | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-08 | vs | Missouri S&T | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Lincoln (MO) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | Maryville (MO) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | McKendree | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Ill. Springfield | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | UIndy | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Lewis | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Upper Iowa | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Quincy | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Truman St. | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Howell | - | 23 | 32.7 | 18.2 | 4.8 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 11.1 | 14.8 | -69 | -3.0 | -10.9 | 50.4 | 47.3 | 86.2 | -0.59 | 70.3 | 65.8 |
| Colin Hardrick | - | 23 | 35.0 | 15.4 | 6.6 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 13.0 | 13.2 | -29 | -1.3 | -4.2 | 42.3 | 29.8 | 68.2 | 1.91 | 51.2 | 47.0 |
| KeShaun Thomas | - | 23 | 27.4 | 15.3 | 6.6 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 10.5 | 12.4 | -37 | -1.6 | -7.1 | 49.4 | 18.4 | 78.5 | 0.25 | 58.4 | 50.8 |
| Isaiah Otyaluk | - | 21 | 17.3 | 9.1 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 6.7 | 4.6 | -34 | -1.6 | -13.3 | 51.4 | 43.7 | 69.2 | -1.12 | 65.5 | 65.0 |
| Luke Stubbs | - | 21 | 28.3 | 9.1 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 7.2 | 5.8 | -52 | -2.5 | -10.4 | 47.7 | 43.2 | 74.4 | -2.63 | 57.1 | 54.0 |
| Avante Nichols | - | 7 | 22.5 | 8.4 | 5.3 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 6.1 | 9.3 | -91 | -13.0 | -68.0 | 65.1 | 20.0 | 50.0 | -5.55 | 65.9 | 66.3 |
| Keion Epps | - | 20 | 25.0 | 5.7 | 2.6 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 5.3 | 7.2 | -34 | -1.7 | -10.2 | 37.7 | 29.4 | 70.4 | 3.93 | 48.4 | 44.8 |
| Ethan Whatley | - | 9 | 16.6 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 4.6 | 2.1 | -26 | -2.9 | -28.6 | 36.6 | 34.5 | 0 | -1.93 | 48.8 | 48.8 |
| Kevin Sargeant | - | 15 | 16.3 | 3.9 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3.0 | 6.3 | 26 | 1.6 | 8.0 | 57.8 | 0.0 | 43.8 | 2.64 | 56.7 | 57.8 |
| Sekou Gassama | - | 19 | 12.6 | 3.5 | 2.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 2.4 | 3.7 | 1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 47.8 | 0.0 | 59.0 | 2.27 | 53.0 | 47.8 |
| Gezim Bajrami | - | 13 | 7.1 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 3 | 0.2 | 13.9 | 35.3 | 20.0 | 69.2 | -2.14 | 45.3 | 39.7 |
| Brady Nicholson | - | 9 | 4.5 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 0.0 | -6 | -0.7 | -21.3 | 28.6 | 22.2 | 0.0 | -0.34 | 33.6 | 35.7 |
| Wyatt Carr | - | 6 | 3.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.2 | -2 | -0.3 | -25.8 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -0.92 | 37.0 | 20.0 |
| Brenley Hagewood | - | 3 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG