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Drexel Dragons

2026-2027 Team Stats (1 games)

39.0
PPG
81.0
Opp
-42.0
Margin
27.1%
FG%
24.0%
3P%
50.0%
FT%
23.0
RPG
9.0
APG
11.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
57.0
Adj PPG
60.2
Adj Opp PPG
#184
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 991 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1008, returning +19, transfers -36, freshmen +0 More โ†’ 972 (#182) Preseason prior 991 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1008, returning +19, transfers -36, freshmen +0
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +169 elo More โ†’ 973 (#184) HCA +169 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +169 elo More โ†’ 973 (#184) HCA +169 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.7 More โ†’ -2.6 (#185) HCA +1.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +1.6 More โ†’ -2.7 (#187) HCA +1.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.295 (#210) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -15.0 More โ†’ 0.389 (#198) AdjNet -15.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -15.0 More โ†’ 0.392 (#205) AdjNet -15.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 57.0 | AdjD 60.2 More โ†’ 0.450 (#184) AdjO 57.0 | AdjD 60.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 57.0 | AdjD 60.3 More โ†’ 0.449 (#184) AdjO 57.0 | AdjD 60.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.392 (#212) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.392 (#212) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 185 | GP 3 More โ†’ 973 (#179) RD 185 | GP 3
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More โ†’ 0.380 (#205) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

Rank through the season

League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.

Elo Points Off/Def Recency

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 vs Marist Red Foxes W 62 - 47
2026-11-06 vs Pennsylvania Quakers L 70 - 71
2026-11-11 @ Virginia Cavaliers L 39 - 81
2026-11-15 vs Saint Joseph's Hawks - Preview
2026-11-18 @ American University Eagles - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Molly Rullo Molly Rullo G 1 37.0 18.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 13.0 11.0 -14 3 -4.7 -5.3 61.5 40.0 0 0.03 69.2 69.2
Laine McGurk Laine McGurk G 1 33.0 10.0 4.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 5.0 7.0 7.0 -4 3 -1.3 -1.5 57.1 50.0 0 2.04 71.4 71.4
Bria Watkins Bria Watkins G 1 32.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 12.0 -3.0 -22 3 -7.3 -11.9 8.3 20.0 50.0 -2.39 15.5 12.5
Aisha Dabo Aisha Dabo F 1 15.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 -1.0 - - - - 20.0 33.3 0 - 30.0 30.0
Megan Rullo Megan Rullo G 1 18.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 -2.0 - - - - 16.7 0.0 0 - 16.7 16.7
Julia Garcia Roig Julia Garcia Roig G 1 31.0 2.0 1.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 -1.0 3 3 1.0 1.2 11.1 0.0 0 1.23 11.1 11.1
Molly Lavin Molly Lavin F 1 25.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 1.0 -4 3 -1.3 -2.2 0.0 0.0 0 -0.05 0.0 0.0
Miley Malcolm Miley Malcolm F 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Emma Montanari Emma Montanari G 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Meliah Van-Otoo Meliah Van-Otoo G 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ava Fajardo Ava Fajardo G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Emilee Jones Emilee Jones G 1 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -2.0 -19 3 -6.3 -33.2 0.0 0.0 0 -3.65 0.0 0.0
Mariah Watkins Mariah Watkins G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

59 located field-goal attempts in 1 game (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Rullo83% McGurk50% McGurk50% McGurk100% Dabo25% Rullo100%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Watkins27% Watkins40% Rullo67% Rullo100% Rullo60% Watkins50% Watkins20%
Misses: who misses most here

Molly RulloLaine McGurkAisha DaboBria Watkins

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Paint (non-RA) 6-21 28.6 12 Molly Rullo 83% (10 pts) Julia Garcia Roig 17% (2 pts) Bria Watkins 27% (4 misses) Julia Garcia Roig 27% (4 misses)
Mid-range left 2-7 28.6 4 Laine McGurk 50% (2 pts) Molly Rullo 50% (2 pts) Bria Watkins 40% (2 misses) Julia Garcia Roig 40% (2 misses)
Mid-range center 2-5 40.0 4 Laine McGurk 50% (2 pts) Molly Rullo 50% (2 pts) Molly Rullo 67% (2 misses) Bria Watkins 33% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 0-1 0.0 0 - - Molly Rullo 100% (1 misses) -
Left corner 3 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Right corner 3 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Above-break 3 left 1-6 16.7 3 Laine McGurk 100% (3 pts) - Molly Rullo 60% (3 misses) Aisha Dabo 20% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 center 4-8 50.0 12 Aisha Dabo 25% (3 pts) Bria Watkins 25% (3 pts) Bria Watkins 50% (2 misses) Julia Garcia Roig 25% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 right 1-11 9.1 3 Molly Rullo 100% (3 pts) - Bria Watkins 20% (2 misses) Molly Lavin 20% (2 misses)