Drake
Model Outputs
2003-2004
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and includes an unverified participant universe. |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1389 (#104) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +28.2 (#118) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.450 (#61) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.387 (#76) | AdjNet -4.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.388 (#76) | AdjNet -3.9 |
2004 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003-11-25 | @ | Iowa | L | 56 - 74 |
| 2003-11-29 | vs | Colorado State | L | 69 - 76 |
| 2003-12-02 | @ | Western Illinois | W | 73 - 64 |
| 2003-12-06 | vs | Southern Illinois | L | 66 - 75 |
| 2003-12-13 | vs | Southern Utah | W | 71 - 56 |
| 2003-12-20 | vs | Iowa State | L | 77 - 83 |
| 2003-12-29 | @ | TAMUCC | L | 72 - 78 |
| 2003-12-30 | N | Cleveland State | W | 83 - 80 |
| 2004-01-03 | @ | Wichita State | W | 71 - 60 |
| 2004-01-08 | vs | Bradley | W | 90 - 67 |
| 2004-01-11 | @ | Creighton | L | 67 - 78 |
| 2004-01-14 | vs | Illinois State | W | 59 - 55 |
| 2004-01-17 | @ | Northern Iowa | L | 56 - 76 |
| 2004-01-22 | @ | Indiana State | L | 70 - 80 |
| 2004-01-25 | vs | Missouri State | L | 50 - 51 |
| 2004-01-28 | @ | Bradley | W | 62 - 57 |
| 2004-01-31 | vs | Wichita State | L | 60 - 70 |
| 2004-02-04 | vs | Indiana State | W | 69 - 66 |
| 2004-02-07 | @ | Evansville | L | 68 - 77 |
| 2004-02-11 | @ | Southern Illinois | L | 76 - 96 |
| 2004-02-14 | vs | Creighton | W | 78 - 73 |
| 2004-02-17 | @ | Missouri State | L | 59 - 68 |
| 2004-02-21 | @ | Akron | W | 82 - 78 |
| 2004-02-25 | vs | Northern Iowa | L | 79 - 84 |
| 2004-02-28 | vs | Evansville | W | 81 - 71 |
| 2004-03-01 | @ | Illinois State | L | 68 - 73 |
| 2004-03-06 | N | Wichita State | L | 57 - 63 |
2004 Roster
Minutes by Position
Not enough player minute data to plot.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lonnie Randolph | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Chaun Brooks | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Nick Grant | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Klayton Korver | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Josh Robinson | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Josh Powell | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Pete Eggers | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Quantel Murphy | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| David Bancroft | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Nate Richie | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Sean Tracy | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Marcin Konarzewski | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Thomas Diezi | C | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Brian Hogan | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Jon Crane | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Zach Egli | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Robert Gaffey | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Mark Larsen | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG