Drake
Model Outputs
1999-2000
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 868 (#222) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 929 (#207) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 895 (#274) | HCA +114 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -0.1 (#161) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -2.0 (#178) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.437 (#187) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.475 (#165) | AdjNet -0.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.476 (#165) | AdjNet -0.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.483 (#166) | AdjO 62.7 | AdjD 63.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.418 (#224) | AdjO 61.7 | AdjD 65.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.411 (#192) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.398 (#204) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 899 (#222) | RD 145 | GP 29 |
2000 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1999-11-19 | vs | Iowa State | W | 48 - 44 |
| 1999-11-23 | vs | Delaware State | W | 81 - 51 |
| 1999-11-27 | @ | Lamar | L | 44 - 62 |
| 1999-12-01 | @ | Stony Brook | W | 64 - 57 |
| 1999-12-09 | vs | Arkansas–Pine Bluff | W | 75 - 53 |
| 1999-12-11 | @ | Loyola (IL) | L | 66 - 70 |
| 1999-12-19 | vs | Bradley | W | 75 - 63 |
| 1999-12-23 | vs | Mississippi Valley State | W | 85 - 65 |
| 1999-12-28 | @ | Iowa | L | 76 - 83 |
| 2000-01-03 | vs | Illinois–Chicago | W | 64 - 60 |
| 2000-01-05 | vs | Evansville | L | 64 - 67 |
| 2000-01-09 | vs | Northern Iowa | W | 58 - 54 |
| 2000-01-12 | @ | Evansville | L | 62 - 70 |
| 2000-01-15 | @ | Creighton | L | 66 - 70 |
| 2000-01-17 | vs | Illinois State | W | 69 - 46 |
| 2000-01-22 | @ | Indiana State | L | 62 - 67 |
| 2000-01-26 | @ | Southern Illinois | L | 48 - 76 |
| 2000-01-29 | vs | Indiana State | L | 56 - 73 |
| 2000-02-01 | vs | Creighton | W | 74 - 70 |
| 2000-02-05 | vs | Southern Illinois | L | 62 - 79 |
| 2000-02-10 | @ | Missouri State | L | 51 - 61 |
| 2000-02-12 | @ | Wichita State | L | 60 - 65 |
| 2000-02-16 | @ | Bradley | L | 40 - 55 |
| 2000-02-19 | vs | Wichita State | L | 56 - 62 |
| 2000-02-23 | vs | Missouri State | L | 47 - 55 |
| 2000-02-26 | @ | Northern Iowa | L | 54 - 56 |
| 2000-02-28 | @ | Illinois State | L | 88 - 90 |
| 2000-03-03 | N | Northern Iowa | W | 58 - 57 |
| 2000-03-04 | N | Missouri State | L | 50 - 62 |
2000 Roster
No roster data available for this season.