Dominican (IL)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 619 (#653) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 584 (#654) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 706 (#779) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -21.3 (#469) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -25.6 (#731) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.228 (#646) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.346 (#43) | NetEff -6.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.108 (#638) | AdjNet -18.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.103 (#638) | AdjNet -18.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.213 (#644) | AdjO 69.8 | AdjD 84.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.165 (#763) | AdjO 61.9 | AdjD 79.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.068 (#765) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.074 (#766) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 548 (#641) | RD 108 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Eureka | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-09 | @ | Purdue Fort Wayne | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Kalamazoo | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Simpson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | North Central (MN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Milwaukee | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | MSOE | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Benedictine (IL) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-10 | vs | Concordia Chicago | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Adrian | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-15 | @ | Wartburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Concordia Wisconsin | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Lawrence | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Lakeland | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | MSOE | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Marian (WI) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Rockford | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | St. Norbert | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Concordia Wisconsin | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Aurora | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Edgewood | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Illinois Tech | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Lakeland | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Underwood | - | 1 | 37.0 | 24.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 17.0 | 8.0 | -5 | -2.5 | -11.2 | 52.9 | 30.0 | 60.0 | -1.1 | 62.5 | 61.8 |
| Frank Paszkowski | - | 21 | 27.7 | 15.7 | 3.7 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 13.2 | 7.6 | -118 | -5.6 | -34.4 | 42.6 | 37.1 | 82.4 | -2.17 | 56.3 | 54.3 |
| Elijah Daugherty | - | 20 | 21.4 | 13.4 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 9.8 | 6.9 | -120 | -6.0 | -77.0 | 40.5 | 29.2 | 81.6 | -1.75 | 55.8 | 47.2 |
| Braydon Murphy | - | 20 | 27.1 | 12.4 | 9.1 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 9.8 | 14.2 | -85 | -4.2 | -25.4 | 44.6 | 40.0 | 65.7 | -0.55 | 51.3 | 45.6 |
| Adrian Pelszynski | - | 8 | 18.2 | 8.4 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 7.0 | 4.1 | 8 | 1.0 | 21.2 | 37.5 | 30.8 | 65.4 | 1.11 | 49.7 | 44.6 |
| Dominic Crapia | - | 21 | 27.3 | 5.1 | 4.4 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 6.1 | 5.0 | -94 | -4.5 | -28.1 | 25.8 | 21.4 | 57.4 | -1.21 | 36.3 | 31.6 |
| Emmanuel Fuller | - | 18 | 13.1 | 4.6 | 2.4 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 4.2 | 3.4 | -61 | -3.4 | -39.8 | 41.3 | 27.3 | 54.8 | -0.82 | 46.3 | 43.3 |
| Ismael Ndiaye | - | 21 | 22.2 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 2 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 37.3 | 22.2 | 67.5 | 2.87 | 45.2 | 38.6 |
| Joseph Jones | - | 20 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 3.5 | 2.3 | -41 | -2.0 | -24.1 | 40.6 | 42.9 | 73.3 | 1.0 | 52.2 | 49.3 |
| Dean O'Brien | - | 15 | 15.0 | 3.7 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 3.7 | 1.8 | -62 | -4.1 | -33.1 | 40.0 | 10.0 | 55.6 | -3.35 | 44.5 | 41.8 |
| Chase LeFevre | - | 14 | 22.0 | 3.3 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 2.6 | 5.6 | -49 | -3.5 | -188.8 | 47.2 | 14.3 | 42.3 | 0.85 | 48.5 | 48.6 |
| Antony Fernandez | - | 18 | 10.3 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.8 | 0.8 | -75 | -4.2 | -140.3 | 30.0 | 28.6 | 0 | -3.57 | 42.0 | 42.0 |
| Blaise Brown | - | 19 | 11.0 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.2 | -65 | -3.4 | -89.8 | 13.6 | 12.5 | 50.0 | -0.76 | 22.7 | 15.9 |
| James Clay | - | 6 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 | -0.2 | -24 | -4.8 | -71.8 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -2.77 | 30.7 | 25.0 |
| Marshaun Russell | - | 7 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.6 | -17 | -2.8 | -536.8 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Matthew Martinez | - | 4 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 7 | 0.7 | 138.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.29 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jeremiah Carter | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Borun Chen | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG