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Dist. Columbia

Also known as: Dist. Columbia
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 726 (#288) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 729 (#291) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +67 elo More โ†’ 856 (#279) HCA +67 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ -10.0 (#293) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.5 More โ†’ -10.6 (#293) HCA +3.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.181 (#282) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -14.6 More โ†’ 0.149 (#280) NetEff -14.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -13.9 More โ†’ 0.168 (#293) AdjNet -13.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -14.2 More โ†’ 0.162 (#293) AdjNet -14.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.9 | AdjD 77.7 More โ†’ 0.273 (#293) AdjO 66.9 | AdjD 77.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 78.8 More โ†’ 0.275 (#292) AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 78.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.215 (#293) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.215 (#293) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 149 | GP 25 More โ†’ 724 (#289) RD 149 | GP 25

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 @ Wilmington (DE) - Incomplete score
2024-11-09 @ Goldey-Beacom - Incomplete score
2024-11-12 @ Morgan St. - Incomplete score
2024-11-16 vs Virginia Union - Incomplete score
2024-11-20 vs Cheyney - Incomplete score
2024-11-23 vs Bloomfield - Incomplete score
2024-11-26 vs Holy Family - Incomplete score
2024-12-04 @ Bowie St. - Incomplete score
2024-12-06 vs D'Youville - Incomplete score
2024-12-08 vs Daemen L 52 - 80
2024-12-14 vs Staten Island - Incomplete score
2024-12-21 vs American Int'l - Incomplete score
2025-01-08 @ St. Thomas Aquinas - Incomplete score
2025-01-11 @ Mercy - Incomplete score
2025-01-18 vs Roberts Wesleyan - Incomplete score
2025-01-22 @ Queens (NY) - Incomplete score
2025-01-25 vs Molloy - Incomplete score
2025-01-31 @ D'Youville - Incomplete score
2025-02-02 @ Daemen - Incomplete score
2025-02-08 @ Staten Island - Incomplete score
2025-02-12 vs St. Thomas Aquinas - Incomplete score
2025-02-16 vs Mercy - Incomplete score
2025-02-18 @ Chestnut Hill - Incomplete score
2025-02-22 @ Roberts Wesleyan - Incomplete score
2025-02-26 vs Queens (NY) - Incomplete score
2025-03-01 @ Molloy - Incomplete score

2025 Roster

No roster data available for this season.