Dist. Columbia
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 726 (#288) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 729 (#291) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 856 (#279) | HCA +67 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -10.0 (#293) | HCA +2.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -10.6 (#293) | HCA +3.5 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.181 (#282) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More โ | 0.149 (#280) | NetEff -14.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.168 (#293) | AdjNet -13.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.162 (#293) | AdjNet -14.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.273 (#293) | AdjO 66.9 | AdjD 77.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.275 (#292) | AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 78.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.215 (#293) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.215 (#293) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 724 (#289) | RD 149 | GP 25 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | @ | Wilmington (DE) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Goldey-Beacom | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-12 | @ | Morgan St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Virginia Union | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-20 | vs | Cheyney | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Bloomfield | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | Holy Family | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | Bowie St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-06 | vs | D'Youville | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-08 | vs | Daemen | L | 52 - 80 |
| 2024-12-14 | vs | Staten Island | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-12-21 | vs | American Int'l | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | St. Thomas Aquinas | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Mercy | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Roberts Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-22 | @ | Queens (NY) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Molloy | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-01-31 | @ | D'Youville | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-02 | @ | Daemen | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Staten Island | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | St. Thomas Aquinas | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-16 | vs | Mercy | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-18 | @ | Chestnut Hill | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Roberts Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-02-26 | vs | Queens (NY) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-03-01 | @ | Molloy | - | Incomplete score |
2025 Roster
No roster data available for this season.