Dist. Columbia
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 847 (#242) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 744 (#283) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 952 (#205) | HCA +73 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -8.9 (#284) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -6.7 (#274) | HCA +2.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.226 (#261) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.983 (#108) | NetEff +33.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.199 (#284) | AdjNet -12.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.198 (#284) | AdjNet -12.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.292 (#284) | AdjO 69.1 | AdjD 78.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.371 (#258) | AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 77.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.291 (#273) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.306 (#270) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 800 (#265) | RD 177 | GP 24 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-06 | @ | Howard | L | 71 - 103 |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Wilmington (DE) | L | 73 - 93 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Goldey-Beacom | L | 78 - 89 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Virginia St. | L | 64 - 82 |
| 2025-11-26 | @ | Virginia Union | L | 64 - 73 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Bowie St. | L | 63 - 70 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | St. Thomas Aquinas | L | 67 - 71 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Mercy | L | 86 - 91 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Staten Island | L | 73 - 78 |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Livingstone | W | 74 - 66 |
| 2025-12-18 | @ | Chestnut Hill | L | 67 - 80 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Cheyney | L | 79 - 80 |
| 2026-01-09 | @ | Daemen | L | 47 - 85 |
| 2026-01-11 | @ | D'Youville | L | 60 - 82 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Mercy | W | 63 - 61 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | St. Thomas Aquinas | L | 77 - 93 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Roberts Wesleyan | W | 85 - 74 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Queens (NY) | L | 79 - 81 |
| 2026-02-06 | vs | Daemen | L | 67 - 88 |
| 2026-02-08 | vs | D'Youville | L | 67 - 76 |
| 2026-02-11 | vs | Molloy | L | 76 - 82 |
| 2026-02-14 | @ | Staten Island | W | 81 - 77 |
| 2026-02-18 | @ | Roberts Wesleyan | L | 66 - 101 |
| 2026-02-25 | @ | Molloy | W | 93 - 87 |
| 2026-02-28 | vs | Queens (NY) | W | 82 - 67 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rejuan Gray | - | 5 | 31.3 | 15.0 | 3.8 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 10.8 | 10.2 | - | - | - | - | 46.3 | 44.4 | 100.0 | - | 59.3 | 50.0 |
| Oliver Spence | - | 18 | 24.0 | 11.6 | 5.9 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 9.1 | 9.7 | - | - | - | - | 51.8 | 0 | 56.5 | - | 53.8 | 51.8 |
| Michael Harrell | - | 18 | 28.7 | 10.7 | 5.5 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 7.8 | 9.6 | - | - | - | - | 50.4 | 36.6 | 78.3 | - | 59.8 | 55.7 |
| Tyvone Williams | - | 5 | 23.7 | 9.0 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 10.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | - | 32.0 | 25.0 | 64.3 | - | 40.1 | 36.0 |
| Arthur Roache | - | 18 | 20.9 | 7.6 | 4.3 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 5.6 | 7.6 | -16 | 7 | -2.3 | -9.4 | 47.0 | 32.0 | 76.1 | -0.86 | 57.0 | 51.0 |
| Kevon Corley | - | 17 | 15.6 | 6.9 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 5.0 | 4.2 | - | - | - | - | 43.5 | 24.0 | 88.4 | - | 56.8 | 47.1 |
| David Pope | - | 17 | 15.8 | 5.4 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5.5 | 4.5 | - | - | - | - | 38.7 | 27.8 | 66.7 | - | 46.2 | 44.1 |
| Karris Scott | - | 6 | 16.4 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 4.5 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 37.0 | 14.3 | 100.0 | - | 40.1 | 38.9 |
| Christopher Smith | - | 16 | 12.1 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 3.0 | 3.9 | - | - | - | - | 39.6 | 0.0 | 63.6 | - | 42.6 | 39.6 |
| Justin Minor | - | 16 | 8.2 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 2.1 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 100.0 | 66.7 | - | 55.7 | 52.8 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG