Dist. Columbia
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 887 (#387) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 711 (#542) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 808 (#595) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -12.2 (#293) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -11.5 (#475) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.175 (#501) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.983 (#113) | NetEff +33.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.112 (#612) | AdjNet -18.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.110 (#612) | AdjNet -17.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.219 (#612) | AdjO 66.8 | AdjD 80.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.287 (#550) | AdjO 69.0 | AdjD 79.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.219 (#520) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.222 (#527) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 674 (#500) | RD 118 | GP 19 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-06 | @ | Howard | L | 71 - 103 |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Wilmington (DE) | L | 73 - 93 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Goldey-Beacom | L | 78 - 89 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Virginia St. | L | 64 - 82 |
| 2025-11-26 | @ | Virginia Union | L | 64 - 73 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Bowie St. | L | 63 - 70 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | St. Thomas Aquinas | L | 67 - 71 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Mercy | L | 86 - 91 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Staten Island | L | 73 - 78 |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Livingstone | W | 74 - 66 |
| 2025-12-18 | @ | Chestnut Hill | L | 67 - 80 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Cheyney | L | 79 - 80 |
| 2026-01-09 | @ | Daemen | L | 47 - 85 |
| 2026-01-11 | @ | D'Youville | L | 60 - 82 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Mercy | W | 63 - 61 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | St. Thomas Aquinas | L | 77 - 93 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Roberts Wesleyan | W | 85 - 74 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Queens (NY) | L | 79 - 81 |
| 2026-02-06 | vs | Daemen | L | 67 - 88 |
| 2026-02-08 | vs | D'Youville | L | 0 - 0 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asa Kone | - | 1 | 37.0 | 23.0 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 14.0 | 26.0 | 18 | 0.8 | 3.8 | 64.3 | 0 | 100.0 | -2.02 | 71.0 | 64.3 |
| Jordan Lambert | - | 1 | 28.0 | 21.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 23.0 | 18 | 1.0 | 25.0 | 77.8 | 80.0 | 75.0 | 2.05 | 97.6 | 100.0 |
| Aaron Goldstein | - | 1 | 38.0 | 20.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 17.0 | 50 | 2.3 | 7.3 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 75.0 | 0.94 | 63.5 | 60.7 |
| Alejandro Cybak | - | 1 | 28.0 | 17.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | -172 | -10.1 | -35.3 | 54.5 | 25.0 | 100.0 | -2.38 | 66.6 | 59.1 |
| Guy Fauntleroy | - | 1 | 41.0 | 16.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 13.0 | 8.0 | -65 | -3.4 | -65.6 | 30.8 | 33.3 | 57.1 | 0.41 | 49.8 | 46.2 |
| Rejuan Gray | - | 6 | 30.1 | 13.8 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 10.3 | 8.8 | -49 | -5.4 | -64.5 | 45.2 | 36.4 | 100.0 | 0.03 | 57.5 | 48.4 |
| Charles Thomas, III | - | 1 | 37.0 | 13.0 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 17.0 | 12.0 | 31 | 1.4 | 10.0 | 23.5 | 0.0 | 83.3 | 1.34 | 33.1 | 23.5 |
| Michael Harrell | - | 15 | 28.1 | 12.1 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 2.5 | 7.9 | 10.4 | -106 | -8.8 | -75.9 | 55.9 | 39.4 | 78.7 | -1.47 | 65.6 | 61.4 |
| Oliver Spence | - | 15 | 23.8 | 11.6 | 6.4 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 9.2 | 10.1 | -87 | -7.2 | -65.1 | 52.2 | 0 | 56.6 | -0.62 | 53.9 | 52.2 |
| Landon Shivers | - | 1 | 19.0 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | -8 | -0.5 | -3.2 | 71.4 | 100.0 | 0 | -1.85 | 78.6 | 78.6 |
| Jaiden McGhee | - | 1 | 22.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | -31 | -1.7 | -24.5 | 42.9 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0.71 | 62.8 | 50.0 |
| Eric Tynes | - | 1 | 31.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 4.0 | -4 | -0.2 | -0.8 | 36.4 | 30.0 | 0 | -0.82 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Malcolm Day | - | 1 | 20.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 6.0 | 13 | 0.9 | 9.3 | 36.4 | 28.6 | 0 | 1.98 | 45.5 | 45.5 |
| Arthur Roache | - | 14 | 22.5 | 9.0 | 4.7 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 6.5 | 8.6 | -47 | -3.9 | -33.4 | 48.4 | 29.2 | 73.8 | -1.22 | 57.5 | 52.2 |
| Tyvone Williams | - | 6 | 23.0 | 8.2 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 10.0 | 1.8 | 42 | 3.2 | 14.5 | 28.3 | 23.8 | 58.8 | 3.23 | 36.3 | 32.5 |
| William Hopkins | - | 1 | 22.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 22 | 1.0 | 10.7 | 37.5 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 1.19 | 45.0 | 37.5 |
| David Pope | - | 14 | 17.2 | 6.0 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 5.5 | 5.9 | -44 | -4.4 | -145.9 | 40.3 | 26.7 | 73.7 | -0.73 | 49.2 | 45.5 |
| Amari Dow | - | 1 | 35.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | -113 | -7.1 | -26.5 | 37.5 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.71 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Kevon Corley | - | 15 | 13.7 | 5.8 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 4.3 | 3.5 | -62 | -4.8 | -77.5 | 42.2 | 22.2 | 87.9 | -2.47 | 55.4 | 45.3 |
| Karris Scott | - | 7 | 17.6 | 4.1 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 2.3 | 4.7 | 0.4 | -35 | -3.2 | -81.9 | 39.4 | 12.5 | 100.0 | 0.36 | 42.8 | 40.9 |
| DeShawn Goodwyn | - | 1 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | -23 | -2.6 | -587.2 | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | 0.13 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Tim Uzochuwku | - | 1 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 95 | 5.0 | 48.9 | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | 0.91 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Jamel Melvin | - | 1 | 35.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | -22 | -2.8 | -77.8 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.91 | 29.1 | 33.3 |
| Andrew Benedict | - | 1 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 52 | 2.4 | 15.8 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.03 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Marcus Jackson | - | 1 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | -36 | -2.4 | -26.7 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.78 | 30.7 | 25.0 |
| Christopher Smith | - | 13 | 12.3 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 2.7 | 4.2 | -31 | -6.2 | -58.1 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 72.7 | -0.27 | 45.2 | 40.0 |
| Jalen Bradberry | - | 1 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Jaedan Jefferson | - | 1 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Jaylen Wynn | - | 1 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | -1 | -0.1 | -7.9 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.84 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Michael Cooper | - | 1 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 34 | 1.8 | 23.1 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.34 | 113.6 | 0 |
| Nazaire Hinton | - | 1 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | -94 | -5.2 | -375.4 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.2 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Mitchell Wiggan | - | 1 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 68 | 3.1 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 3.05 | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| Justin Minor | - | 13 | 10.9 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 2.6 | -32 | -3.2 | -100.4 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 66.7 | -1.2 | 55.7 | 52.8 |
| Tyler Spencer | - | 1 | 18.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | -60 | -3.8 | -20.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.64 | 14.5 | 0.0 |
| Tyrek Williams | - | 1 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3 | 0.6 | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.84 | 56.8 | 0 |
| John Uzochukwu | - | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | -3 | -0.3 | -76.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 |
| Amari Cribb | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -22 | -1.5 | -228.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.89 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG