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Dist. Columbia

Also known as: Dist. Columbia
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 796 (#523) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 693 (#539) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 808 (#595) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → -11.0 (#340) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -11.5 (#475) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.175 (#501) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +33.4 More → 0.983 (#113) NetEff +33.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -18.0 More → 0.112 (#612) AdjNet -18.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -17.9 More → 0.110 (#612) AdjNet -17.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.8 | AdjD 80.7 More → 0.219 (#612) AdjO 66.8 | AdjD 80.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.0 | AdjD 79.0 More → 0.287 (#550) AdjO 69.0 | AdjD 79.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.219 (#520) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.222 (#527) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 118 | GP 19 More → 667 (#510) RD 118 | GP 19

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-06 @ Howard - Incomplete score
2025-11-14 vs Wilmington (DE) - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 vs Goldey-Beacom - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 vs Virginia St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-26 @ Virginia Union - Incomplete score
2025-11-29 vs Bowie St. - Incomplete score
2025-12-03 vs St. Thomas Aquinas - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 @ Mercy - Incomplete score
2025-12-13 vs Staten Island - Incomplete score
2025-12-16 vs Livingstone - Incomplete score
2025-12-18 @ Chestnut Hill - Incomplete score
2026-01-03 vs Cheyney - Incomplete score
2026-01-09 @ Daemen - Incomplete score
2026-01-11 @ D'Youville - Incomplete score
2026-01-14 vs Mercy - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 @ St. Thomas Aquinas - Incomplete score
2026-01-21 vs Roberts Wesleyan - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 @ Queens (NY) - Incomplete score
2026-02-06 vs Daemen - Incomplete score
2026-02-08 vs D'Youville - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Asa Kone - 1 37.0 23.0 15.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 4.0 14.0 26.0 18 0.8 3.8 64.3 0 100.0 -0.27 71.0 64.3
Jordan Lambert - 1 28.0 21.0 2.0 7.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 9.0 23.0 18 1.0 25.0 77.8 80.0 75.0 3.26 97.6 100.0
Aaron Goldstein - 1 38.0 20.0 3.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 14.0 17.0 50 2.3 7.3 50.0 50.0 75.0 2.1 63.5 60.7
Alejandro Cybak - 1 28.0 17.0 9.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 11.0 14.0 -172 -10.1 -35.3 54.5 25.0 100.0 -3.54 66.6 59.1
Guy Fauntleroy - 1 41.0 16.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 13.0 8.0 -65 -3.4 -65.6 30.8 33.3 57.1 -2.16 49.8 46.2
Rejuan Gray - 5 31.3 15.0 3.8 2.6 0.8 0.8 2.0 10.8 10.2 -49 -5.4 -64.5 46.3 44.4 100.0 -0.88 59.3 50.0
Charles Thomas, III - 1 37.0 13.0 12.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 17.0 12.0 31 1.4 10.0 23.5 0.0 83.3 3.14 33.1 23.5
Michael Harrell - 14 28.6 11.9 5.5 2.1 1.1 0.3 2.5 8.1 10.4 -106 -8.8 -75.9 54.0 39.4 78.0 -4.9 63.7 59.7
Oliver Spence - 14 23.6 11.1 6.5 0.9 0.7 1.4 1.7 9.4 9.6 -87 -7.2 -65.1 51.1 0 47.7 -3.25 51.5 51.1
Landon Shivers - 1 19.0 11.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 7.0 11.0 -8 -0.5 -3.2 71.4 100.0 0 3.05 78.6 78.6
Jaiden McGhee - 1 22.0 11.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 6.0 -31 -1.7 -24.5 42.9 100.0 100.0 -0.71 62.8 50.0
Eric Tynes - 1 31.0 11.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 11.0 4.0 -4 -0.2 -0.8 36.4 30.0 0 -1.32 50.0 50.0
Malcolm Day - 1 20.0 10.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 11.0 6.0 13 0.9 9.3 36.4 28.6 0 3.43 45.5 45.5
Arthur Roache - 14 22.5 9.0 4.7 1.4 0.6 0.6 1.1 6.5 8.6 -47 -3.9 -33.4 48.4 29.2 73.8 -1.88 57.5 52.2
Tyvone Williams - 5 23.7 9.0 2.6 1.6 1.4 0.0 1.6 10.0 3.0 42 3.2 14.5 32.0 25.0 64.3 -0.0 40.1 36.0
William Hopkins - 1 22.0 8.0 3.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 8.0 6.0 22 1.0 10.7 37.5 0.0 100.0 0.71 45.0 37.5
Kevon Corley - 14 14.2 6.2 2.5 0.6 0.3 0.4 1.8 4.5 3.8 -62 -4.8 -77.5 42.9 22.2 87.9 0.19 56.1 46.0
Amari Dow - 1 35.0 6.0 5.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 8.0 -113 -7.1 -26.5 37.5 0.0 0 -1.72 37.5 37.5
David Pope - 13 16.9 5.9 3.2 1.3 0.6 1.2 0.9 5.7 5.6 -44 -4.4 -145.9 40.5 25.0 66.7 0.15 47.8 45.3
DeShawn Goodwyn - 1 18.0 4.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 8.0 -23 -2.6 -587.2 66.7 0 0 -0.73 66.7 66.7
Tim Uzochuwku - 1 11.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 6.0 95 5.0 48.9 66.7 0 0 3.8 66.7 66.7
Jamel Melvin - 1 35.0 4.0 7.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 6.0 13.0 -22 -2.8 -77.8 33.3 0 0.0 -0.86 29.1 33.3
Andrew Benedict - 1 18.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 2.0 52 2.4 15.8 33.3 0.0 0 0.09 33.3 33.3
Karris Scott - 6 16.4 3.7 1.0 1.3 0.7 0.2 2.3 4.5 0.0 -35 -3.2 -81.9 37.0 14.3 100.0 -3.13 40.1 38.9
Marcus Jackson - 1 11.0 3.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 5.0 -36 -2.4 -26.7 25.0 0.0 50.0 -0.52 30.7 25.0
Christopher Smith - 12 12.3 2.8 3.2 0.7 0.4 1.0 0.8 2.8 4.5 -31 -6.2 -58.1 42.4 0.0 66.7 -1.74 46.0 42.4
Jaedan Jefferson - 1 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 0.72 100.0 100.0
Jaylen Wynn - 1 6.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 -1 -0.1 -7.9 50.0 0.0 0 -0.29 50.0 50.0
Michael Cooper - 1 5.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 34 1.8 23.1 0 0 100.0 -0.13 113.6 0
Nazaire Hinton - 1 16.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 4.0 -94 -5.2 -375.4 50.0 0 0 -3.57 50.0 50.0
Mitchell Wiggan - 1 11.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 68 3.1 14.0 0.0 0.0 50.0 0.99 26.6 0.0
Justin Minor - 12 9.5 1.8 1.8 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 1.4 2.3 -32 -3.2 -100.4 47.1 100.0 66.7 -1.63 53.5 50.0
Tyler Spencer - 1 18.0 1.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 4.0 -60 -3.8 -20.3 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.62 14.5 0.0
Tyrek Williams - 1 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3 0.6 5.8 0 0 50.0 1.95 56.8 0
John Uzochukwu - 1 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 -3 -0.3 -76.6 0 0 0 0.45 0 0
Amari Cribb - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -22 -1.5 -228.6 0 0 0 -2.62 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG