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Detroit Mercy

Also known as: Detroit Mercy Titans, Detroit Mercy
Program History

2026 Team Stats (31 games)

77.4
PPG
78.0
Opp
-0.7
Margin
44.4%
FG%
34.9%
3P%
77.6%
FT%
37.7
RPG
13.0
APG
11.5
TO
82.0
Pace

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1074 (#114) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 959 (#215) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → 1049 (#103) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → -4.5 (#229) -
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → +0.6 (#163) -
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.362 (#241) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. ValueError: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted More → Unavailable ValueError: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted More → Unavailable ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted More → Unavailable ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → 0.409 (#230) -
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → 0.536 (#126) -
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted More → Unavailable ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted More → Unavailable ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → 1027 (#159) -

2026 Schedule & Results

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
O. Lovejoy O. Lovejoy G 29 30.8 16.0 3.4 3.6 1.6 0.1 1.9 12.6 10.3 -96 -4.4 -7.4 45.1 14.8 88.6 -0.82 54.0 45.6
T. Nadeau T. Nadeau G 30 26.3 13.4 3.2 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.9 9.3 8.0 -41 -2.0 -4.0 48.2 45.5 86.7 -0.15 64.1 60.0
Ayden Carter Ayden Carter - 9 20.6 12.2 4.3 1.2 1.1 0.1 2.0 8.7 8.3 -26 -2.9 -6.9 55.1 22.2 76.9 -0.56 61.5 57.7
T. Spratt T. Spratt - 30 24.6 9.9 3.5 1.5 0.7 0.3 1.0 7.8 7.2 -25 -1.2 -2.7 41.6 39.1 78.1 -0.32 56.7 52.8
L. Geeter L. Geeter F 27 25.4 8.3 6.5 2.3 0.6 0.3 1.7 6.0 10.2 -51 -2.8 -5.6 49.4 33.3 69.6 -0.55 57.2 52.5
Lance Stone Lance Stone - 30 20.7 6.7 1.3 2.0 0.4 0.0 1.2 6.1 3.0 - - - 32.8 33.7 89.1 - 48.3 41.3
L. Maiden L. Maiden - 30 14.6 5.9 3.0 0.4 0.2 0.2 1.2 4.4 4.1 -27 -1.3 -4.0 54.1 0 61.5 -0.31 56.5 54.1
Keshawn Fisher Keshawn Fisher - 18 12.1 5.9 2.3 0.9 0.6 0.4 1.2 5.3 3.7 -29 -1.4 -6.1 43.2 27.5 82.4 -0.3 52.2 48.9
R. Kalambay R. Kalambay F 30 19.9 4.1 5.3 0.5 0.8 1.3 0.6 2.7 8.6 -9 -0.4 -1.3 57.3 0 70.0 -0.26 61.2 57.3
N. Johnson N. Johnson G 24 10.8 3.0 2.0 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.5 3.2 2.2 -48 -2.3 -11.1 32.5 16.7 58.1 -0.06 39.7 35.1
Je'Kel Cotton Je'Kel Cotton - 25 7.6 2.2 2.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 2.3 2.7 -19 -1.4 -7.5 34.5 28.9 50.0 -0.55 44.9 44.0
J. Lary J. Lary G 25 9.1 2.0 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.6 2.5 1.6 -25 -1.2 -5.5 30.2 22.7 72.7 -0.74 37.6 34.1
Xavier Istomin-Monroe Xavier Istomin-Monroe - 18 8.6 1.9 1.8 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.6 1.6 2.1 15 0.9 4.8 57.1 0 25.0 -0.02 52.6 57.1
Zak Abdalla Zak Abdalla - 3 2.3 1.7 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.7 2.0 5 1.7 88.2 50.0 100.0 100.0 -0.06 86.8 75.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG