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Detroit Mercy

Season: 2026-2027 2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 2019-2020 2018-2019 2017-2018
Also known as: Detroit Mercy Titans, Detroit Mercy
Program History
Coach: Mark Montgomery

2026-2027 Team Stats (1 games)

32.0
PPG
93.0
Opp
-61.0
Margin
22.0%
FG%
17.9%
3P%
50.0%
FT%
36.0
RPG
5.0
APG
20.0
TO
66.9
Est. poss./game
58.3
Adj PPG
74.1
Adj Opp PPG
#313
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 883 (returning production + recruiting): last season 982, returning +12, transfers -74, freshmen -37 More → 880 (#207) Preseason prior 883 (returning production + recruiting): last season 982, returning +12, transfers -74, freshmen -37
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +250 elo More → 937 (#218) HCA +250 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +250 elo More → 967 (#219) HCA +250 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +7.9 More → -13.3 (#335) HCA +7.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +7.9 More → -13.2 (#335) HCA +7.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.097 (#346) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -30.8 More → 0.282 (#323) AdjNet -30.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -32.4 More → 0.268 (#332) AdjNet -32.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 58.3 | AdjD 74.1 More → 0.326 (#313) AdjO 58.3 | AdjD 74.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 58.3 | AdjD 74.1 More → 0.346 (#331) AdjO 58.3 | AdjD 74.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.286 (#323) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.290 (#324) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 218 | GP 1 More → 925 (#222) RD 218 | GP 1
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Preseason prior only; more training games are needed for a forecast. More → 0.326 (#216) Preseason prior only; more training games are needed for a forecast.

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-06 @ Marquette Golden Eagles L 32 - 93
2026-11-10 @ Xavier Musketeers - Preview
2026-11-14 vs Toledo Rockets - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Tyler Spratt Tyler Spratt G 1 28.0 8.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 13.0 -7.0 -47 2 -23.5 -31.4 23.1 20.0 0 -1.04 30.8 30.8
Ayden Carter Ayden Carter G 1 23.0 7.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 11.0 -4.0 -52 2 -26.0 -54.7 27.3 33.3 0 -2.6 31.8 31.8
Lance Stone Lance Stone G 1 28.0 5.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 3.0 -49 2 -24.5 -32.7 33.3 25.0 0 -1.81 41.7 41.7
Jordan Briggs Jordan Briggs G 1 13.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 -1.0 - - - - 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Je'Kel Cotton Je'Kel Cotton G 1 11.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 -40 2 -20.0 -52.6 33.3 33.3 0 -2.33 50.0 50.0
Xavier Istomin-Monroe Xavier Istomin-Monroe C 1 29.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 -47 2 -23.5 -36.8 33.3 0 0 -1.47 33.3 33.3
Vladyslav Semerych Vladyslav Semerych F 1 14.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 -21 1 -21.0 -61.4 33.3 0.0 0 -1.14 33.3 33.3
James Martin James Martin G 1 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -1.0 -4 1 -4.0 -76.2 0.0 0 50.0 -0.39 17.4 0.0
London Maiden London Maiden F 1 24.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 -2.0 -35 2 -17.5 -34.1 0.0 0 0 -1.35 0.0 0.0
Keaton Aldridge Jr. Keaton Aldridge Jr. G 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Dante Favor Dante Favor F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Greg Grays Jr. Greg Grays Jr. G 1 9.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 -2.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Chance Houser Chance Houser F 1 8.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Tyler Owens Tyler Owens F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Elias Palsson Elias Palsson G 1 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -3.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

59 located field-goal attempts in 1 game (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Carter33% Carter50% Briggs100% Spratt100% Briggs100% Spratt100% Carter33% Cotton100%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Carter38% Carter25% Briggs25% Carter100% Houser20% Grays50% Carter50% Spratt75% Houser67% Stone38%
Misses: who misses most here

Tyler SprattAyden CarterLance StoneJordan BriggsJe'Kel CottonChance HouserGreg Grays Jr.

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 3-11 27.3 6 Ayden Carter 33% (2 pts) Lance Stone 33% (2 pts) Ayden Carter 38% (3 misses) Elias Palsson 12% (1 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 2-6 33.3 4 Ayden Carter 50% (2 pts) Vladyslav Semerych 50% (2 pts) Ayden Carter 25% (1 misses) James Martin 25% (1 misses)
Mid-range left 1-5 20.0 2 Jordan Briggs 100% (2 pts) - Jordan Briggs 25% (1 misses) Lance Stone 25% (1 misses)
Mid-range center 1-3 33.3 2 Tyler Spratt 100% (2 pts) - Ayden Carter 100% (2 misses) -
Mid-range right 1-6 16.7 2 Jordan Briggs 100% (2 pts) - Chance Houser 20% (1 misses) Greg Grays Jr. 20% (1 misses)
Left corner 3 1-3 33.3 3 Tyler Spratt 100% (3 pts) - Greg Grays Jr. 50% (1 misses) Tyler Spratt 50% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 0-2 0.0 0 - - Ayden Carter 50% (1 misses) Greg Grays Jr. 50% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 3-11 27.3 9 Ayden Carter 33% (3 pts) Lance Stone 33% (3 pts) Tyler Spratt 75% (6 misses) Elias Palsson 12% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 center 0-3 0.0 0 - - Chance Houser 67% (2 misses) Je'Kel Cotton 33% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 right 1-9 11.1 3 Je'Kel Cotton 100% (3 pts) - Lance Stone 38% (3 misses) Jordan Briggs 25% (2 misses)