Detroit Mercy
2026-2027 Team Stats (2 games)
43.5
PPG
96.5
Opp
-53.0
Margin
25.4%
FG%
21.4%
3P%
57.9%
FT%
36.5
RPG
10.0
APG
18.5
TO
76.2
Est. poss./game
60.2
Adj PPG
78.9
Adj Opp PPG
#347
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 873 (#217) | Preseason prior 883 (returning production + recruiting): last season 982, returning +12, transfers -74, freshmen -37 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 936 (#225) | HCA +206 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 937 (#226) | HCA +205 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -14.3 (#329) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -14.2 (#329) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.033 (#363) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.208 (#342) | AdjNet -30.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.175 (#358) | AdjNet -34.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.261 (#347) | AdjO 60.2 | AdjD 78.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.262 (#347) | AdjO 60.2 | AdjD 78.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.232 (#336) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.232 (#336) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 917 (#233) | RD 202 | GP 2 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.301 (#287) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-06 | @ | Marquette Golden Eagles | L | 32 - 93 |
| 2026-11-10 | @ | Xavier Musketeers | L | 55 - 100 |
| 2026-11-14 | vs | Toledo Rockets | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-11-18 | @ | Eastern Michigan Eagles | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-21 | @ | Michigan State Spartans | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tyler Spratt
|
G | 2 | 26.0 | 8.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 12.5 | -3.5 | -82 | 3 | -27.3 | -39.0 | 20.0 | 17.6 | 75.0 | -1.41 | 29.9 | 26.0 |
Greg Grays Jr.
|
G | 2 | 15.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 7.0 | 3.0 | -29 | 3 | -9.7 | -26.7 | 35.7 | 28.6 | 66.7 | -0.29 | 45.7 | 42.9 |
Jordan Briggs
|
G | 2 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 1.5 | -38 | 3 | -12.7 | -26.7 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.85 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
Ayden Carter
|
G | 2 | 17.0 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | -5.5 | -76 | 3 | -25.3 | -61.4 | 16.7 | 16.7 | 0 | -3.17 | 19.4 | 19.4 |
Lance Stone
|
G | 2 | 23.5 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | -1.0 | -80 | 3 | -26.7 | -40.7 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 100.0 | -2.21 | 32.2 | 25.0 |
Je'Kel Cotton
|
G | 2 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 2.0 | -43 | 3 | -14.3 | -43.7 | 28.6 | 28.6 | 0 | -2.21 | 42.9 | 42.9 |
Tyler Owens
|
F | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 150.0 | 150.0 |
James Martin
|
G | 2 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | -5 | 2 | -2.5 | -19.4 | 33.3 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.5 | 36.3 | 33.3 |
Xavier Istomin-Monroe
|
C | 2 | 27.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 5.5 | -75 | 3 | -25.0 | -39.6 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.92 | 29.1 | 33.3 |
London Maiden
|
F | 2 | 23.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 0.5 | -68 | 3 | -22.7 | -43.4 | 28.6 | 0 | 0 | -1.83 | 28.6 | 28.6 |
Dante Favor
|
F | 1 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | -15 | 1 | -15.0 | -57.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.37 | 53.2 | 0.0 |
Keaton Aldridge Jr.
|
G | 2 | 6.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 4.0 | -11 | 3 | -3.7 | -31.8 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 25.0 | -0.62 | 31.5 | 33.3 |
Chance Houser
|
F | 2 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 0.0 | -13 | 3 | -4.3 | -24.1 | 14.3 | 20.0 | 0 | -0.46 | 21.4 | 21.4 |
Elias Palsson
|
G | 2 | 9.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -1.5 | - | - | - | - | 16.7 | 25.0 | 0 | - | 25.0 | 25.0 |
Vladyslav Semerych
|
F | 2 | 8.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | -25 | 2 | -12.5 | -58.8 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.34 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
126 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Tyler SprattGreg Grays Jr.Jordan BriggsAyden CarterJe'Kel CottonLance StoneLondon MaidenXavier Istomin-MonroeChance HouserElias Palsson
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 6-17 | 35.3 | 12 | Xavier Istomin-Monroe 33% (4 pts) | Ayden Carter 17% (2 pts) | Ayden Carter 36% (4 misses) | Greg Grays Jr. 18% (2 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 7-23 | 30.4 | 14 | Greg Grays Jr. 43% (6 pts) | Ayden Carter 14% (2 pts) | Ayden Carter 25% (4 misses) | James Martin 19% (3 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 3-11 | 27.3 | 6 | Jordan Briggs 100% (6 pts) | - | Tyler Spratt 38% (3 misses) | London Maiden 25% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 2-6 | 33.3 | 4 | London Maiden 50% (2 pts) | Tyler Spratt 50% (2 pts) | Ayden Carter 50% (2 misses) | Chance Houser 25% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 2-13 | 15.4 | 4 | Jordan Briggs 50% (2 pts) | London Maiden 50% (2 pts) | Lance Stone 27% (3 misses) | Jordan Briggs 18% (2 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 2-10 | 20.0 | 6 | Je'Kel Cotton 50% (3 pts) | Tyler Spratt 50% (3 pts) | Greg Grays Jr. 25% (2 misses) | Tyler Spratt 25% (2 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 3-8 | 37.5 | 9 | Chance Houser 33% (3 pts) | Greg Grays Jr. 33% (3 pts) | Tyler Spratt 40% (2 misses) | Ayden Carter 20% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 3-16 | 18.8 | 9 | Ayden Carter 33% (3 pts) | Lance Stone 33% (3 pts) | Tyler Spratt 54% (7 misses) | Greg Grays Jr. 15% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 1-5 | 20.0 | 3 | Greg Grays Jr. 100% (3 pts) | - | Chance Houser 50% (2 misses) | Ayden Carter 25% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 3-17 | 17.6 | 9 | Elias Palsson 33% (3 pts) | Je'Kel Cotton 33% (3 pts) | Lance Stone 29% (4 misses) | Tyler Spratt 21% (3 misses) |