Denver
Model Outputs
2001-2002
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 753 (#276) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 791 (#289) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 883 (#293) | HCA +115 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -7.2 (#253) | HCA +4.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -9.1 (#267) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.243 (#271) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.209 (#259) | AdjNet -11.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.207 (#259) | AdjNet -11.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.352 (#254) | AdjO 62.7 | AdjD 69.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.350 (#283) | AdjO 62.0 | AdjD 68.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.269 (#267) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.269 (#273) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 795 (#283) | RD 155 | GP 25 |
2002 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2001-11-18 | @ | Air Force | L | 44 - 52 |
| 2001-11-26 | vs | Wyoming | L | 68 - 71 |
| 2001-11-30 | @ | Manhattan | L | 57 - 81 |
| 2001-12-06 | @ | Morris Brown | W | 92 - 76 |
| 2001-12-09 | @ | Saint Louis | L | 49 - 63 |
| 2001-12-12 | vs | Air Force | W | 63 - 53 |
| 2001-12-15 | vs | Colorado State | L | 61 - 74 |
| 2001-12-27 | vs | New Mexico State | L | 82 - 86 |
| 2001-12-30 | @ | Drake | L | 68 - 72 |
| 2002-01-03 | @ | Arkansas State | L | 58 - 78 |
| 2002-01-05 | @ | Little Rock | L | 63 - 79 |
| 2002-01-07 | vs | Morris Brown | W | 78 - 50 |
| 2002-01-13 | vs | Florida International | W | 72 - 69 |
| 2002-01-17 | vs | North Texas | L | 70 - 78 |
| 2002-01-19 | vs | Western Kentucky | L | 59 - 86 |
| 2002-01-24 | @ | New Mexico State | L | 62 - 68 |
| 2002-01-26 | @ | Louisiana | L | 58 - 70 |
| 2002-02-02 | @ | North Texas | L | 57 - 83 |
| 2002-02-07 | vs | South Alabama | W | 76 - 58 |
| 2002-02-10 | vs | New Orleans | L | 73 - 74 |
| 2002-02-14 | @ | South Alabama | W | 64 - 60 |
| 2002-02-16 | @ | Middle Tennessee | L | 47 - 62 |
| 2002-02-18 | vs | Louisiana | L | 60 - 74 |
| 2002-02-23 | @ | New Orleans | L | 46 - 69 |
| 2002-03-01 | N | Arkansas State | L | 53 - 58 |
2002 Roster
No roster data available for this season.