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Denver

Also known as: Denver Pioneers
Program History

Model Outputs

2001-2002
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 753 (#276) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 791 (#289) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More โ†’ 883 (#293) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +4.0 More โ†’ -7.2 (#253) HCA +4.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ -9.1 (#267) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.243 (#271) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -11.5 More โ†’ 0.209 (#259) AdjNet -11.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -11.6 More โ†’ 0.207 (#259) AdjNet -11.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.7 | AdjD 69.4 More โ†’ 0.352 (#254) AdjO 62.7 | AdjD 69.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.0 | AdjD 68.8 More โ†’ 0.350 (#283) AdjO 62.0 | AdjD 68.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.269 (#267) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.269 (#273) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 155 | GP 25 More โ†’ 795 (#283) RD 155 | GP 25

2002 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2001-11-18 @ Air Force L 44 - 52
2001-11-26 vs Wyoming L 68 - 71
2001-11-30 @ Manhattan L 57 - 81
2001-12-06 @ Morris Brown W 92 - 76
2001-12-09 @ Saint Louis L 49 - 63
2001-12-12 vs Air Force W 63 - 53
2001-12-15 vs Colorado State L 61 - 74
2001-12-27 vs New Mexico State L 82 - 86
2001-12-30 @ Drake L 68 - 72
2002-01-03 @ Arkansas State L 58 - 78
2002-01-05 @ Little Rock L 63 - 79
2002-01-07 vs Morris Brown W 78 - 50
2002-01-13 vs Florida International W 72 - 69
2002-01-17 vs North Texas L 70 - 78
2002-01-19 vs Western Kentucky L 59 - 86
2002-01-24 @ New Mexico State L 62 - 68
2002-01-26 @ Louisiana L 58 - 70
2002-02-02 @ North Texas L 57 - 83
2002-02-07 vs South Alabama W 76 - 58
2002-02-10 vs New Orleans L 73 - 74
2002-02-14 @ South Alabama W 64 - 60
2002-02-16 @ Middle Tennessee L 47 - 62
2002-02-18 vs Louisiana L 60 - 74
2002-02-23 @ New Orleans L 46 - 69
2002-03-01 N Arkansas State L 53 - 58

2002 Roster

No roster data available for this season.