Denison
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1162 (#16) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1245 (#9) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +15.5 (#51) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.890 (#251) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.804 (#120) | NetEff +11.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.936 (#180) | AdjNet +23.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.938 (#180) | AdjNet +23.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.783 (#187) | AdjO 72.6 | AdjD 58.5 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | @ | Muskingum | W | 88 - 49 |
| 2024-11-13 | @ | Capital | L | 77 - 84 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Adrian | W | 79 - 34 |
| 2024-11-17 | vs | Ferrum | W | 85 - 53 |
| 2024-11-20 | @ | Wilmington (OH) | W | 70 - 62 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Carnegie Mellon | L | 58 - 75 |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | Mt. St. Joseph | W | 77 - 69 |
| 2024-12-04 | vs | DePauw | L | 65 - 75 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | CWRU | W | 69 - 60 |
| 2024-12-19 | vs | Olivet | W | 73 - 70 |
| 2024-12-29 | @ | Bowdoin | L | 64 - 66 |
| 2024-12-30 | vs | Johns Hopkins | L | 53 - 61 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Kenyon | W | 79 - 28 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Wooster | W | 75 - 53 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | Oberlin | L | 70 - 77 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Hiram | W | 86 - 77 |
| 2025-01-22 | @ | Wittenberg | W | 79 - 68 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Ohio Wesleyan | L | 59 - 75 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Kenyon | W | 70 - 44 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | DePauw | L | 52 - 62 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Wooster | W | 91 - 56 |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | Oberlin | L | 57 - 64 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Hiram | W | 57 - 50 |
| 2025-02-19 | vs | Wittenberg | W | 59 - 52 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Ohio Wesleyan | L | 60 - 77 |
| 2025-02-25 | vs | Hiram | L | 56 - 61 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Hickman | - | 1 | 36.0 | 16.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 16.0 | 7.0 | -59 | -2.2 | -2.2 | 43.8 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.57 | 45.0 | 43.8 |
| Isabella Caceres | - | 1 | 38.0 | 14.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 15 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 38.5 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0.18 | 50.4 | 50.0 |
| Abby Cooch | - | 25 | 35.8 | 12.9 | 6.8 | 5.0 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 3.2 | 11.6 | 12.3 | 85 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 38.5 | 27.7 | 84.0 | 0.71 | 49.8 | 44.7 |
| Abigail Westmeyer | - | 25 | 29.2 | 11.3 | 6.0 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 2.7 | 9.4 | 8.9 | -7 | -0.3 | -0.3 | 46.6 | 26.0 | 73.2 | -0.01 | 53.3 | 49.4 |
| Violet Mitchell | - | 25 | 25.3 | 10.2 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 8.0 | 5.6 | 50 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 46.0 | 34.2 | 78.9 | 0.42 | 56.6 | 52.5 |
| Adelyn Moore | - | 25 | 17.6 | 8.2 | 3.9 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 7.6 | 5.7 | 21 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 35.4 | 35.9 | 81.4 | 0.81 | 49.5 | 45.2 |
| Ava Mory | - | 1 | 22.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | -42 | -1.8 | -2.3 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.17 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Bryana Woodard | - | 19 | 13.1 | 7.5 | 3.3 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 5.5 | 5.4 | - | - | - | 59.0 | 0 | 76.0 | -0.14 | 61.6 | 59.0 |
| Maddie Goodman | - | 25 | 26.5 | 6.8 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 5.4 | 7.2 | -4 | -0.2 | -0.2 | 49.6 | 37.3 | 58.1 | -0.05 | 57.5 | 56.7 |
| Brooke Toigo | - | 25 | 21.3 | 5.4 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 6.6 | 1.4 | 74 | 2.2 | 3.2 | 28.7 | 27.2 | 41.2 | 0.49 | 38.0 | 37.2 |
| Anelly Mad-toingue' | - | 1 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 102.5 | 100.0 |
| Jo Janda | - | 1 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | -2.0 | 4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 0 | 0.29 | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| Anastasia Lawler | - | 1 | 38.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | -19 | -0.8 | -0.8 | 12.5 | 16.7 | 0 | -0.15 | 18.8 | 18.8 |
| Maeve Perry | - | 23 | 8.1 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 3.4 | -13 | -0.6 | -1.7 | 60.0 | 0 | 75.0 | -0.14 | 65.8 | 60.0 |
| Jess Zittel | - | 25 | 6.4 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 20 | 0.9 | 2.7 | 46.7 | 47.1 | 100.0 | 0.13 | 65.8 | 64.4 |
| Juliana Gunn | - | 1 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.24 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Avril Drew | - | 1 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | -1.0 | -42 | -1.8 | -2.7 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.8 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Sarah Seaman | - | 1 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 15 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.23 | 69.4 | 100.0 |
| Anelly Mad-toingué | - | 4 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 114 | 7.6 | 15.1 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 30.4 | 33.3 |
| Izzy Arguelles | - | 25 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 6 | 0.4 | 3.5 | 41.2 | 42.9 | 66.7 | 0.08 | 61.1 | 58.8 |
| Molly Fisher | - | 24 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.8 | -2 | -0.3 | -0.8 | 28.6 | 33.3 | 100.0 | -0.09 | 49.4 | 39.3 |
| Ada Taute | - | 10 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 101 | 11.2 | 12.1 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.97 | 125.0 | 125.0 |
| Sydney Wood | - | 25 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 55.6 | 40.0 | 0.0 | - | 60.7 | 66.7 |
| Elliana Baker | - | 25 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 82 | 3.2 | 14.1 | 28.6 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.59 | 30.2 | 28.6 |
| Grace Dressell | - | 19 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 81.0 | 66.7 |
| Morgan Kress | - | 14 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | -15 | -1.7 | -3.9 | 20.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.46 | 44.4 | 20.0 |
| Anelly Mad-toingué | - | 15 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 23.3 | 25.0 |
| Gillian Magner | - | 25 | 4.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 2 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 23.1 | 9.1 | 50.0 | 0.02 | 28.8 | 26.9 |
| Katie Houpt | - | 25 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 6 | 0.6 | 7.1 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0.15 | 51.0 | 60.0 |
| Jamie Elliott | - | 24 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.45 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Maeve Gaffney | - | 21 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 66.7 | - | 46.3 | 33.3 |
| Star Owens | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 |
| Diara Parsons | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -63 | -2.6 | -4.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.61 | 0 | 0 |
| Breyana Buxton | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 24 | 1.5 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.39 | 0 | 0 |
| Shameel Clervrain | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.14 | 0 | 0 |
| Janya Banks | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| McKinzie Wilhoite | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 31 | 1.6 | 5.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.16 | 0 | 0 |
| Maya Joiner | - | 1 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 20 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.16 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG