Denison
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1046 (#134) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1082 (#119) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +8.3 (#31) | HCA +2.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.722 (#335) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.799 (#131) | NetEff +12.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.683 (#288) | AdjNet +6.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.678 (#287) | AdjNet +6.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.603 (#290) | AdjO 74.8 | AdjD 70.2 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Adrian | W | 72 - 68 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Carnegie Mellon | W | 79 - 78 |
| 2024-11-20 | vs | Capital | W | 69 - 44 |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | Otterbein | W | 58 - 44 |
| 2024-12-04 | vs | Oberlin | W | 97 - 56 |
| 2024-12-06 | vs | UC Santa Cruz | L | 80 - 83 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Colby | W | 86 - 76 |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | CWRU | W | 80 - 72 |
| 2024-12-29 | @ | Hanover | W | 82 - 70 |
| 2024-12-30 | @ | Olivet | W | 78 - 67 |
| 2025-01-02 | vs | Ohio Wesleyan | W | 92 - 63 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Kenyon | W | 72 - 57 |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | Wabash | W | 64 - 58 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Wittenberg | W | 56 - 54 |
| 2025-01-15 | vs | DePauw | W | 76 - 56 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Hiram | W | 90 - 67 |
| 2025-01-22 | @ | Wooster | W | 77 - 65 |
| 2025-01-29 | @ | Oberlin | W | 72 - 59 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Kenyon | L | 77 - 82 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | Wabash | W | 53 - 51 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Wittenberg | W | 64 - 56 |
| 2025-02-12 | @ | DePauw | W | 77 - 62 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Hiram | W | 77 - 64 |
| 2025-02-19 | vs | Wooster | L | 72 - 75 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Ohio Wesleyan | W | 67 - 62 |
| 2025-02-28 | vs | Ohio Wesleyan | W | 74 - 70 |
| 2025-03-01 | vs | Wooster | W | 79 - 68 |
| 2025-03-07 | vs | Franklin | L | 64 - 67 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phil Wallace | - | 1 | 22.0 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 | -39 | -2.4 | -4.7 | 60.0 | 60.0 | 66.7 | 0.07 | 75.1 | 75.0 |
| Ricky Radtke | - | 23 | 25.6 | 12.3 | 5.7 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 7.2 | 12.0 | 83 | 4.4 | 8.0 | 63.3 | 0.0 | 62.6 | -0.34 | 65.1 | 63.3 |
| Trevor Reed | - | 25 | 21.4 | 11.8 | 4.2 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 9.2 | 7.1 | 6 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 40.9 | 32.9 | 66.7 | 0.77 | 51.7 | 46.1 |
| Darren Rubin | - | 26 | 21.1 | 11.2 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 9.6 | 4.2 | 72 | 4.8 | 7.6 | 40.6 | 30.1 | 83.6 | -0.19 | 52.4 | 47.4 |
| Tony Carter | - | 1 | 35.0 | 10.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 16.0 | -46 | -2.7 | -5.3 | 57.1 | 40.0 | 0 | 0.88 | 71.4 | 71.4 |
| Kellon Smith | - | 27 | 23.7 | 9.5 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 6.3 | 7.4 | 105 | 3.5 | 9.6 | 55.6 | 37.5 | 87.1 | 2.19 | 65.5 | 60.1 |
| Jake Lowman | - | 1 | 24.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | -13 | -0.7 | -2.7 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.74 | 58.1 | 50.0 |
| Tyler Miller | - | 26 | 19.5 | 7.4 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 6.1 | 6.5 | 83 | 5.5 | 10.7 | 42.4 | 34.6 | 71.1 | 1.28 | 54.3 | 50.9 |
| Cameron Smith | - | 27 | 24.5 | 7.4 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 4.7 | 7.9 | 177 | 6.3 | 15.4 | 55.5 | 41.1 | 69.2 | 2.58 | 68.5 | 67.2 |
| Scotty Dean | - | 27 | 22.4 | 5.6 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 5.3 | 5.0 | 6 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 37.3 | 35.3 | 50.0 | 0.58 | 52.2 | 52.1 |
| Aidan King | - | 24 | 13.9 | 5.2 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 4.0 | 4.7 | -8 | -0.5 | -2.5 | 40.6 | 39.3 | 73.3 | 0.65 | 56.8 | 53.1 |
| Quinn Hart | - | 1 | 19.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | -26 | -2.0 | -6.8 | 100.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.45 | 102.5 | 100.0 |
| Jack Steinbach | - | 27 | 17.1 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 2.6 | 4.6 | -31 | -1.6 | -10.2 | 51.4 | 50.0 | 80.8 | 0.21 | 64.5 | 60.0 |
| Gates Flynn | - | 27 | 6.1 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 46.7 | 20.0 | 50.0 | 0.04 | 50.4 | 50.0 |
| Luke Salkowski | - | 18 | 6.6 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 2.7 | 55 | 5.5 | 149.2 | 66.7 | 0 | 33.3 | -0.39 | 59.2 | 66.7 |
| Liam Taylor | - | 26 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 1.5 | 14.2 | 52.6 | 25.0 | 50.0 | -0.35 | 57.8 | 57.9 |
| Nick Heath | - | 18 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 30.0 | 0 | - | 43.3 | 43.3 |
| Tyler Martin | - | 26 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 66.7 | 0 | - | 80.0 | 80.0 |
| Aidan Gallogly | - | 27 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Owen Giannoulias | - | 27 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 18 | 1.8 | 173.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.92 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jay Jackson | - | 19 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | -0.1 | 9 | 0.8 | 2.9 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.37 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Andrew McDowell | - | 23 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1 | 1.0 | 20.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Dre Rodgers | - | 26 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | -3 | -3.0 | -24.5 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.87 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Landon Turnbull | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1 | -0.2 | -3.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.49 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG