Delta St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1094 (#97) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1081 (#125) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1032 (#192) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +4.7 (#169) | HCA +2.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +6.2 (#262) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.427 (#389) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.549 (#262) | NetEff +1.5 |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.218 (#358) | NetEff -9.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.777 (#283) | AdjNet +10.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.789 (#285) | AdjNet +11.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.665 (#279) | AdjO 63.7 | AdjD 56.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.560 (#225) | AdjO 61.9 | AdjD 59.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.633 (#246) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.622 (#251) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1035 (#220) | RD 98 | GP 25 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-05 | vs | Felician | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Louisiana | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Jamestown | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Miles | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Mary | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Southern Ark. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Ark.-Monticello | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Arkansas Tech | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Harding | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Union (TN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Christian Brothers | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-11 | @ | Montevallo | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-14 | @ | AUM | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | UAH | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | West Florida | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Lee | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Mississippi Col. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Christian Brothers | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | AUM | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Montevallo | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | UAH | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | West Ala. | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayte Kohn | - | 1 | 22.0 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 66.7 | 100.0 | -0.93 | 64.3 | 60.0 |
| Jariyah Williamson | - | 18 | 26.5 | 11.6 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 10.9 | 7.3 | 18 | 0.9 | 3.9 | 36.7 | 32.3 | 72.3 | 1.61 | 48.0 | 44.4 |
| J'ell Garfield | - | 2 | 26.8 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 8.5 | 4.5 | - | - | - | 41.2 | 71.4 | 50.0 | 0.42 | 55.9 | 55.9 |
| Kaylin Garza | - | 1 | 28.3 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 30.0 | 40.0 | 100.0 | 0.24 | 43.1 | 40.0 |
| Olivia Allen | - | 18 | 25.4 | 8.3 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 7.8 | 4.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 37.6 | 32.6 | 70.7 | 0.55 | 46.8 | 42.6 |
| Dakiya Toney | - | 18 | 23.7 | 8.2 | 6.7 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 8.5 | 6.8 | 25 | 1.0 | 5.7 | 40.5 | 0.0 | 51.1 | 1.72 | 42.6 | 40.5 |
| Kyrie Alldredge | - | 2 | 23.1 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 5.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 66.7 | 75.0 | -2.16 | 55.3 | 50.0 |
| Madi Kate Vuncannon | - | 18 | 26.7 | 6.0 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 5.6 | 3.2 | -29 | -1.2 | -6.6 | 33.7 | 34.7 | 66.7 | -1.44 | 51.4 | 50.5 |
| Brae Eneboe | - | 2 | 19.6 | 6.0 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 6.5 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 38.5 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.31 | 40.7 | 38.5 |
| Kennedee Shelton | - | 17 | 18.6 | 5.6 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 4.7 | 4.4 | -4 | -0.2 | -1.5 | 45.0 | 25.0 | 54.3 | -0.01 | 50.3 | 48.1 |
| Bramyia Johnson | - | 18 | 13.0 | 4.6 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 4.6 | 2.7 | 25 | 1.2 | 9.0 | 37.8 | 27.0 | 64.7 | 0.39 | 46.4 | 43.9 |
| Daniela Gintere | - | 17 | 15.0 | 4.5 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 3.8 | 2.5 | 30 | 1.4 | 15.0 | 42.2 | 37.5 | 83.3 | 1.64 | 54.8 | 51.6 |
| Makena Hauge | - | 2 | 19.1 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 6.5 | 3.5 | - | - | - | 23.1 | 40.0 | 50.0 | - | 32.4 | 30.8 |
| Alyse Holliman | - | 18 | 14.7 | 4.2 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 3.3 | 5.2 | 2 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 47.5 | 0 | 48.8 | -2.62 | 49.3 | 47.5 |
| Allie Kohn | - | 2 | 27.2 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 5.5 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 18.2 | 20.0 | 50.0 | -0.1 | 29.3 | 22.7 |
| Jada Clarkson | - | 2 | 26.7 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 5.5 | 3.5 | - | - | - | 9.1 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -1.01 | 27.5 | 9.1 |
| Bailey Featherstone | - | 11 | 8.8 | 3.8 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 58 | 4.5 | 94.4 | 44.7 | 75.0 | 55.6 | 5.59 | 50.0 | 48.7 |
| Ava Robinson | - | 2 | 7.5 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 221 | 10.0 | 39.2 | 60.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 4.22 | 70.0 | 70.0 |
| Adyson Roberts | - | 18 | 13.9 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 31 | 1.5 | 11.5 | 31.7 | 20.8 | 56.2 | 2.32 | 38.5 | 35.7 |
| Anna Cera | - | 18 | 15.6 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 2.9 | 1.2 | -12 | -0.5 | -4.4 | 30.2 | 17.6 | 77.8 | -0.64 | 36.9 | 33.0 |
| JNyria Kelly | - | 14 | 7.9 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.8 | 1.5 | -8 | -0.6 | -3.6 | 35.9 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.24 | 37.2 | 35.9 |
| Dylan Stedillie | - | 2 | 10.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 17.0 | 0.0 |
| Karson Tempel | - | 2 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 56.8 | 0 |
| Sandie Friday | - | 1 | 2.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Celicia Enos | - | 1 | 6.9 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Saide Stevenson | - | 1 | 5.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Izzy Kelly | - | 1 | 4.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG