Delta St.
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 975 (#251) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 946 (#274) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +6.5 (#134) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.492 (#339) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.544 (#201) | NetEff +1.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.717 (#285) | AdjNet +8.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.721 (#287) | AdjNet +8.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.650 (#276) | AdjO 81.1 | AdjD 74.3 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | @ | LeMoyne-Owen | W | 87 - 73 |
| 2024-11-10 | vs | LeMoyne-Owen | W | 80 - 76 |
| 2024-11-12 | @ | Lane | W | 104 - 77 |
| 2024-11-17 | vs | Ky. Wesleyan | L | 66 - 85 |
| 2024-11-21 | @ | Ouachita Baptist | L | 82 - 90 |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | Ark.-Monticello | W | 79 - 63 |
| 2024-12-05 | @ | Union (TN) | L | 68 - 83 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Christian Brothers | W | 86 - 75 |
| 2024-12-12 | vs | Montevallo | L | 81 - 89 |
| 2024-12-14 | vs | AUM | W | 92 - 80 |
| 2024-12-19 | @ | West Ala. | L | 75 - 78 |
| 2024-12-21 | @ | UAH | L | 67 - 87 |
| 2025-01-02 | vs | West Florida | L | 73 - 77 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Valdosta St. | L | 92 - 100 |
| 2025-01-09 | @ | Trevecca Nazarene | L | 88 - 99 |
| 2025-01-12 | @ | Lee | L | 64 - 82 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Mississippi Col. | W | 62 - 54 |
| 2025-01-23 | vs | Christian Brothers | W | 87 - 69 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Union (TN) | W | 69 - 59 |
| 2025-01-30 | @ | AUM | W | 93 - 84 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Montevallo | W | 90 - 85 |
| 2025-02-06 | vs | UAH | L | 74 - 80 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | West Ala. | W | 72 - 63 |
| 2025-02-13 | @ | Valdosta St. | W | 96 - 92 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | West Florida | W | 89 - 86 |
| 2025-02-20 | vs | Lee | W | 74 - 67 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Trevecca Nazarene | L | 69 - 76 |
| 2025-03-01 | @ | Mississippi Col. | W | 93 - 77 |
| 2025-03-04 | @ | Trevecca Nazarene | W | 87 - 78 |
| 2025-03-08 | @ | UAH | L | 66 - 84 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Lemons | - | 1 | 36.0 | 31.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 25.0 | 14.0 | 79 | 3.3 | 13.6 | 44.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0.95 | 57.0 | 52.0 |
| Chris Terrell | - | 29 | 35.8 | 21.2 | 3.8 | 3.6 | 3.5 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 15.6 | 15.3 | -76 | -5.1 | -5.8 | 48.3 | 36.4 | 87.3 | 0.92 | 60.6 | 55.9 |
| Keithean Brooks | - | 28 | 30.6 | 18.2 | 3.3 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 2.8 | 13.6 | 9.5 | -142 | -5.7 | -14.1 | 43.5 | 30.5 | 84.7 | 0.45 | 56.6 | 49.5 |
| Kolby Horace | - | 29 | 30.6 | 13.9 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 10.5 | 10.0 | -100 | -3.8 | -8.3 | 50.0 | 33.1 | 76.2 | 0.81 | 59.6 | 56.4 |
| Elliot Tulip | - | 1 | 30.0 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 79 | 3.6 | 26.3 | 71.4 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.3 | 76.1 | 71.4 |
| Michael Mcintosh | - | 1 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | -30 | -2.0 | -21.9 | 83.3 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.02 | 87.2 | 83.3 |
| Jesse Washington | - | 25 | 22.9 | 8.8 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 7.4 | 6.2 | -67 | -3.4 | -9.0 | 41.9 | 30.1 | 62.2 | -0.11 | 53.7 | 51.9 |
| Je'Marion Westbrook | - | 29 | 23.8 | 7.4 | 3.9 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 5.9 | 6.4 | -121 | -4.7 | -17.1 | 44.1 | 31.5 | 78.0 | -0.57 | 57.4 | 54.1 |
| Charles Fofanah | - | 1 | 33.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | -26 | -1.0 | -6.8 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.5 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Samuel Whitmer | - | 29 | 20.1 | 4.1 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 3.4 | 4.3 | -157 | -4.8 | -15.1 | 38.0 | 34.7 | 81.0 | -1.0 | 54.0 | 50.5 |
| Jalil Robinson | - | 1 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6 | 0.8 | 70.2 | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -1.29 | 69.4 | 50.0 |
| Bryce Clayton | - | 29 | 13.3 | 3.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 1.7 | -29 | -1.2 | -6.8 | 43.9 | 42.5 | 60.0 | 0.17 | 62.9 | 62.8 |
| Decorian Payton | - | 29 | 13.6 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 2.6 | 3.8 | -93 | -4.2 | -14.3 | 47.3 | 27.8 | 60.0 | -0.11 | 52.9 | 50.7 |
| Hugh Hargett | - | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4 | 0.7 | 63.6 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.42 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Caleb McGill | - | 1 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | -14 | -0.6 | -1.6 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.17 | 113.6 | 0 |
| Marcellious Lockett | - | 1 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 15 | 0.8 | 3.4 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.4 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Brendan Braddix | - | 29 | 4.6 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 0.5 | -11 | -0.7 | -52.6 | 28.9 | 20.8 | 44.4 | -0.87 | 36.9 | 35.5 |
| Phillip Hughes | - | 29 | 3.6 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 58 | 4.5 | 454.9 | 15.0 | 18.8 | 100.0 | -1.07 | 26.3 | 22.5 |
| Tyler Henry | - | 28 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 19 | 3.2 | 332.8 | 57.1 | 50.0 | 0 | -1.44 | 64.3 | 64.3 |
| Peter Cavacini | - | 16 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Liam Carrick | - | 20 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Dwight Luckett | - | 18 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Will McCrory | - | 28 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | -0.1 | 11 | 2.2 | 192.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.44 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Blake Thompson | - | 14 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 0.5 | 50.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.61 | 0 | 0 |
| Travion McCray | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18 | 0.8 | 5.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.14 | 0 | 0 |
| Dadrevius Weathers | - | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 20 | 1.3 | 11.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.05 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Bryson Hall | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Thaddeus Williams | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 71 | 2.4 | 4.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.36 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG