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Delaware

Also known as: Delaware Blue Hens
Program History

2020 Team Stats (29 games)

75.1
PPG
71.1
Opp
+4.1
Margin
48.5%
FG%
36.6%
3P%
75.5%
FT%
33.7
RPG
12.9
APG
12.9
TO
-
Est. poss./game
70.6
Adj PPG
70.8
Adj Opp PPG
#179
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2019-2020
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 988 (#183) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1101 (#98) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +96 elo More โ†’ 1075 (#88) HCA +96 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ -0.6 (#181) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ -0.3 (#172) HCA +3.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.591 (#128) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.8 More โ†’ 0.447 (#184) AdjNet -1.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.9 More โ†’ 0.446 (#184) AdjNet -1.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.6 | AdjD 70.8 More โ†’ 0.495 (#179) AdjO 70.6 | AdjD 70.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.1 | AdjD 70.8 More โ†’ 0.528 (#150) AdjO 72.1 | AdjD 70.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.517 (#168) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.523 (#165) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 89 | GP 32 More โ†’ 1057 (#137) RD 89 | GP 32

2020 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2019-11-05 vs Bridgewater Eagles W 97 - 51
2019-11-08 vs Oakland Golden Grizzlies W 56 - 53
2019-11-09 @ Southern Illinois Salukis W 56 - 54
2019-11-10 @ UTSA Roadrunners W 91 - 79
2019-11-16 @ Lafayette Leopards W 81 - 73
2019-11-19 @ Saint Francis Red Wolves W 79 - 64
2019-11-27 vs Stony Brook Seawolves W 75 - 61
2019-11-29 vs Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks W 75 - 56
2019-12-02 vs Columbia Lions W 84 - 76
2019-12-07 @ George Washington Revolutionaries L 56 - 66
2019-12-14 @ Villanova Wildcats L 70 - 78
2019-12-16 vs Delaware State Hornets W 86 - 78
2019-12-20 @ Long Island University Sharks L 75 - 82
2019-12-28 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks W 82 - 68
2019-12-30 vs Charleston Cougars L 63 - 75
2020-01-03 @ Drexel Dragons L 55 - 61
2020-01-09 @ James Madison Dukes W 80 - 76
2020-01-11 @ Towson Tigers L 68 - 84
2020-01-16 vs William & Mary Tribe L 68 - 77
2020-01-18 vs Elon Phoenix W 79 - 78
2020-01-23 @ Hofstra Pride W 73 - 71
2020-01-25 @ Northeastern Huskies W 76 - 74
2020-02-01 vs Drexel Dragons W 80 - 72
2020-02-06 vs Towson Tigers W 84 - 78
2020-02-08 vs James Madison Dukes W 80 - 78
2020-02-13 @ Elon Phoenix W 81 - 75
2020-02-15 @ William & Mary Tribe L 77 - 81
2020-02-20 vs Northeastern Huskies W 70 - 48
2020-02-22 vs Hofstra Pride L 62 - 78
2020-02-27 @ Charleston Cougars L 71 - 80
2020-02-29 @ UNC Wilmington Seahawks W 82 - 65
2020-03-08 @ Charleston Cougars W 79 - 67
2020-03-09 @ Hofstra Pride L 61 - 75

2020 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Nate Darling Nate Darling - 28 38.4 21.3 3.9 2.6 0.8 0.2 2.8 15.4 10.8 61 28 2.2 2.7 45.1 40.5 86.7 -4.39 61.0 55.8
Ryan Allen Ryan Allen G 29 34.0 12.8 2.1 1.9 0.9 0.2 1.8 10.4 5.6 96 29 3.3 4.6 38.9 35.0 81.1 1.28 54.1 49.2
Kevin Anderson Kevin Anderson G 29 34.9 11.9 3.9 3.8 1.3 0.5 2.7 8.9 9.9 125 29 4.3 5.8 49.0 35.0 72.2 3.09 59.0 55.8
Justyn Mutts Justyn Mutts F 29 31.4 11.6 7.9 2.2 1.4 1.1 2.4 8.9 12.8 138 29 4.8 7.0 51.8 11.1 72.8 2.63 56.3 52.1
Dylan Painter Dylan Painter F 19 20.2 9.4 5.6 1.1 0.2 0.6 1.7 5.2 10.0 21 22 1.0 2.1 65.3 50.0 69.0 -1.06 69.3 66.3
Collin Goss Collin Goss F 29 19.8 6.2 4.8 0.7 0.2 0.6 1.0 4.3 7.2 24 29 0.8 2.2 65.3 11.1 50.0 -3.51 64.8 65.7
Jacob Cushing Jacob Cushing F 23 9.5 2.7 1.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.6 2.0 2.4 4 22 0.2 0.9 47.8 42.4 83.3 -0.3 64.8 63.0
Aleks Novakovich Aleks Novakovich F 14 9.2 2.0 1.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 1.9 1.9 - - - - 38.5 25.0 80.0 - 49.6 46.2
Johnny McCoy Johnny McCoy G 29 14.0 2.0 1.8 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.4 1.5 2.8 -10 29 -0.3 -1.3 48.8 44.4 57.1 -1.25 59.0 58.1
Ebby Asamoah Ebby Asamoah G 18 6.3 1.2 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.7 -33 16 -2.1 -17.9 46.7 50.0 75.0 -3.19 65.6 63.3
Fred Rullo Fred Rullo G 3 2.3 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.7 - - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Davis Long Davis Long G 5 2.6 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG