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Delaware

Also known as: Delaware Blue Hens
Program History

2014 Team Stats (15 games)

80.3
PPG
76.2
Opp
+4.1
Margin
45.6%
FG%
34.4%
3P%
72.5%
FT%
35.0
RPG
10.7
APG
8.4
TO
-
Est. poss./game
78.8
Adj PPG
74.8
Adj Opp PPG
#108
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2013-2014
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1108 (#87) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1173 (#59) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +92 elo More โ†’ 1121 (#34) HCA +92 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ +4.1 (#116) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ +3.6 (#118) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.638 (#90) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +4.2 More โ†’ 0.617 (#127) AdjNet +4.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +4.1 More โ†’ 0.617 (#127) AdjNet +4.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 78.8 | AdjD 74.8 More โ†’ 0.592 (#108) AdjO 78.8 | AdjD 74.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.7 | AdjD 73.5 More โ†’ 0.571 (#98) AdjO 76.7 | AdjD 73.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.637 (#100) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.633 (#98) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 119 | GP 35 More โ†’ 1136 (#79) RD 119 | GP 35

2014 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2013-11-08 @ Richmond Spiders L 69 - 71
2013-11-10 vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers L 93 - 95
2013-11-17 @ Hampton Pirates W 90 - 79
2013-11-19 @ Army Black Knights W 89 - 74
2013-11-22 @ Villanova Wildcats L 80 - 84
2013-11-25 @ Delaware State Hornets W 80 - 70
2013-11-30 vs Robert Morris Colonials W 86 - 67
2013-12-03 @ Charleston Southern Buccaneers W 85 - 80
2013-12-07 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 75 - 80
2013-12-16 @ North Dakota State Bison L 66 - 85
2013-12-18 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 64 - 76
2013-12-21 vs Bryant Bulldogs W 108 - 107
2013-12-30 @ St. Bonaventure Bonnies L 73 - 80
2014-01-01 vs Liberty Flames W 77 - 64
2014-01-04 vs Cal Poly Mustangs W 82 - 72
2014-01-08 vs Hofstra Pride W 86 - 79
2014-01-11 @ James Madison Dukes W 78 - 74
2014-01-15 vs William & Mary Tribe W 76 - 71
2014-01-18 @ Northeastern Huskies W 74 - 70
2014-01-20 @ Drexel Dragons W 90 - 77
2014-01-25 vs Towson Tigers W 83 - 76
2014-01-29 @ William & Mary Tribe W 89 - 72
2014-02-01 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks W 66 - 65
2014-02-03 vs Northeastern Huskies W 80 - 67
2014-02-05 vs Charleston Cougars W 67 - 64
2014-02-12 vs James Madison Dukes W 81 - 65
2014-02-17 @ Towson Tigers L 63 - 78
2014-02-19 @ Hofstra Pride W 81 - 77
2014-02-23 vs Drexel Dragons L 65 - 69
2014-02-26 @ UNC Wilmington Seahawks W 70 - 57
2014-03-01 @ Charleston Cougars W 89 - 86
2014-03-08 vs Hofstra Pride W 87 - 76
2014-03-09 vs Northeastern Huskies W 87 - 74
2014-03-10 vs William & Mary Tribe W 75 - 74
2014-03-20 @ Michigan State Spartans L 78 - 93

2014 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Devon Saddler Devon Saddler G 26 37.0 19.5 4.4 3.7 0.9 0.3 2.2 9.1 17.5 82 25 3.3 3.8 43.9 38.8 67.4 -0.68 91.4 49.4
Davon Usher Davon Usher G 33 36.5 19.5 6.0 1.8 1.7 0.4 2.1 7.4 19.8 134 30 4.5 5.4 46.5 35.8 76.0 3.68 107.1 54.5
Jarvis Threatt Jarvis Threatt G 24 36.8 17.2 5.8 5.4 2.5 0.2 2.7 6.4 22.0 88 23 3.8 4.6 41.8 18.8 72.6 0.81 101.0 42.8
Carl Baptiste Carl Baptiste F 33 27.9 11.3 7.9 0.4 0.3 1.5 1.6 4.4 15.4 128 30 4.3 7.0 58.9 0 71.4 2.53 107.4 58.9
Kyle Anderson Kyle Anderson G 33 34.9 11.1 3.6 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.9 4.7 11.3 97 30 3.2 4.1 38.3 35.8 82.1 -0.9 106.9 51.0
Marvin King-Davis Marvin King-Davis F 25 16.0 4.8 3.5 0.1 0.1 0.8 0.6 1.8 6.9 16 22 0.7 1.9 52.2 0 61.5 -1.05 103.6 52.2
Devonne Pinkard Devonne Pinkard F 32 18.0 2.6 2.3 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.5 1.1 4.4 26 29 0.9 2.4 40.0 40.0 80.0 -1.29 111.6 54.3
Cazmon Hayes Cazmon Hayes G 29 10.7 2.1 1.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.6 -1 26 0.0 -0.2 29.2 16.7 41.7 -2.81 105.9 33.3
Maurice Jeffers Maurice Jeffers F 17 4.9 0.8 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.4 -1 16 -0.1 -0.7 75.0 0 50.0 -1.67 133.2 75.0
Barnett Harris Barnett Harris F 23 3.5 0.5 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 1.2 -39 22 -1.8 -21.4 66.7 0 50.0 -6.37 154.6 66.7
Sean Locke Sean Locke G 7 1.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 -0.1 -10 6 -1.7 -64.2 0.0 0.0 50.0 -2.65 17.4 0.0
Tommy Williams Tommy Williams F 8 1.5 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0 8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 -1.65 0.0 0.0
Thomas Allshouse Thomas Allshouse F 6 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -5 6 -0.8 -38.5 0 0 0 -1.81 0 0
Dylan Miller Dylan Miller G 6 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 -0.2 -5 5 -1.0 -41.1 0 0 0 -1.82 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG