Delaware State
Model Outputs
2012-2013
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 877 (#953) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 890 (#960) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 941 (#504) | HCA +147 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +8.5 (#441) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -1.2 (#329) | HCA +3.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.417 (#492) | AdjO 61.4 | AdjD 65.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.423 (#340) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.410 (#348) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 913 (#370) | RD 127 | GP 33 |
2013 Schedule & Results
2013 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
T. Tate
|
- | 32 | 34.7 | 12.8 | 3.1 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 15.8 | -142 | -4.4 | -5.2 | 46.9 | 20.0 | 55.6 | -1.39 | 570.1 | 50.0 |
M. Oliver
|
F | 32 | 28.8 | 9.2 | 7.0 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 17.6 | -7 | -0.2 | -0.4 | 66.7 | 0 | 69.6 | 0.17 | 342.1 | 66.7 |
C. Walker
|
G | 33 | 30.7 | 8.6 | 3.4 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 11.5 | -51 | -1.5 | -2.2 | 36.8 | 31.0 | 100.0 | -0.06 | 366.5 | 48.7 |
T. Bell
|
F | 31 | 21.2 | 8.0 | 2.7 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 10.7 | -91 | -2.9 | -4.8 | 47.8 | 33.3 | 75.0 | -0.13 | 498.8 | 56.5 |
A. May
|
G | 26 | 16.9 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7.7 | -83 | -3.2 | -6.7 | 45.0 | 80.0 | 42.9 | -0.62 | 335.8 | 55.0 |
K. Gray
|
C | 29 | 23.5 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 10.3 | -47 | -1.6 | -3.4 | 31.6 | 0 | 75.0 | -0.14 | 385.4 | 31.6 |
A. Thomas
|
G | 30 | 22.3 | 4.9 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 7.8 | 200 | 5.6 | 8.4 | 55.2 | 66.7 | 75.0 | 0.73 | 213.0 | 58.6 |
M. Bowman Jr.
|
F | 32 | 12.7 | 4.2 | 3.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 7.2 | 243 | 6.9 | 10.3 | 44.4 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 1.26 | 472.7 | 44.4 |
M. Coger
|
- | 3 | 4.0 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 4.7 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
J. Joyner
|
G | 22 | 7.5 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 2.6 | 2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 60.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.05 | 420.0 | 80.0 |
C. Lewis
|
- | 13 | 6.4 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 3.2 | 13 | 0.9 | 3.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.23 | 0 | 0 |
C. Thomas
|
G | 16 | 7.2 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 79 | 2.4 | 10.0 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.98 | 167.2 | 33.3 |
J. Lawson
|
G | 21 | 6.3 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2.6 | -10 | -0.5 | -2.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | 0 | 0 |
N. Doyle
|
G | 15 | 6.5 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 19 | 1.5 | 6.9 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 850.0 | 100.0 |
S. Sill
|
F | 11 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 19 | 1.6 | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.23 | 0 | 0 |
B. Oliver
|
G | 23 | 6.9 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 2 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG