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Delaware State

Also known as: Delaware State Hornets
Program History

Model Outputs

2001-2002
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 851 (#239) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 961 (#190) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 1017 (#132) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +4.0 More → -6.0 (#242) HCA +4.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -5.7 (#232) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.552 (#134) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -10.7 More → 0.226 (#255) AdjNet -10.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -10.9 More → 0.222 (#255) AdjNet -10.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 59.9 | AdjD 65.0 More → 0.386 (#235) AdjO 59.9 | AdjD 65.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.6 | AdjD 63.1 More → 0.465 (#196) AdjO 61.6 | AdjD 63.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.370 (#226) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.385 (#221) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 129 | GP 29 More → 897 (#231) RD 129 | GP 29

2002 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2001-11-16 vs Hartford W 69 - 57
2001-11-20 @ Maine W 60 - 52
2001-11-24 @ Maryland L 53 - 77
2001-11-26 @ Old Dominion L 61 - 72
2001-12-01 @ South Carolina State W 78 - 63
2001-12-03 @ North Carolina A&T L 63 - 76
2001-12-08 @ Eastern Michigan L 62 - 75
2001-12-19 @ Fordham L 70 - 80
2001-12-22 @ FDU W 79 - 73
2001-12-28 @ Villanova L 44 - 67
2002-01-02 @ Towson L 57 - 64
2002-01-05 vs Coppin State W 57 - 46
2002-01-07 vs Morgan State W 77 - 67
2002-01-12 vs Bethune-Cookman W 86 - 66
2002-01-14 vs Florida A&M W 65 - 50
2002-01-19 @ Hampton L 55 - 58
2002-01-21 @ Norfolk State W 82 - 62
2002-01-26 vs Maryland–Eastern Shore W 77 - 67
2002-02-02 vs South Carolina State L 55 - 61
2002-02-04 vs North Carolina A&T W 75 - 61
2002-02-09 @ Coppin State W 67 - 65
2002-02-11 @ Morgan State W 54 - 52
2002-02-16 @ Bethune-Cookman W 67 - 56
2002-02-18 @ Florida A&M L 62 - 69
2002-02-21 vs Hampton L 58 - 63
2002-02-25 vs Norfolk State L 66 - 73
2002-03-02 @ Howard W 71 - 64
2002-03-06 N Coppin State W 54 - 45
2002-03-08 N Howard L 56 - 65

2002 Roster

No roster data available for this season.