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Delaware State

Also known as: Delaware State Hornets
Program History

Model Outputs

1999-2000
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 582 (#311) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 692 (#308) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +114 elo More → 893 (#278) HCA +114 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.7 More → -15.0 (#305) HCA +3.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.6 More → -14.3 (#302) HCA +3.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.245 (#263) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -22.9 More → 0.066 (#306) AdjNet -22.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -23.3 More → 0.064 (#306) AdjNet -23.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 56.1 | AdjD 69.9 More → 0.222 (#305) AdjO 56.1 | AdjD 69.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 60.9 | AdjD 69.2 More → 0.320 (#285) AdjO 60.9 | AdjD 69.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.163 (#308) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.177 (#305) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 141 | GP 28 More → 654 (#310) RD 141 | GP 28

2000 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1999-11-19 @ Marist L 47 - 72
1999-11-20 N Maine L 61 - 69
1999-11-23 @ Drake L 51 - 81
1999-11-26 @ Virginia Commonwealth L 68 - 79
1999-12-01 vs Maryland–Eastern Shore L 72 - 74
1999-12-04 vs Delaware L 51 - 64
1999-12-08 vs Kansas City L 50 - 53
1999-12-18 @ Tulsa L 52 - 72
1999-12-30 @ Duquesne L 63 - 67
2000-01-03 @ Coppin State L 73 - 77
2000-01-08 vs South Carolina State L 53 - 61
2000-01-10 vs North Carolina A&T L 65 - 69
2000-01-15 @ Norfolk State L 60 - 62
2000-01-17 @ Hampton L 67 - 71
2000-01-19 vs Albany (NY) W 53 - 50
2000-01-22 @ Florida A&M W 61 - 55
2000-01-24 vs Bethune-Cookman L 60 - 70
2000-01-29 @ Maryland–Eastern Shore L 53 - 66
2000-02-02 vs Howard W 83 - 76
2000-02-05 vs Morgan State W 72 - 61
2000-02-07 vs Coppin State L 62 - 68
2000-02-12 @ South Carolina State L 57 - 63
2000-02-14 @ North Carolina A&T L 55 - 69
2000-02-19 vs Norfolk State W 78 - 76
2000-02-21 vs Hampton L 73 - 87
2000-02-26 @ Howard W 75 - 72
2000-03-03 @ Morgan State L 77 - 86
2000-03-07 N Florida A&M L 66 - 69

2000 Roster

No roster data available for this season.