Defiance
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -13.3 (#305) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.004 (#732) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.004 (#690) | AdjNet -47.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.003 (#690) | AdjNet -47.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.061 (#690) | AdjO 47.5 | AdjD 77.6 |
2025 Schedule & Results
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JaKiah Mitchell | - | 1 | 25.0 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 14.0 | 1.0 | 7 | 0.4 | 2.4 | 35.7 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 0.01 | 34.0 | 35.7 |
| Candyce Hollins | - | 1 | 26.0 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 100.0 | 50.0 | - | 79.9 | 83.3 |
| Ali Mowen | - | 1 | 38.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Chandler Duncan | - | 1 | 21.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 10.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 23.0 | 15.0 |
| Jourdyn Wynn | - | 1 | 32.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | -5.0 | - | - | - | 16.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 15.5 | 16.7 |
| Morgan Crowe | - | 1 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 0 | 0 | - | 28.6 | 28.6 |
| San'Taizia Thomas | - | 1 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | -1.0 | 103 | 2.9 | 3.5 | 14.3 | 0 | 0 | 0.59 | 14.3 | 14.3 |
| Taylor Haynes | - | 1 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Katlin Barrett | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Mone'a McElroy | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Creedance Chittenden | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG