DePauw
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1035 (#156) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1171 (#72) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1105 (#90) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +22.1 (#22) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +14.9 (#162) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.911 (#236) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.820 (#212) | NetEff +11.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.977 (#144) | AdjNet +32.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.979 (#145) | AdjNet +32.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.848 (#149) | AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 52.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.758 (#84) | AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 50.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.824 (#119) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.819 (#120) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1166 (#93) | RD 101 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Transylvania | L | 52 - 62 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Wartburg | W | 63 - 56 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Gustavus Adolphus | L | 52 - 56 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Millikin | W | 80 - 53 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | WashU | L | 52 - 70 |
| 2025-11-30 | vs | Wis.-La Crosse | W | 64 - 60 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Denison | L | 52 - 59 |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | Albion | W | 77 - 66 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Williams | W | 72 - 37 |
| 2025-12-29 | vs | Trine | L | 51 - 60 |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Ohio Northern | W | 60 - 30 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Oberlin | W | 69 - 63 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Wittenberg | W | 51 - 32 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Kenyon | W | 67 - 47 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Ohio Wesleyan | L | 50 - 55 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Wooster | W | 79 - 73 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | John Carroll | L | 50 - 59 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Denison | L | 40 - 57 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Oberlin | W | 69 - 42 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Mont | - | 19 | 29.2 | 13.1 | 6.6 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 13.5 | 9.2 | 51 | 2.4 | 13.6 | 34.4 | 28.4 | 67.7 | 2.58 | 43.7 | 40.0 |
| Olivia Hart | - | 19 | 28.9 | 11.9 | 6.7 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 11.6 | 8.4 | 42 | 2.0 | 10.8 | 40.3 | 0.0 | 68.1 | -0.12 | 44.9 | 40.3 |
| Tori Allen | - | 18 | 28.5 | 8.7 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 6.6 | 51 | 2.5 | 22.3 | 48.1 | 36.5 | 80.5 | -0.45 | 61.9 | 56.9 |
| Campbell Schrank | - | 18 | 20.9 | 7.4 | 4.1 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 5.3 | 6.1 | 44 | 2.2 | 27.1 | 45.3 | 23.1 | 71.2 | -0.04 | 55.4 | 48.4 |
| Diana Burgher | - | 19 | 22.6 | 5.5 | 4.4 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 6.3 | 4.5 | 59 | 2.8 | 21.2 | 35.3 | 35.0 | 73.7 | 0.71 | 41.2 | 38.2 |
| Lily Huntzinger | - | 19 | 20.2 | 4.2 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 4.8 | 2.7 | 50 | 2.4 | 15.2 | 34.8 | 31.4 | 57.1 | 3.24 | 41.5 | 40.8 |
| Hannah Lach | - | 19 | 13.9 | 3.7 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 3.8 | 2.7 | 21 | 1.0 | 10.7 | 37.5 | 18.8 | 66.7 | 2.92 | 44.5 | 41.7 |
| Alina Prusko | - | 19 | 15.6 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 24 | 1.1 | 9.2 | 30.0 | 16.7 | 57.9 | -1.14 | 36.6 | 32.5 |
| Bren Hill | - | 19 | 15.2 | 2.5 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 2.6 | 4.6 | 34 | 1.6 | 17.5 | 40.8 | 0.0 | 70.0 | 1.36 | 44.0 | 40.8 |
| Hannah Meyers | - | 7 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 0.6 | -2 | -0.2 | -6.5 | 45.5 | 33.3 | 0 | 1.13 | 54.5 | 54.5 |
| Lauren Dady | - | 11 | 5.7 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0.9 | -12 | -1.0 | -21.9 | 27.8 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.36 | 35.4 | 27.8 |
| Vivian Byerly | - | 3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Sofia O'Sullivan | - | 5 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | -2 | -0.4 | -29.8 | 33.3 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.29 | 38.7 | 33.3 |
| Nora Emerson | - | 5 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | -8 | -1.6 | -119.3 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.29 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Meg Hamilton | - | 5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | -0.4 | -5 | -1.0 | -74.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.29 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Chloe Gonzalez | - | 5 | 3.6 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | -12 | -2.4 | -113.4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.21 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Josie Grunzinger | - | 5 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | -6 | -1.2 | -200.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.22 | 0 | 0 |
| Kiera Burns | - | 1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG