DePaul
Model Outputs
2003-2004
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and includes an unverified participant universe. |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1412 (#95) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +29.8 (#102) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.596 (#43) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.664 (#46) | AdjNet +5.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.665 (#46) | AdjNet +6.0 |
2004 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003-11-21 | vs | Loyola (IL) | W | 73 - 61 |
| 2003-11-25 | vs | Northwestern | W | 65 - 53 |
| 2003-11-29 | N | Indiana State | W | 78 - 66 |
| 2003-11-30 | @ | Michigan State | L | 81 - 89 |
| 2003-12-07 | vs | Bradley | W | 77 - 74 |
| 2003-12-09 | @ | Ohio | W | 63 - 60 |
| 2003-12-14 | vs | Notre Dame | L | 69 - 82 |
| 2003-12-20 | vs | Toledo | L | 81 - 93 |
| 2003-12-27 | @ | Seton Hall | L | 62 - 76 |
| 2003-12-31 | vs | Southeast Missouri State | W | 57 - 50 |
| 2004-01-03 | vs | Chicago State | W | 81 - 74 |
| 2004-01-06 | vs | Charlotte | L | 70 - 75 |
| 2004-01-10 | @ | Cincinnati | L | 65 - 90 |
| 2004-01-13 | vs | Memphis | W | 82 - 73 |
| 2004-01-17 | vs | UAB | W | 75 - 64 |
| 2004-01-20 | @ | Texas Christian | W | 61 - 54 |
| 2004-01-24 | @ | Marquette | L | 62 - 70 |
| 2004-01-31 | @ | East Carolina | W | 70 - 65 |
| 2004-02-03 | vs | Tulane | W | 72 - 58 |
| 2004-02-07 | vs | Marquette | W | 84 - 78 |
| 2004-02-11 | @ | Saint Louis | W | 70 - 68 |
| 2004-02-14 | @ | Houston | W | 66 - 54 |
| 2004-02-21 | vs | Saint Louis | L | 62 - 69 |
| 2004-02-25 | @ | Louisville | W | 60 - 58 |
| 2004-02-28 | vs | Southern Mississippi | W | 80 - 51 |
| 2004-03-04 | vs | Cincinnati | W | 68 - 65 |
| 2004-03-06 | @ | South Florida | W | 78 - 66 |
| 2004-03-11 | N | Texas Christian | W | 89 - 65 |
| 2004-03-12 | N | UAB | W | 75 - 74 |
| 2004-03-13 | @ | Cincinnati | L | 50 - 55 |
| 2004-03-18 | N | Dayton | W | 76 - 69 |
| 2004-03-20 | N | Connecticut | L | 55 - 72 |
2004 Roster
Minutes by Position
Not enough player minute data to plot.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delonte Holland | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Drake Diener | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Quemont Greer | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Andre Brown | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Sammy Mejia | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| LeVar Seals | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Marcus Heard | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Tyler Smith | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Marlon Brumfield | C | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Chris Exilus | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Lorenzo Thompson | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Noah Craigwell | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Sean Farrell | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG