Dayton Flyers
Model Outputs
2005-2006
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 941 (#481) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1210 (#72) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +29.7 (#71) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.788 (#59) | - |
2006 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005-11-18 | vs | Akron Zips | W | 61 - 54 |
| 2005-11-21 | @ | Chicago State Cougars | L | 65 - 79 |
| 2005-11-22 | @ | Loyola Chicago Ramblers | W | 80 - 57 |
| 2005-11-30 | @ | Ohio State Buckeyes | L | 31 - 73 |
| 2005-12-06 | vs | Wright State Raiders | W | 63 - 59 |
| 2005-12-09 | vs | Cleveland State Vikings | W | 67 - 59 |
| 2005-12-17 | @ | LIU Brooklyn Blackbirds | W | 61 - 46 |
| 2005-12-20 | vs | UT Martin Skyhawks | W | 76 - 62 |
| 2005-12-22 | vs | Cincinnati Bearcats | L | 55 - 65 |
| 2005-12-28 | @ | Toledo Rockets | W | 79 - 77 |
| 2005-12-29 | @ | Samford Bulldogs | W | 68 - 59 |
| 2006-01-03 | @ | Massachusetts Minutewomen | - | Preview |
| 2006-01-04 | @ | Massachusetts Minutewomen | W | 57 - 51 |
| 2006-01-06 | @ | George Washington Revolutionaries | L | 64 - 75 |
| 2006-01-08 | vs | Saint Louis Billikens | W | 95 - 73 |
| 2006-01-13 | @ | Duquesne Dukes | W | 67 - 55 |
| 2006-01-15 | vs | Richmond Spiders | W | 67 - 62 |
| 2006-01-19 | vs | Xavier Musketeers | L | 70 - 87 |
| 2006-01-27 | vs | Rhode Island Rams | W | 62 - 51 |
| 2006-01-29 | @ | Fordham Rams | W | 72 - 64 |
| 2006-02-03 | vs | Charlotte 49ers | L | 74 - 86 |
| 2006-02-05 | vs | St. Bonaventure Bonnies | W | 66 - 63 |
| 2006-02-10 | @ | La Salle Explorers | L | 50 - 62 |
| 2006-02-12 | @ | Saint Joseph's Hawks | L | 65 - 66 |
| 2006-02-17 | @ | Saint Louis Billikens | W | 72 - 67 |
| 2006-02-19 | vs | Temple Owls | L | 36 - 70 |
| 2006-02-24 | vs | Duquesne Dukes | L | 55 - 70 |
| 2006-02-26 | @ | Xavier Musketeers | L | 64 - 71 |
| 2006-03-03 | vs | Rhode Island Rams | W | 71 - 63 |
| 2006-03-04 | @ | Temple Owls | L | 55 - 70 |
2006 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
B. Roberts
|
- | 1 | 30.0 | 28.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 | - | - | - | 76.9 | 57.1 | 100.0 | - | 94.9 | 92.3 |
M. Scott
|
- | 1 | 30.0 | 16.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 50.0 | 40.0 | - | 65.6 | 70.0 |
W. Williams
|
- | 1 | 32.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 17.0 | - | - | - | 57.1 | 0.0 | 66.7 | - | 60.1 | 57.1 |
C. Little
|
- | 1 | 14.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 0 | 40.0 | - | 64.5 | 75.0 |
J. Binnie
|
- | 1 | 21.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 75.0 | - | 45.1 | 33.3 |
N. Plummer
|
- | 1 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 67.6 | 75.0 |
J. Cripe
|
- | 1 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 60.0 | - | 35.7 | 0.0 |
C. Alvarez
|
- | 1 | 26.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 30.7 | 25.0 |
J. Penno
|
- | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
O. Irick
|
NA | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
M. Bennett
|
- | 1 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
W. Brady
|
- | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG