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Davidson

Also known as: Davidson Wildcats, Davidson
Program History

2011 Team Stats (3 games)

60.0
PPG
73.3
Opp
-13.3
Margin
31.2%
FG%
24.1%
3P%
72.9%
FT%
41.3
RPG
12.3
APG
13.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
68.5
Adj PPG
67.4
Adj Opp PPG
#152
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2010-2011
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1021 (#152) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1024 (#152) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +91 elo More โ†’ 1028 (#118) HCA +91 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ +1.0 (#154) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ +2.3 (#139) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.571 (#128) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +1.3 More โ†’ 0.537 (#153) AdjNet +1.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +1.3 More โ†’ 0.537 (#153) AdjNet +1.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.5 | AdjD 67.4 More โ†’ 0.524 (#152) AdjO 68.5 | AdjD 67.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 69.1 More โ†’ 0.547 (#121) AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 69.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.538 (#147) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.542 (#142) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 115 | GP 30 More โ†’ 991 (#168) RD 115 | GP 30

2011 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2010-11-13 @ Pennsylvania Quakers L 64 - 69
2010-11-18 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 70 - 84
2010-11-19 @ Nebraska Cornhuskers W 70 - 67
2010-11-21 @ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers W 64 - 51
2010-11-27 @ Rhode Island Rams L 58 - 71
2010-11-29 vs Monmouth Hawks W 69 - 53
2010-12-02 @ Charleston Cougars L 73 - 82
2010-12-04 @ The Citadel Bulldogs W 68 - 53
2010-12-11 vs Charlotte 49ers W 82 - 68
2010-12-20 @ St. John's Red Storm L 57 - 62
2010-12-21 @ St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers W 76 - 69
2010-12-30 vs St. Joseph's (ME) Monks W 108 - 39
2011-01-02 @ Vanderbilt Commodores L 52 - 80
2011-01-05 vs Appalachian State Mountaineers L 66 - 74
2011-01-08 @ Western Carolina Catamounts L 73 - 81
2011-01-12 vs Furman Paladins W 79 - 70
2011-01-15 vs Wofford Terriers L 64 - 69
2011-01-17 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans L 69 - 77
2011-01-20 @ Elon Phoenix L 70 - 77
2011-01-26 vs The Citadel Bulldogs L 75 - 85
2011-01-29 vs Charleston Cougars W 75 - 64
2011-01-31 @ Georgia Southern Eagles W 73 - 66
2011-02-03 @ Samford Bulldogs W 62 - 49
2011-02-09 @ Wofford Terriers W 67 - 58
2011-02-16 vs Georgia Southern Eagles W 83 - 56
2011-02-19 @ Presbyterian Blue Hose W 71 - 65
2011-02-24 vs Elon Phoenix W 83 - 75
2011-02-26 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans W 78 - 67
2011-03-04 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans L 64 - 71
2011-03-15 vs James Madison Dukes W 85 - 65
2011-03-21 @ Creighton Bluejays L 92 - 102

2011 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J.P. Kuhlman J.P. Kuhlman G 19 31.7 13.2 3.1 2.8 0.6 0.0 1.7 2.6 15.4 56 28 2.0 2.7 26.5 15.8 92.3 -0.5 207.6 29.6
Nik Cochran Nik Cochran G 19 23.6 12.3 2.2 1.9 0.7 0.1 1.7 2.8 12.7 56 28 2.0 4.4 30.2 22.6 83.3 -0.18 210.3 36.8
Jake Cohen Jake Cohen F 19 22.9 10.4 5.7 0.7 0.4 1.3 2.2 2.3 14.0 137 28 4.9 9.3 29.5 20.0 72.7 5.27 201.7 33.0
De'Mon Brooks De'Mon Brooks F 19 18.3 9.3 5.3 0.8 0.4 0.4 1.4 1.5 13.3 60 27 2.2 5.2 46.4 66.7 75.0 -0.03 264.4 50.0
Brendan McKillop Brendan McKillop G 19 27.4 7.9 2.0 2.1 0.5 0.1 0.9 1.7 9.9 53 27 2.0 2.8 33.3 31.0 75.0 0.0 206.7 47.0
Clint Mann Clint Mann F 19 18.9 7.3 4.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 2.1 2.2 8.6 -8 28 -0.3 -0.6 50.0 100.0 45.5 -3.61 147.3 51.2
Tom Droney Tom Droney G 19 24.1 5.2 3.7 2.2 0.5 0.1 1.7 1.0 8.9 55 28 2.0 3.6 42.1 40.0 62.5 -0.74 219.8 47.4
Chris Czerapowicz Chris Czerapowicz G 18 9.4 3.2 2.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 1.1 4.2 22 18 1.2 6.1 31.6 28.6 0 -0.66 150.0 42.1
Ben Allison Ben Allison F 17 9.4 1.9 1.8 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.6 0.5 3.2 -54 23 -2.3 -10.1 50.0 0 75.0 -5.35 163.9 50.0
Jordan Downing Jordan Downing G-F 15 6.8 1.5 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.7 0.6 1.7 26 26 1.0 5.2 44.4 0.0 0.0 -0.62 116.4 44.4
A.J. Atkinson A.J. Atkinson G 4 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -7 10 -0.7 -19.1 0 0 0 -2.33 0 0
Frank Ben-Eze Frank Ben-Eze F 15 5.0 0.7 1.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 2.1 -1 23 0.0 -0.3 0.0 0 0 -1.48 275.0 0.0
Clay Tormey Clay Tormey - 3 2.0 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Will Reigel Will Reigel F 17 6.3 0.3 1.7 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 2.7 49 18 2.7 18.2 0 0 0 1.19 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG