Davidson
Model Outputs
2002-2003
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1033 (#143) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1061 (#116) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1028 (#123) | HCA +112 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +1.8 (#141) | HCA +3.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +1.1 (#150) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.593 (#114) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.552 (#146) | AdjNet +1.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.552 (#146) | AdjNet +1.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.541 (#136) | AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 70.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.543 (#116) | AdjO 72.7 | AdjD 70.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.544 (#141) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.545 (#143) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1018 (#145) | RD 158 | GP 24 |
2003 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002-11-25 | @ | Duke | L | 80 - 95 |
| 2002-11-27 | @ | Navy | W | 69 - 61 |
| 2002-12-07 | vs | Charlotte | W | 75 - 56 |
| 2002-12-10 | vs | St. Bonaventure | W | 77 - 72 |
| 2002-12-28 | @ | Arizona | L | 69 - 95 |
| 2002-12-30 | @ | Florida State | L | 66 - 82 |
| 2003-01-05 | vs | The Citadel | W | 86 - 72 |
| 2003-01-08 | @ | North Carolina | L | 64 - 79 |
| 2003-01-11 | vs | Western Carolina | W | 83 - 66 |
| 2003-01-13 | @ | Chattanooga | L | 63 - 67 |
| 2003-01-18 | vs | Furman | W | 65 - 57 |
| 2003-01-21 | @ | VMI | L | 60 - 61 |
| 2003-01-25 | vs | UNC Greensboro | W | 83 - 72 |
| 2003-01-27 | @ | East Tennessee State | W | 80 - 71 |
| 2003-02-01 | @ | Western Carolina | W | 67 - 57 |
| 2003-02-03 | @ | Wofford | L | 82 - 98 |
| 2003-02-08 | vs | Appalachian State | W | 99 - 86 |
| 2003-02-11 | @ | UNC Greensboro | W | 84 - 77 |
| 2003-02-15 | vs | East Tennessee State | L | 72 - 87 |
| 2003-02-18 | @ | Georgia Southern | W | 85 - 76 |
| 2003-02-22 | @ | Appalachian State | W | 94 - 81 |
| 2003-02-25 | vs | College of Charleston | L | 89 - 94 |
| 2003-03-01 | vs | VMI | W | 84 - 49 |
| 2003-03-06 | N | VMI | L | 60 - 66 |
2003 Roster
No roster data available for this season.