Davidson
Model Outputs
1997-1998
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1127 (#94) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1088 (#94) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1115 (#40) | HCA +109 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +1.1 (#137) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +0.8 (#142) | HCA +3.5 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.625 (#96) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.534 (#142) | AdjNet +1.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.533 (#143) | AdjNet +1.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.522 (#137) | AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 67.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.551 (#116) | AdjO 68.9 | AdjD 66.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.604 (#107) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.609 (#100) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1120 (#80) | RD 119 | GP 28 |
1998 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1997-11-20 | @ | Duke | L | 65 - 100 |
| 1997-11-23 | vs | New Hampshire | W | 72 - 53 |
| 1997-12-03 | vs | Wake Forest | L | 56 - 61 |
| 1997-12-10 | @ | Charlotte | L | 55 - 70 |
| 1997-12-14 | vs | Wofford | W | 93 - 65 |
| 1997-12-20 | @ | Southern Methodist | L | 59 - 75 |
| 1997-12-28 | N | Kansas State | L | 63 - 70 |
| 1997-12-29 | N | James Madison | W | 87 - 69 |
| 1998-01-02 | @ | Western Carolina | W | 79 - 57 |
| 1998-01-05 | @ | The Citadel | L | 59 - 74 |
| 1998-01-08 | @ | Siena | L | 89 - 103 |
| 1998-01-12 | vs | VMI | L | 58 - 61 |
| 1998-01-17 | @ | Furman | W | 63 - 54 |
| 1998-01-19 | @ | East Tennessee State | W | 71 - 58 |
| 1998-01-22 | vs | Massachusetts | L | 66 - 82 |
| 1998-01-24 | vs | Western Carolina | W | 79 - 73 |
| 1998-01-31 | @ | Appalachian State | W | 77 - 71 |
| 1998-02-04 | vs | Chattanooga | W | 53 - 52 |
| 1998-02-07 | @ | UNC Greensboro | W | 69 - 68 |
| 1998-02-09 | vs | East Tennessee State | W | 67 - 47 |
| 1998-02-14 | vs | UNC Greensboro | W | 76 - 59 |
| 1998-02-16 | @ | VMI | W | 90 - 66 |
| 1998-02-19 | vs | Appalachian State | W | 68 - 58 |
| 1998-02-21 | vs | Georgia Southern | W | 75 - 58 |
| 1998-02-27 | N | Georgia Southern | W | 74 - 68 |
| 1998-02-28 | N | The Citadel | W | 68 - 59 |
| 1998-03-01 | N | Appalachian State | W | 66 - 62 |
| 1998-03-13 | N | Michigan | L | 61 - 80 |
1998 Roster
No roster data available for this season.