Davidson
Model Outputs
1991-1992
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 780 (#248) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 832 (#240) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 942 (#213) | HCA +115 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -10.0 (#254) | HCA +4.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -7.8 (#228) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.289 (#229) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.171 (#249) | AdjNet -13.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.168 (#250) | AdjNet -13.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.303 (#253) | AdjO 64.2 | AdjD 73.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.381 (#235) | AdjO 66.7 | AdjD 72.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.289 (#241) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.303 (#240) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 826 (#245) | RD 156 | GP 25 |
1992 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1991-11-23 | vs | Alabama | L | 59 - 76 |
| 1991-12-02 | @ | William & Mary | L | 69 - 70 |
| 1991-12-30 | @ | South Carolina | L | 56 - 84 |
| 1992-01-04 | @ | NC State | L | 63 - 83 |
| 1992-01-08 | @ | Coastal Carolina | L | 62 - 79 |
| 1992-01-11 | @ | Charleston Southern | L | 59 - 64 |
| 1992-01-13 | vs | Campbell | W | 48 - 47 |
| 1992-01-15 | @ | UNC Asheville | W | 64 - 45 |
| 1992-01-18 | @ | Liberty | L | 68 - 86 |
| 1992-01-21 | @ | Charlotte | L | 70 - 82 |
| 1992-01-25 | vs | Winthrop | L | 67 - 68 |
| 1992-01-28 | @ | Samford | W | 61 - 59 |
| 1992-02-01 | vs | Miami (FL) | W | 66 - 62 |
| 1992-02-03 | vs | UNC Wilmington | L | 68 - 71 |
| 1992-02-08 | vs | Charlotte | L | 85 - 95 |
| 1992-02-10 | @ | Campbell | L | 64 - 67 |
| 1992-02-13 | vs | Coastal Carolina | L | 65 - 72 |
| 1992-02-15 | vs | Radford | L | 63 - 72 |
| 1992-02-19 | @ | Wake Forest | L | 62 - 76 |
| 1992-02-22 | @ | Radford | L | 75 - 89 |
| 1992-02-24 | vs | UNC Asheville | W | 76 - 68 |
| 1992-02-26 | vs | Charleston Southern | W | 77 - 65 |
| 1992-02-29 | @ | Winthrop | W | 59 - 52 |
| 1992-03-02 | vs | Liberty | W | 69 - 67 |
| 1992-03-05 | N | Campbell | L | 60 - 69 |
1992 Roster
No roster data available for this season.