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Davidson Wildcats

Also known as: Davidson Wildcats
Program History

2026 Team Stats (31 games)

65.9
PPG
57.5
Opp
+8.4
Margin
43.2%
FG%
33.4%
3P%
69.6%
FT%
34.2
RPG
13.1
APG
15.7
TO
78.2
Pace
67.6
AdjO
57.2
AdjD
#75
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1117 (#105) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1159 (#86) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +113 elo More → 1061 (#111) HCA +113 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +10.6 (#76) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +18.6 (#98) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.797 (#75) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +11.5 More → 0.814 (#78) NetEff +11.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +16.6 More → 0.872 (#71) AdjNet +16.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +16.8 More → 0.876 (#73) AdjNet +16.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.6 | AdjD 57.2 More → 0.720 (#75) AdjO 67.6 | AdjD 57.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.0 | AdjD 56.7 More → 0.637 (#103) AdjO 63.0 | AdjD 56.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.883 (#81) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.852 (#85) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 146 | GP 31 More → 1171 (#86) RD 146 | GP 31

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-06 vs William & Mary Tribe W 71 - 50
2025-11-08 @ Florida Gulf Coast Eagles W 77 - 51
2025-11-12 @ App State Mountaineers W 74 - 55
2025-11-16 vs Iona Gaels W 82 - 52
2025-11-20 @ Miami Hurricanes L 58 - 66
2025-11-22 @ Baylor Bears L 72 - 74
2025-11-30 vs Ohio Bobcats W 64 - 59
2025-12-03 vs Duquesne Dukes W 72 - 55
2025-12-07 vs Ball State Cardinals W 87 - 65
2025-12-14 @ Charlotte 49ers L 61 - 71
2025-12-17 vs High Point Panthers W 76 - 65
2025-12-19 vs Morgan State Lady Bears W 78 - 34
2025-12-31 @ Loyola Chicago Ramblers W 62 - 50
2026-01-03 @ Saint Louis Billikens W 71 - 55
2026-01-07 vs Saint Joseph's Hawks W 48 - 36
2026-01-10 @ Richmond Spiders L 84 - 91
2026-01-14 vs Fordham Rams W 74 - 50
2026-01-18 @ La Salle Explorers W 62 - 58
2026-01-21 @ Rhode Island Rams L 53 - 60
2026-01-25 vs VCU Rams W 66 - 51
2026-01-28 vs George Mason Patriots L 51 - 62
2026-02-01 @ Saint Joseph's Hawks L 51 - 59
2026-02-04 @ St. Bonaventure Bonnies L 50 - 59
2026-02-07 vs George Washington Revolutionaries W 68 - 58
2026-02-14 vs Richmond Spiders L 43 - 65
2026-02-18 @ VCU Rams W 66 - 39
2026-02-21 vs Dayton Flyers W 79 - 67
2026-02-25 @ Fordham Rams W 58 - 49
2026-02-28 vs Saint Louis Billikens W 74 - 62
2026-03-06 vs Saint Joseph's Hawks W 64 - 59
2026-03-07 @ Rhode Island Rams L 46 - 55

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
C. Dunn C. Dunn G 31 33.4 15.2 7.5 2.0 1.9 0.7 2.5 13.2 11.5 109 4.2 4.8 41.7 30.1 82.6 1.87 52.6 48.5
K. Donovan K. Donovan G 31 32.4 12.1 2.9 1.2 1.2 0.5 1.9 8.8 7.1 70 2.7 3.1 45.2 45.9 80.7 -0.62 60.8 56.6
K. Bruyndoncx K. Bruyndoncx G 28 28.2 9.3 1.8 1.1 0.9 0.1 1.4 8.3 3.6 72 2.9 3.8 42.5 34.3 68.0 0.29 53.5 52.4
E. Strausz E. Strausz C 30 13.5 6.4 3.2 0.6 0.5 0.4 1.8 5.1 4.2 40 1.6 3.9 55.2 0.0 62.2 1.31 56.7 55.2
I. Garcia Monje I. Garcia Monje F 30 22.2 5.2 4.9 2.3 1.4 0.5 1.7 4.8 7.8 52 2.1 3.3 44.4 13.8 37.9 0.98 45.4 45.8
C. Lienafa C. Lienafa F 31 14.6 5.0 3.1 0.7 0.4 0.4 1.0 4.5 4.1 55 2.1 5.6 37.7 32.7 70.2 -0.84 48.8 44.2
E. Bessell E. Bessell G 30 14.5 4.4 1.3 0.8 1.0 0.1 1.5 3.5 2.7 59 2.5 6.4 45.2 36.4 79.5 1.37 54.9 49.0
E. Alvarez Castellanos E. Alvarez Castellanos G 30 19.6 4.3 2.1 2.3 0.9 0.1 1.7 3.5 4.5 90 3.5 6.7 44.3 36.4 75.0 3.98 52.9 48.1
A. Nightingale A. Nightingale F 1 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 5 5.0 103.4 100.0 100.0 0 0.75 150.0 150.0
J. Timmerson J. Timmerson G 31 13.0 2.2 1.5 1.4 0.7 0.1 1.1 2.0 2.8 55 2.1 9.3 40.3 32.4 62.5 2.08 51.1 50.0
A. Ziaka A. Ziaka G 27 13.6 2.2 1.8 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.5 2.6 2.8 44 2.0 5.9 30.0 25.0 70.0 1.1 39.7 37.1
S. Gutierrez-Rodriguez S. Gutierrez-Rodriguez G 3 1.0 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.3 3 1.5 59.0 100.0 100.0 0.0 0.56 102.5 125.0
S. Jackson S. Jackson G 7 3.6 1.3 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 1.1 0.6 -26 -1.4 -9.2 50.0 0.0 50.0 -0.88 50.7 50.0
S. Dauer S. Dauer G 18 6.1 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.7 1.9 0.2 -2 -0.1 -0.5 28.6 10.0 50.0 -2.09 30.7 30.0
E. Buerk E. Buerk F 6 2.7 0.3 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.7 23 4.6 103.8 50.0 0 0.0 2.5 34.7 50.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG