Davidson
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
67.3
PPG
-
Opp
-
Margin
41.3%
FG%
21.4%
3P%
75.0%
FT%
33.8
RPG
13.8
APG
10.8
TO
66.7
Est. poss./game
63.6
Adj PPG
59.7
Adj Opp PPG
#113
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1031 (#145) | Preseason prior 1082 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1091, returning +37, transfers -46, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 994 (#159) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 993 (#161) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +11.2 (#88) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +11.2 (#88) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.622 (#125) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.687 (#98) | AdjNet +10.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.705 (#94) | AdjNet +11.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.594 (#113) | AdjO 63.6 | AdjD 59.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.592 (#113) | AdjO 63.5 | AdjD 59.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.622 (#116) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.621 (#116) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 988 (#165) | RD 166 | GP 4 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.582 (#128) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | @ | Columbia Lions | L | 65 - 71 |
| 2026-11-05 | vs | Virginia Cavaliers | L | 57 - 72 |
| 2026-11-08 | vs | Campbell Fighting Camels | W | 80 - 43 |
| 2026-11-11 | vs | App State Mountaineers | L | 67 - 71 |
| 2026-11-18 | vs | Charleston Southern Buccaneers | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-21 | vs | Charlotte 49ers | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Katie Donovan
|
G | 4 | 28.8 | 17.8 | 4.0 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 13.0 | 10.0 | 4 | 4 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 46.2 | 26.1 | 89.5 | 1.61 | 58.8 | 51.9 |
Kyra Bruyndoncx
|
G | 4 | 30.5 | 15.8 | 4.2 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 14.0 | 8.0 | -12 | 4 | -3.0 | -3.9 | 46.4 | 23.5 | 63.6 | -0.89 | 51.8 | 50.0 |
Emilie Bessell
|
G | 4 | 25.0 | 6.0 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 4.5 | 16 | 4 | 4.0 | 6.4 | 32.1 | 33.3 | 75.0 | 1.32 | 40.3 | 37.5 |
Lilli Onnela
|
G | 3 | 14.3 | 6.0 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 3.7 | 5.0 | -21 | 2 | -10.5 | -19.9 | 54.5 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -0.76 | 60.2 | 54.5 |
Asha Nightingale
|
F | 4 | 16.5 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 7.2 | 0.8 | 13 | 4 | 3.2 | 7.9 | 31.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.44 | 32.5 | 31.0 |
Sharni Reisinger
|
G | 4 | 13.5 | 4.8 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 3.8 | 5.5 | 13 | 4 | 3.2 | 9.6 | 46.7 | 42.9 | 100.0 | 0.86 | 59.8 | 56.7 |
Elena Alvarez Castellanos
|
G | 4 | 27.0 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 4.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.2 | 6.0 | 9 | 4 | 2.2 | 3.4 | 30.8 | 0.0 | 70.0 | 2.48 | 43.1 | 30.8 |
Ines Garcia Monje
|
F | 4 | 19.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 3.2 | 6.0 | -11 | 4 | -2.8 | -5.7 | 46.2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.63 | 44.6 | 46.2 |
Jasmine Timmerson
|
G | 4 | 12.8 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 4 | 1.2 | 3.8 | 30.0 | 40.0 | 75.0 | 0.27 | 46.8 | 40.0 |
Georgia Ferguson
|
F | 3 | 9.0 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.7 | 17 | 3 | 5.7 | 25.3 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -1.37 | 58.1 | 50.0 |
Sylvie Jackson
|
G | 3 | 8.3 | 2.7 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 4.3 | 17 | 3 | 5.7 | 25.6 | 42.9 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 3.21 | 50.8 | 42.9 |
Sveva Bernasconi
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Eliza Buerk
|
F | 2 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 10 | 2 | 5.0 | 37.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
242 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Kyra BruyndoncxKatie DonovanEmilie BessellAsha NightingaleJasmine Timmerson
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 47-81 | 58.0 | 94 | Katie Donovan 30% (28 pts) | Kyra Bruyndoncx 28% (26 pts) | Emilie Bessell 21% (7 misses) | Ines Garcia Monje 15% (5 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 32-70 | 45.7 | 64 | Kyra Bruyndoncx 25% (16 pts) | Emilie Bessell 16% (10 pts) | Kyra Bruyndoncx 29% (11 misses) | Katie Donovan 16% (6 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 1-3 | 33.3 | 2 | Jasmine Timmerson 100% (2 pts) | - | Emilie Bessell 50% (1 misses) | Kyra Bruyndoncx 50% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 0-1 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Asha Nightingale 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Mid-range right | 2-3 | 66.7 | 4 | Asha Nightingale 50% (2 pts) | Kyra Bruyndoncx 50% (2 pts) | Kyra Bruyndoncx 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Left corner 3 | 4-15 | 26.7 | 12 | Kyra Bruyndoncx 50% (6 pts) | Katie Donovan 25% (3 pts) | Kyra Bruyndoncx 36% (4 misses) | Asha Nightingale 9% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 2-10 | 20.0 | 6 | Emilie Bessell 50% (3 pts) | Sharni Reisinger 50% (3 pts) | Emilie Bessell 25% (2 misses) | Kyra Bruyndoncx 25% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 7-28 | 25.0 | 21 | Katie Donovan 43% (9 pts) | Jasmine Timmerson 29% (6 pts) | Katie Donovan 29% (6 misses) | Elena Alvarez Castellanos 19% (4 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 1-13 | 7.7 | 3 | Emilie Bessell 100% (3 pts) | - | Asha Nightingale 50% (6 misses) | Katie Donovan 25% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 4-18 | 22.2 | 12 | Katie Donovan 50% (6 pts) | Emilie Bessell 25% (3 pts) | Katie Donovan 43% (6 misses) | Emilie Bessell 14% (2 misses) |