Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1032 (#126) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1013 (#163) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -0.6 (#214) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.071 (#553) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.042 (#355) | NetEff -24.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.383 (#449) | AdjNet -4.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.399 (#447) | AdjNet -3.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.447 (#447) | AdjO 61.6 | AdjD 63.9 |
2025 Schedule & Results
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Toney | - | 22 | 28.0 | 12.1 | 6.2 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 11.0 | 8.0 | -2 | -0.1 | -0.1 | 43.8 | 25.5 | 66.7 | 0.09 | 51.0 | 49.0 |
| Isabel Lindo | - | 28 | 30.7 | 8.6 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 2.9 | 8.2 | 1.6 | -92 | -2.4 | -2.6 | 36.5 | 30.1 | 81.0 | -0.51 | 47.0 | 42.0 |
| Nevaeh Williams | - | 28 | 31.2 | 8.2 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 0.1 | 3.6 | 8.2 | 4.4 | -147 | -4.0 | -4.1 | 34.9 | 26.6 | 66.7 | -1.05 | 44.1 | 39.5 |
| Lillee Gustafson | - | 26 | 23.5 | 7.9 | 7.7 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 6.6 | 9.8 | -49 | -2.0 | -2.4 | 45.9 | 0.0 | 63.2 | -0.03 | 50.1 | 45.9 |
| Jaci Walker | - | 23 | 20.0 | 7.1 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 7.1 | 2.8 | -95 | -4.1 | -5.8 | 36.8 | 18.5 | 76.0 | -0.88 | 44.1 | 38.3 |
| Deyonce Thompson | - | 15 | 11.9 | 5.3 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 5.8 | 1.7 | -45 | -5.0 | -7.5 | 35.6 | 35.7 | 61.5 | -0.12 | 43.1 | 41.4 |
| Hannah Schroeder | - | 24 | 31.5 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 24 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 37.6 | 16.7 | 56.2 | 0.67 | 43.5 | 40.8 |
| Jada Mccree | - | 2 | 18.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 4.5 | -3.0 | -51 | -1.8 | -3.6 | 22.2 | 22.2 | 0 | -0.36 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Kayla Covington | - | 27 | 11.0 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 3.0 | -20 | -0.5 | -1.2 | 48.1 | 0 | 65.8 | -0.23 | 54.6 | 48.1 |
| Laynie Meredith | - | 28 | 11.4 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 0.8 | -81 | -2.5 | -7.4 | 23.3 | 8.7 | 60.0 | -0.54 | 34.8 | 25.0 |
| Kendal Swartout | - | 11 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 61.5 | 50.0 |
| Madison Fant | - | 15 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 16 | 1.3 | 11.1 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 0 | 0.29 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Bri Thomas | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -16 | -2.7 | -13.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.28 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG