🐻⬇️🏀

Crown (MN)

Also known as: Crown (MN)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 999 (#390) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 929 (#457) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 980 (#552) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → -11.7 (#358) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -13.7 (#592) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.456 (#497) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -11.7 More → 0.206 (#534) AdjNet -11.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -12.0 More → 0.198 (#535) AdjNet -12.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.7 | AdjD 79.3 More → 0.313 (#525) AdjO 70.7 | AdjD 79.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.7 | AdjD 76.3 More → 0.355 (#626) AdjO 69.7 | AdjD 76.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.254 (#623) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.274 (#615) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 95 | GP 23 More → 964 (#418) RD 95 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Oak Hills Christian - Incomplete score
2025-11-12 @ Luther - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 @ Maranatha Baptist - Incomplete score
2025-11-16 @ St. Olaf - Incomplete score
2025-11-18 @ Minnesota St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-19 vs Concordia-M'head - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 @ Saint Mary's (MN) - Incomplete score
2025-11-28 @ Buena Vista - Incomplete score
2025-11-29 @ Neb. Wesleyan - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 vs Bethel (MN) - Incomplete score
2025-12-10 @ North Dakota - Incomplete score
2025-12-11 vs Trinity Bible (ND) - Incomplete score
2025-12-13 @ Faith Bapt. Bible - Incomplete score
2025-12-31 vs St. Scholastica - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 @ Martin Luther - Incomplete score
2026-01-14 @ Bethany Lutheran - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 vs North Central (MN) - Incomplete score
2026-01-21 vs Minn.-Morris - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 @ Northwestern-St. Paul - Incomplete score
2026-01-28 @ Wis.-Superior - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 vs Bethany Lutheran - Incomplete score
2026-02-04 @ Minn.-Morris - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 @ North Central (MN) - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Anthony Knight - 21 31.0 18.1 4.1 3.8 1.4 0.0 3.3 15.9 8.3 -24 -1.3 -5.4 48.2 38.6 73.7 -1.08 53.1 50.7
Parker Behne - 15 29.7 15.7 4.2 1.4 0.4 0.1 1.5 12.5 7.7 -28 -2.2 -7.8 42.6 38.9 81.6 -1.87 56.1 51.9
Colby Deluce - 21 27.8 9.4 3.3 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.7 8.9 4.7 -39 -2.2 -12.1 42.8 38.1 66.7 -3.9 50.4 49.2
Tristan Youngblood - 21 24.5 7.8 3.8 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.6 7.0 5.5 112 6.6 31.9 37.0 32.2 76.0 1.01 52.2 49.7
Donovan Washington - 19 21.7 7.6 4.1 0.8 1.4 0.2 0.4 5.6 8.0 109 5.7 32.4 46.7 35.7 78.4 1.25 58.4 53.7
Levi Royston - 20 16.6 6.9 3.3 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.8 6.4 4.0 -14 -0.8 -6.7 43.8 26.7 70.0 -1.73 50.4 48.4
Tyler Smith - 21 33.0 6.5 11.9 6.2 1.0 4.0 2.6 7.1 19.8 90 4.7 17.6 36.7 25.0 60.7 5.26 42.2 40.0
Joe Sullivan - 21 11.1 2.7 2.0 0.8 0.6 0.0 0.5 2.1 3.5 51 2.8 34.0 37.8 23.8 78.3 0.73 51.7 43.3
PJ Ebeling - 10 4.5 2.5 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.4 2.0 2.5 -20 -2.2 -180.5 60.0 0 33.3 -3.18 58.6 60.0
Elliot Offner - 11 8.3 2.5 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 2.3 0.3 1 0.1 4.4 40.0 35.0 0 -2.06 54.0 54.0
Jackson DiBona - 19 4.0 1.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.3 0.2 30 1.9 128.1 29.2 18.2 75.0 2.61 40.0 33.3
Noah Ahooja - 11 3.0 1.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.1 9 1.0 288.0 45.5 50.0 50.0 0.54 54.7 54.5
Ian McFaggen - 9 2.4 1.0 0.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 1.0 0.6 4 0.6 111.6 22.2 33.3 100.0 - 43.6 33.3
Cade Roelofs - 17 4.8 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.4 3 0.2 10.0 66.7 0 0.0 -0.24 60.1 66.7
Codey Root - 7 2.6 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.1 -1 -0.1 -32.0 0 0 0 - 0 0
Micah Fuller - 2 1.8 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 -0.5 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Alek Hodny - 1 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Josiah Jackson - 2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 -1.0 -1 -0.1 -0.7 0.0 0.0 0 1.89 0.0 0.0
Josh Kline - 1 2.2 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Jonathan Larose - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG