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Crown (MN)

Also known as: Crown (MN)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1010 (#363) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 933 (#450) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 980 (#552) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -13.4 (#290) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -13.7 (#592) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.456 (#497) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -11.7 More → 0.206 (#534) AdjNet -11.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -12.0 More → 0.198 (#535) AdjNet -12.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.7 | AdjD 79.3 More → 0.313 (#525) AdjO 70.7 | AdjD 79.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.7 | AdjD 76.3 More → 0.355 (#626) AdjO 69.7 | AdjD 76.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.254 (#623) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.274 (#615) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 96 | GP 22 More → 973 (#417) RD 96 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Oak Hills Christian W 71 - 69
2025-11-12 @ Luther L 48 - 53
2025-11-15 @ Maranatha Baptist W 101 - 73
2025-11-16 @ St. Olaf L 60 - 81
2025-11-18 @ Minnesota St. L 74 - 106
2025-11-19 vs Concordia-M'head L 55 - 71
2025-11-22 @ Saint Mary's (MN) W 76 - 66
2025-11-28 @ Buena Vista L 72 - 77
2025-11-29 @ Neb. Wesleyan L 56 - 70
2025-12-06 vs Bethel (MN) L 87 - 89
2025-12-10 @ North Dakota L 43 - 89
2025-12-11 vs Trinity Bible (ND) W 82 - 58
2025-12-13 @ Faith Bapt. Bible W 91 - 78
2025-12-31 vs St. Scholastica W 71 - 68
2026-01-10 @ Martin Luther L 69 - 79
2026-01-14 @ Bethany Lutheran W 78 - 69
2026-01-17 vs North Central (MN) W 88 - 85
2026-01-21 vs Minn.-Morris L 75 - 90
2026-01-24 @ Northwestern-St. Paul W 85 - 73
2026-01-28 @ Wis.-Superior W 72 - 65
2026-01-31 vs Bethany Lutheran W 80 - 67
2026-02-04 @ Minn.-Morris L 66 - 79
2026-02-07 @ North Central (MN) L 83 - 86

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Anthony Knight - 22 30.0 17.3 4.0 3.8 1.3 0.0 3.2 15.3 7.9 -24 -1.3 -5.4 47.8 38.6 73.7 -0.76 52.6 50.3
Parker Behne - 15 29.7 15.7 4.2 1.4 0.4 0.1 1.5 12.5 7.7 -28 -2.2 -7.8 42.6 38.9 81.6 -1.23 56.1 51.9
Colby Deluce - 23 26.9 9.9 3.2 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.7 9.0 5.0 -39 -2.2 -12.1 44.7 41.4 62.5 -2.27 52.6 51.7
Tristan Youngblood - 23 24.0 7.9 3.6 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.7 7.0 5.4 112 6.6 31.9 37.5 32.3 72.4 1.4 52.7 50.3
Donovan Washington - 20 21.8 7.5 4.1 0.8 1.4 0.2 0.5 5.7 7.8 109 5.7 32.4 45.6 33.3 78.0 2.38 57.2 52.2
Levi Royston - 20 16.6 6.9 3.3 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.8 6.4 4.0 -14 -0.8 -6.7 43.8 26.7 70.0 -2.13 50.4 48.4
Tyler Smith - 23 31.1 6.1 11.0 5.8 1.0 3.7 2.6 6.8 18.3 90 4.7 17.6 36.5 23.8 60.7 1.06 41.9 39.7
Joe Sullivan - 23 11.6 3.1 2.1 0.7 0.5 0.0 0.7 2.2 3.6 51 2.8 34.0 45.1 27.3 74.1 0.7 57.3 51.0
PJ Ebeling - 12 6.2 3.0 2.1 0.9 0.2 0.2 0.6 2.7 3.1 -20 -2.2 -180.5 53.1 0.0 50.0 -0.69 53.3 53.1
Alijah Townsel - 1 5.8 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 - - - 100.0 100.0 0 - 150.0 150.0
Elliot Offner - 13 9.0 2.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 2.4 0.4 1 0.1 4.4 38.7 33.3 100.0 -0.19 52.5 51.6
Ian McFaggen - 11 4.6 1.8 0.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5 2.0 0.3 4 0.6 111.6 27.3 33.3 80.0 -0.67 41.3 36.4
Noah Ahooja - 13 4.8 1.5 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.7 9 1.0 288.0 53.8 60.0 75.0 -0.32 67.8 65.4
Jackson DiBona - 21 5.4 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 1.6 -0.3 30 1.9 128.1 20.6 12.5 70.0 1.38 29.9 23.5
Cade Roelofs - 19 6.0 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.4 0.8 1.4 3 0.2 10.0 56.2 0 0.0 -0.4 52.0 56.2
Codey Root - 9 4.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 0.1 0.3 -1 -0.1 -32.0 100.0 0 0 -0.32 100.0 100.0
Micah Fuller - 3 3.3 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Jonathan Larose - 3 3.8 0.0 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Alek Hodny - 1 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Josiah Jackson - 2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 -1.0 -1 -0.1 -0.7 0.0 0.0 0 0.61 0.0 0.0
Josh Kline - 2 4.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -0.5 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Jayden McLaughlin - 1 4.4 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 -3.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG