Crown (MN)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1010 (#363) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 933 (#450) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 980 (#552) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -13.4 (#290) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -13.7 (#592) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.456 (#497) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.206 (#534) | AdjNet -11.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.198 (#535) | AdjNet -12.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.313 (#525) | AdjO 70.7 | AdjD 79.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.355 (#626) | AdjO 69.7 | AdjD 76.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.254 (#623) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.274 (#615) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 973 (#417) | RD 96 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Oak Hills Christian | W | 71 - 69 |
| 2025-11-12 | @ | Luther | L | 48 - 53 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Maranatha Baptist | W | 101 - 73 |
| 2025-11-16 | @ | St. Olaf | L | 60 - 81 |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Minnesota St. | L | 74 - 106 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Concordia-M'head | L | 55 - 71 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Saint Mary's (MN) | W | 76 - 66 |
| 2025-11-28 | @ | Buena Vista | L | 72 - 77 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Neb. Wesleyan | L | 56 - 70 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Bethel (MN) | L | 87 - 89 |
| 2025-12-10 | @ | North Dakota | L | 43 - 89 |
| 2025-12-11 | vs | Trinity Bible (ND) | W | 82 - 58 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Faith Bapt. Bible | W | 91 - 78 |
| 2025-12-31 | vs | St. Scholastica | W | 71 - 68 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Martin Luther | L | 69 - 79 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Bethany Lutheran | W | 78 - 69 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | North Central (MN) | W | 88 - 85 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Minn.-Morris | L | 75 - 90 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Northwestern-St. Paul | W | 85 - 73 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Wis.-Superior | W | 72 - 65 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Bethany Lutheran | W | 80 - 67 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Minn.-Morris | L | 66 - 79 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | North Central (MN) | L | 83 - 86 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Knight | - | 22 | 30.0 | 17.3 | 4.0 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 3.2 | 15.3 | 7.9 | -24 | -1.3 | -5.4 | 47.8 | 38.6 | 73.7 | -0.76 | 52.6 | 50.3 |
| Parker Behne | - | 15 | 29.7 | 15.7 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 12.5 | 7.7 | -28 | -2.2 | -7.8 | 42.6 | 38.9 | 81.6 | -1.23 | 56.1 | 51.9 |
| Colby Deluce | - | 23 | 26.9 | 9.9 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 9.0 | 5.0 | -39 | -2.2 | -12.1 | 44.7 | 41.4 | 62.5 | -2.27 | 52.6 | 51.7 |
| Tristan Youngblood | - | 23 | 24.0 | 7.9 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 7.0 | 5.4 | 112 | 6.6 | 31.9 | 37.5 | 32.3 | 72.4 | 1.4 | 52.7 | 50.3 |
| Donovan Washington | - | 20 | 21.8 | 7.5 | 4.1 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 5.7 | 7.8 | 109 | 5.7 | 32.4 | 45.6 | 33.3 | 78.0 | 2.38 | 57.2 | 52.2 |
| Levi Royston | - | 20 | 16.6 | 6.9 | 3.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 6.4 | 4.0 | -14 | -0.8 | -6.7 | 43.8 | 26.7 | 70.0 | -2.13 | 50.4 | 48.4 |
| Tyler Smith | - | 23 | 31.1 | 6.1 | 11.0 | 5.8 | 1.0 | 3.7 | 2.6 | 6.8 | 18.3 | 90 | 4.7 | 17.6 | 36.5 | 23.8 | 60.7 | 1.06 | 41.9 | 39.7 |
| Joe Sullivan | - | 23 | 11.6 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.2 | 3.6 | 51 | 2.8 | 34.0 | 45.1 | 27.3 | 74.1 | 0.7 | 57.3 | 51.0 |
| PJ Ebeling | - | 12 | 6.2 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 2.7 | 3.1 | -20 | -2.2 | -180.5 | 53.1 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.69 | 53.3 | 53.1 |
| Alijah Townsel | - | 1 | 5.8 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Elliot Offner | - | 13 | 9.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 1 | 0.1 | 4.4 | 38.7 | 33.3 | 100.0 | -0.19 | 52.5 | 51.6 |
| Ian McFaggen | - | 11 | 4.6 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 4 | 0.6 | 111.6 | 27.3 | 33.3 | 80.0 | -0.67 | 41.3 | 36.4 |
| Noah Ahooja | - | 13 | 4.8 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 9 | 1.0 | 288.0 | 53.8 | 60.0 | 75.0 | -0.32 | 67.8 | 65.4 |
| Jackson DiBona | - | 21 | 5.4 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.6 | -0.3 | 30 | 1.9 | 128.1 | 20.6 | 12.5 | 70.0 | 1.38 | 29.9 | 23.5 |
| Cade Roelofs | - | 19 | 6.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.2 | 10.0 | 56.2 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.4 | 52.0 | 56.2 |
| Codey Root | - | 9 | 4.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.3 | -1 | -0.1 | -32.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.32 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Micah Fuller | - | 3 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jonathan Larose | - | 3 | 3.8 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Alek Hodny | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Josiah Jackson | - | 2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | -1.0 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.61 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Josh Kline | - | 2 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -0.5 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jayden McLaughlin | - | 1 | 4.4 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -3.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG