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Creighton

Also known as: Creighton Bluejays, Creighton
Program History

2018 Team Stats (16 games)

81.6
PPG
76.3
Opp
+5.2
Margin
47.2%
FG%
35.8%
3P%
76.5%
FT%
36.1
RPG
17.3
APG
11.1
TO
-
Est. poss./game
82.8
Adj PPG
69.1
Adj Opp PPG
#25
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1215 (#60) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1172 (#64) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More โ†’ 990 (#189) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ +14.8 (#24) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ +12.1 (#30) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.769 (#43) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +20.5 More โ†’ 0.914 (#24) AdjNet +20.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +20.8 More โ†’ 0.918 (#23) AdjNet +20.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 82.8 | AdjD 69.1 More โ†’ 0.776 (#25) AdjO 82.8 | AdjD 69.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.9 | AdjD 70.9 More โ†’ 0.633 (#61) AdjO 76.9 | AdjD 70.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.760 (#46) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.734 (#54) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 113 | GP 32 More โ†’ 1172 (#65) RD 113 | GP 32

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-11-10 vs Yale Bulldogs W 92 - 76
2017-11-12 vs Alcorn State Braves W 109 - 72
2017-11-15 @ Northwestern Wildcats W 92 - 88
2017-11-20 vs UCLA Bruins W 100 - 89
2017-11-21 vs Baylor Bears L 59 - 65
2017-11-25 vs SIU Edwardsville Cougars W 103 - 66
2017-12-01 @ Gonzaga Bulldogs L 74 - 91
2017-12-05 vs North Dakota Fighting Hawks W 111 - 68
2017-12-09 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers W 75 - 65
2017-12-15 vs Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks W 87 - 36
2017-12-18 vs UT Arlington Mavericks W 90 - 81
2017-12-20 vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans W 116 - 62
2017-12-28 @ Seton Hall Pirates L 84 - 90
2017-12-31 vs Providence Friars W 83 - 64
2018-01-03 vs St. John's Red Storm W 78 - 71
2018-01-06 @ Georgetown Hoyas W 90 - 66
2018-01-09 vs Butler Bulldogs W 85 - 74
2018-01-13 @ Xavier Musketeers L 70 - 92
2018-01-17 vs Seton Hall Pirates W 80 - 63
2018-01-20 @ Providence Friars L 71 - 85
2018-01-23 @ St. John's Red Storm W 68 - 63
2018-01-27 vs Georgetown Hoyas W 85 - 77
2018-02-01 @ Villanova Wildcats L 78 - 98
2018-02-07 @ DePaul Blue Demons W 76 - 75
2018-02-10 vs Xavier Musketeers L 71 - 72
2018-02-13 vs Bemidji State Beavers W 94 - 46
2018-02-17 vs Marquette Golden Eagles L 86 - 90
2018-02-20 @ Butler Bulldogs L 70 - 93
2018-02-24 vs Villanova Wildcats W 89 - 83
2018-02-27 vs DePaul Blue Demons W 82 - 57
2018-03-03 @ Marquette Golden Eagles L 81 - 85
2018-03-08 vs Providence Friars L 68 - 72
2018-03-16 vs Kansas State Wildcats L 59 - 69

2018 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Marcus Foster Marcus Foster G 33 31.6 19.8 3.9 2.7 1.0 0.1 2.2 9.9 15.5 242 27 9.0 12.3 48.5 37.0 71.9 4.15 92.6 56.7
Khyri Thomas Khyri Thomas G 33 31.7 15.1 4.4 2.8 1.7 0.2 1.8 6.3 16.0 179 27 6.6 9.0 51.7 40.6 68.4 0.26 110.1 61.0
Martin Krampelj Martin Krampelj F 19 23.2 11.9 8.1 1.2 0.8 0.7 1.3 5.1 16.3 189 17 11.1 20.4 63.9 21.1 59.4 4.26 102.2 66.0
Toby Hegner Toby Hegner F 30 22.5 8.4 3.1 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.7 3.6 8.8 139 26 5.3 10.3 49.5 36.5 85.2 0.2 104.6 58.3
Mitchell Ballock Mitchell Ballock G 33 21.4 7.3 2.9 1.9 0.7 0.2 1.2 4.1 7.8 178 27 6.6 13.2 39.3 33.7 86.4 0.97 83.3 50.0
Ronnie Harrell Ronnie Harrell G 30 25.4 7.0 6.3 2.6 0.6 0.3 1.3 3.1 12.3 122 25 4.9 8.6 45.7 31.2 82.1 -0.98 100.2 51.1
Jacob Epperson Jacob Epperson C 12 14.0 6.2 2.9 0.2 0.2 0.9 0.5 1.8 8.2 56 9 6.2 18.5 68.2 100.0 75.0 2.1 157.8 70.5
Davion Mintz Davion Mintz G 33 21.1 6.1 3.2 3.1 0.4 0.1 1.1 3.2 8.6 197 27 7.3 14.6 37.5 31.4 71.7 4.43 78.9 42.8
T. Alexander T. Alexander - 33 17.7 5.5 2.1 1.8 0.3 0.1 1.2 2.8 5.8 138 27 5.1 12.1 41.8 33.9 74.1 1.14 88.9 52.7
Kaleb Joseph Kaleb Joseph G 15 7.7 4.3 1.1 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.7 1.5 4.9 53 13 4.1 21.6 45.5 25.0 100.0 -0.68 123.1 50.0
Manny Suarez Manny Suarez C 24 7.5 3.0 2.6 0.4 0.0 0.5 0.5 1.5 4.7 65 19 3.4 19.9 34.3 23.1 72.7 -0.68 91.6 38.6
Tyler Clement Tyler Clement G 21 8.3 2.8 1.0 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.0 3.5 98 17 5.8 29.4 45.5 26.7 100.0 2.07 124.4 54.5
Jordan Scurry Jordan Scurry G 17 3.4 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.2 34 14 2.4 27.1 50.0 37.5 0 -1.4 83.3 62.5

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG